Markov-Swtiching and Stochastic Volatility Diffusion Models of Short-Term Interest Rates

Markov-Swtiching and Stochastic Volatility Diffusion Models of Short-Term Interest Rates
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release:
Genre:
ISBN:

The Finance Division of the Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration at the University of British Columbia in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, presents the full text of a working paper entitled "Markov-Swtiching and Stochastic Volatility Diffusion Models of Short-Term Interest Rates," by Daniel R. Smith. The paper compares the Markov-switching and stochastic volatility diffusion models of short-term interest rates.

Regime Switching Stochastic Volatility and Short-Term Interest Rates

Regime Switching Stochastic Volatility and Short-Term Interest Rates
Author: Madhu Kalimipalli
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we introduce regime-switching in a two-factor stochastic volatility (SV) model to explain the behavior of short-term interest rates. We model the volatility of short-term interest rates as a stochastic volatility process whose mean is subject to shifts in regime. We estimate the regime-switching stochastic volatility (RSV) model using a Gibbs Sampling-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. In-sample results strongly favor the RSV model in comparison to the single-state SV model and GARCH family of models. Out-of-sample results are mixedand, overall, provide weak support for the RSV model.

Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management

Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
Author: Jiuping Xu
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 837
Release: 2019-06-19
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3030212483

This book gathers the proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2019), which was held at Brock University, Ontario, Canada on August 5–8, 2019. Exploring the latest ideas and pioneering research achievements in management science and engineering management, the respective contributions highlight both theoretical and practical studies on management science and computing methodologies, and present advanced management concepts and computing technologies for decision-making problems involving large, uncertain and unstructured data. Accordingly, the proceedings offer researchers and practitioners in related fields an essential update, as well as a source of new research directions.

Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models

Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models
Author: Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 506
Release: 2006-11-24
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387357688

The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.

Hidden Markov Models in Finance

Hidden Markov Models in Finance
Author: Rogemar S. Mamon
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2014-05-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1489974423

Since the groundbreaking research of Harry Markowitz into the application of operations research to the optimization of investment portfolios, finance has been one of the most important areas of application of operations research. The use of hidden Markov models (HMMs) has become one of the hottest areas of research for such applications to finance. This handbook offers systemic applications of different methodologies that have been used for decision making solutions to the financial problems of global markets. As the follow-up to the authors’ Hidden Markov Models in Finance (2007), this offers the latest research developments and applications of HMMs to finance and other related fields. Amongst the fields of quantitative finance and actuarial science that will be covered are: interest rate theory, fixed-income instruments, currency market, annuity and insurance policies with option-embedded features, investment strategies, commodity markets, energy, high-frequency trading, credit risk, numerical algorithms, financial econometrics and operational risk. Hidden Markov Models in Finance: Further Developments and Applications, Volume II presents recent applications and case studies in finance and showcases the formulation of emerging potential applications of new research over the book’s 11 chapters. This will benefit not only researchers in financial modeling, but also others in fields such as engineering, the physical sciences and social sciences. Ultimately the handbook should prove to be a valuable resource to dynamic researchers interested in taking full advantage of the power and versatility of HMMs in accurately and efficiently capturing many of the processes in the financial market.

New Developments in Statistical Modeling, Inference and Application

New Developments in Statistical Modeling, Inference and Application
Author: Zhezhen Jin
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 218
Release: 2016-10-28
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 3319425714

The papers in this volume represent the most timely and advanced contributions to the 2014 Joint Applied Statistics Symposium of the International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) and the Korean International Statistical Society (KISS), held in Portland, Oregon. The contributions cover new developments in statistical modeling and clinical research: including model development, model checking, and innovative clinical trial design and analysis. Each paper was peer-reviewed by at least two referees and also by an editor. The conference was attended by over 400 participants from academia, industry, and government agencies around the world, including from North America, Asia, and Europe. It offered 3 keynote speeches, 7 short courses, 76 parallel scientific sessions, student paper sessions, and social events.

Hidden Markov Models

Hidden Markov Models
Author: Ramaprasad Bhar
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 167
Release: 2006-04-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1402079400

Markov chains have increasingly become useful way of capturing stochastic nature of many economic and financial variables. Although the hidden Markov processes have been widely employed for some time in many engineering applications e.g. speech recognition, its effectiveness has now been recognized in areas of social science research as well. The main aim of Hidden Markov Models: Applications to Financial Economics is to make such techniques available to more researchers in financial economics. As such we only cover the necessary theoretical aspects in each chapter while focusing on real life applications using contemporary data mainly from OECD group of countries. The underlying assumption here is that the researchers in financial economics would be familiar with such application although empirical techniques would be more traditional econometrics. Keeping the application level in a more familiar level, we focus on the methodology based on hidden Markov processes. This will, we believe, help the reader to develop more in-depth understanding of the modeling issues thereby benefiting their future research.

Stochastic Volatility

Stochastic Volatility
Author: Neil Shephard
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 534
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199257205

Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This work brings together some of the main papers that have influenced this field, andshows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary.