Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies

Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies
Author: Amedeo Spadaro
Publisher: Fundacion BBVA
Total Pages: 359
Release: 2007
Genre: Economic policy
ISBN: 8496515176

Los desarrollos en el ámbito de la investigación sobre la evaluación de políticas públicas están experimentando actualmente un gran avance. En este contexto, las técnicas de microsimulación -basadas en la representación del comportamiento de los individuos frente a cambios reales o hipotéticos en su entorno económico e institucional- han adquirido particular relevancia por su capacidad para evaluar a priori diferentes escenarios y facilitar la toma de decisiones. Las técnicas de simulación se realizan con modelos de absoluta precisión y exactitud que permiten estudiar y predecir el impacto y los efectos de una política sobre una muestra de individuos, familias o empresas representativa de la población total. Este libro presenta la microsimulación como técnica de evaluación de las políticas públicas, al mismo tiempo que propone una revisión razonada de los recientes avances. Una conclusión común es que, gracias a un modelo de microsimulación, es posible identificar la mejor política de redistribución posible (en el sentido de maximizar una determinada función de bienestar social). De manera general, mediante el uso de esta técnica es posible hacer complementarios los enfoques macro de equilibrio económico general y micro de simulación de los comportamientos individuales. La presente publicación ofrece una herramienta de referencia a investigadores, académicos, políticos y analistas.

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 361
Release: 1991-02-01
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 030904541X

This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation modelsâ€"large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1991-01-01
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9780309073813

This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation models--large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.

Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa

Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa
Author: Christian Henning
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 355
Release: 2017-10-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319607146

This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. The book examines the methodological challenges in analyzing the effectiveness of development policies. It presents a selection of tools and methodologies that can help tackle the complexities of which policies work best and why, and how they can be implemented effectively given the political and economic framework conditions of a country. The contributions in this book offer a continuation of the ongoing evidence-based debate on the role of agriculture and participatory policy processes in reducing poverty. They develop and apply quantitative political economy approaches by integrating quantitative models of political decision-making into existing economic modeling tools, allowing a more comprehensive growth-poverty analysis. The book addresses not only scholars who use quantitative policy modeling and evaluation techniques in their empirical or theoretical research, but also technical experts, including policy makers and analysts from stakeholder organizations, involved in formulating and implementing policies to reduce poverty and to increase economic and social well-being in African countries.

Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis

Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis
Author: Lavinia Mitton
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 360
Release: 2000-09-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521790062

Applications and methods of state of the art microsimulation modelling.

Spatial Microsimulation with R

Spatial Microsimulation with R
Author: Robin Lovelace
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2017-09-07
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 131536316X

Generate and Analyze Multi-Level Data Spatial microsimulation involves the generation, analysis, and modeling of individual-level data allocated to geographical zones. Spatial Microsimulation with R is the first practical book to illustrate this approach in a modern statistical programming language. Get Insight into Complex Behaviors The book progresses from the principles underlying population synthesis toward more complex issues such as household allocation and using the results of spatial microsimulation for agent-based modeling. This equips you with the skills needed to apply the techniques to real-world situations. The book demonstrates methods for population synthesis by combining individual and geographically aggregated datasets using the recent R packages ipfp and mipfp. This approach represents the "best of both worlds" in terms of spatial resolution and person-level detail, overcoming issues of data confidentiality and reproducibility. Implement the Methods on Your Own Data Full of reproducible examples using code and data, the book is suitable for students and applied researchers in health, economics, transport, geography, and other fields that require individual-level data allocated to small geographic zones. By explaining how to use tools for modeling phenomena that vary over space, the book enhances your knowledge of complex systems and empowers you to provide evidence-based policy guidance.

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling
Author: Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 359
Release: 1991-02-01
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0309045428

This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.

Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling

Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling
Author: Cathal O'Donoghue
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Total Pages: 563
Release: 2014-11-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1783505702

Microsimulation Modelling involves the application of simulation methods to micro data for the purposes of evaluating the effectiveness and improving the design of public policy. The field has been applied to many different policies within both government and academia. This handbook describes and discusses the main issues within the field.

Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users

Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users
Author: Robert Tanton
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2012-11-13
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9400746237

This book is a practical guide on how to design, create and validate a spatial microsimulation model. These models are becoming more popular as academics and policy makers recognise the value of place in research and policy making. Recent spatial microsimulation models have been used to analyse health and social disadvantage for small areas; and to look at the effect of policy change for small areas. This provides a powerful analysis tool for researchers and policy makers. This book covers preparing the data for spatial microsimulation; a number of methods for both static and dynamic spatial microsimulation models; validation of the models to ensure the outputs are reasonable; and the future of spatial microsimulation. The book will be an essential handbook for any researcher or policy maker looking to design and create a spatial microsimulation model. This book will also be useful to those policy makers who are commissioning a spatial microsimulation model, or looking to commission work using a spatial microsimulation model, as it provides information on the different methods in a non-technical way.