Forecasting Techniques for Urban and Regional Planning

Forecasting Techniques for Urban and Regional Planning
Author: Brian Field
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 227
Release: 2018-05-30
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1351062484

Originally published in 1987, Forecasting Techniques for Urban and Regional Planning is an introduction to the various analytical techniques which have been developed and applied in urban and regional analysis in planning practice. The subjects covered are population, housing, employment, transport, shopping, recreation, and integrated forecasting. Each technique, placed in the context of policy formulation and political matters, is presented both verbally and mathematically, and it separating characteristic is illustrated with detailed but simple practical examples. The techniques examined are set in a policy context and their practical limitations are identified.

Spatial Aggregation and Regional Economic Forecasting

Spatial Aggregation and Regional Economic Forecasting
Author: Jon R. Miller
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

This research examines the effect of spatial aggregation on the accuracy of regional economic forecasts. Literature in econometrics, business forecasting, regional economic forecasting, spatial econometrics, and spatial time series analysis suggests that the issue is far from settled at either the theoretical or empirical levels. Univariate time series analysis is used to generate both state-level and sub-state regional forecasts of monthly total employment in the State of Idaho and its economic sub-regions. All spatial aggregation methods provide accurate forecasts, but direct state-level forecasts, and disaggregation of state-level forecasts to the sub-state level are slightly more accurate than more directly disaggregated approaches. As state-level data are often subject to less measurement error, and are also more complete and timely, this result should be encouraging to regional forecasting practitioners.

Employment Forecasting

Employment Forecasting
Author: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. International Seminar on Employment Forecasting Techniques
Publisher:
Total Pages: 128
Release: 1963
Genre: Employment forecasting
ISBN:

An Empirical Analysis of the Shift/share Technique for Employment Forecasting

An Empirical Analysis of the Shift/share Technique for Employment Forecasting
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 1982
Genre: Employment forecasting
ISBN:

This research project has developed out of the desire to empirically test and evaluate the technique of shift/share analysis as applied to employment forecasting. Shifts in economic growth and more recently, the fast growth patterns on the West Coast have required the development of analytical techniques to forecast regional employment growth. Several methodologies have been applied to this problem including: regression analysis and trend extrapolation, economic base studies, and shift/share analysis.