Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

Mimicking portfolios have long been useful in asset pricing research. In most empirical applications, the portfolio weights are assumed to be fixed over time, while in theory they may be functions of the economic state. This paper derives and characterizes mimicking portfolios in the presence of predetermined state variables, or conditioning information. The results generalize and integrate multifactor minimum variance efficiency (Fama, 1996) with conditional and unconditional mean variance efficiency (Hansen and Richard (1987), Ferson and Siegel, 2001). Empirical examples illustrate the potential importance of time-varying mimicking portfolio weights and highlight challenges in their application.

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2005
Genre: Stocks
ISBN:

"Mimicking portfolios have long been useful in asset pricing research. In most empirical applications, the portfolio weights are assumed to be fixed over time, while in theory they may be functions of the economic state. This paper derives and characterizes mimicking portfolios in the presence of predetermined state variables, or conditioning information. The results generalize and integrate multifactor minimum variance efficiency (Fama, 1996) with conditional and unconditional mean variance efficiency (Hansen and Richard (1987), Ferson and Siegel, 2001). Empirical examples illustrate the potential importance of time-varying mimicking portfolio weights and highlight challenges in their application"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

A Critical Investigation of the Explanatory Role of Factor Mimicking Portfolios in Multifactor Asset Pricing Models

A Critical Investigation of the Explanatory Role of Factor Mimicking Portfolios in Multifactor Asset Pricing Models
Author: Hossein Asgharian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

The common approach for constructing factor mimicking portfolios is to go long in assets with high loadings and to short-sell those with low loadings on some background factors. As a result portfolios containing stocks with low loading on the background factor receive negative betas against the corresponding mimicking portfolio. Thus, such portfolios appear as hedges against the background risk and may in tests of asset pricing models receive significant positive intercepts. The final result regarding acceptance or rejection of an asset pricing model may therefore to some extent be understood as a random outcome.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370

An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

ESSAYS ON OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO STRATEGIES

ESSAYS ON OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO STRATEGIES
Author: Dan Luo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022
Genre:
ISBN:

My dissertation consists of three chapters where the common theme is the use of various econometric techniques to constructing optimal portfolios and empirically exploring portfolio performance. My first chapter proposes new approaches to constructing mimicking portfolios for non-tradable shocks from a large set of base assets. Although the analytical solution to mimicking portfolios is available, it involves estimating the covariance of asset returns and covariance of returns with replicated shocks. The estimates of those moments are noisy and can have a detrimental impact on the quality of the portfolio performance out of sample, especially in the presence of a large number of base assets. To mitigate the overfitting problem, this chapter imposes regularization constraints on portfolio strategies. The first proposed approach solves the portfolio variance minimization problem with target portfolio betas and a constraint on the upper limit on the norm of portfolio weights. The second approach recasts the mimicking portfolio problem to a GMM estimation problem, where the portfolio weights are the estimated parameters, along with constraints on the norm of the portfolio weights. Compared with the first approach, the second approach does not estimate the portfolio problem inputs explicitly and may not satisfy the beta constraints in-sample, leading to additional flexibility to better perform out-of-sample. This chapter uses simulations to study the comparative advantage of the two approaches, applies the proposed techniques to construct mimicking portfolios for nine macroeconomic and uncertainty shocks, and examines the empirical out-of-sample portfolio performance. In all cases, the regularized mimicking portfolios have feasible portfolio weights without sacrificing the portfolio performance. In my second chapter, I propose a new methodology to form conditional mimicking portfolios. Prior research forms mimicking portfolios mostly based on past realizations of returns and shocks without utilizing conditioning information, which would capture the time variation in statistical moments of returns and shocks. My conditional mimicking portfolios track the target shocks period by period, efficiently use available information about future shocks and returns, and have a minimal conditional variance of returns. The key innovation of my methodology is that I transform the traditional conditional portfolio minimization problem into a set of conditional moment restrictions and apply the optimal Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator to find portfolio weights. To obtain the optimal GMM estimator, I build upon the classical GMM framework and construct the optimal instruments, which are non-parametrically functions of asset characteristics and macroeconomic variables. Compared with the traditional approach, my methodology neither imposes assumptions on the dynamics of conditional returns and shocks nor struggles to identify unobservable investors' information sets. To exploit the finite sample property of conditional mimicking portfolios, I use simulations and apply my methodology to create portfolios that mimic six macroeconomic and uncertainty shocks. Results show that the use of conditioning information helps improve the out-of-sample portfolio performance and also highlight the challenges of forming conditional mimicking portfolios. In my third chapter, I study portfolio management, with a focus on mutual fund performance. Prior research primarily examines the performance of equity mutual funds, leaving bond mutual funds relatively understudied. In this chapter, I construct a holding-based measure, weight shift, to capture the intensity of bond mutual funds' trading activity. The traditional measure of funds' trading activity - portfolio turnover - has several limitations, such as infrequent reporting, sensitivity to large changes in average total net assets, and susceptibility to the amount of one-sided aggregate transactions. I investigate the relationship between funds' trading activity and future fund performance, and find that higher fund trading activity predicts lower fund performance controlling for fund-specific characteristics. The negative impact of trading activity on fund performance is stronger among high-yield funds, in line with the notion that more noise trading incurred by high trading in illiquid markets erodes fund performance. I also examine the incentive for managers to engage in intensive trading activity, and find that managers use high trading intensity as a signal to attract investors, especially retail investors. Finally, I find that weight shift captures the inferior managerial skill and reacts to macro uncertainty. This chapter sheds light on understanding the trading behavior of bond mutual funds and questions the value of active management in bond mutual funds.

Handbook of the Economics of Finance

Handbook of the Economics of Finance
Author: G. Constantinides
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 698
Release: 2003-11-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080495087

Volume 1B covers the economics of financial markets: the saving and investment decisions; the valuation of equities, derivatives, and fixed income securities; and market microstructure.

A Comparative Analysis of Ability of Mimicking Portfolios in Representing the Background Factors

A Comparative Analysis of Ability of Mimicking Portfolios in Representing the Background Factors
Author: Hossein Asgharian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

Our aim is to give a comparative analysis of ability of different factor mimicking portfolios in representing the background factors. Our analysis contains a cross-sectional regression approach, a time-series regression approach and a portfolio approach for constructing factor mimicking portfolios. The focus of the analysis is the power of mimicking portfolios in the asset pricing models. We conclude that the time series regression approach, with the book-to-market sorted portfolios as the base assets, is the most proper alternative to construct mimicking portfolios for factors for which a time-series of factor realisation is available. To construct mimicking portfolios based on the firm characteristics we suggest a loading weighted portfolio approach.

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

We develop asset pricing models' implications for portfolio efficiency when there is conditioning information in the form of a set of lagged instruments. A model of expected returns identifies a portfolio that should be minimum variance efficient with respect to the conditioning information. Our tests refine previous tests of portfolio efficiency, using the conditioning information optimally. We reject the efficiency of all static or time-varying combinations of the three Fama-French (1996) factors with respect to the conditioning information and also the conditional efficiency of time-varying combinations of the factors, given standard lagged instruments.

Mimicking Portfolios

Mimicking Portfolios
Author: Richard Roll
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

Mimicking portfolios have many applications in the practice of finance. Here, we present a new method for constructing them. We illustrate its application by creating portfolios that mimic individual NYSE stocks. On the construction date, a mimicking portfolio exactly matches its target stock's exposures (betas) to a set of ETFs, which serve as proxies for global factors, and the portfolio has much lower idiosyncratic volatility than its target. Mimicking portfolios require only modest subsequent rebalancing in response to instabilities in target assets and assets used for portfolio construction. Although composed here exclusively of equities, mimicking portfolios show potential for mimicking non-equity assets as well.

Finance

Finance
Author: R.A. Jarrow
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 1204
Release: 1995-12-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780444890849

Hardbound. The Handbook of Finance is a primary reference work for financial economics and financial modeling students, faculty and practitioners. The expository treatments are suitable for masters and PhD students, with discussions leading from first principles to current research, with reference to important research works in the area. The Handbook is intended to be a synopsis of the current state of various aspects of the theory of financial economics and its application to important financial problems. The coverage consists of thirty-three chapters written by leading experts in the field. The contributions are in two broad categories: capital markets and corporate finance.