Sudan

Sudan
Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2013-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484305434

This Selected Issues paper examines the monetary policy framework in Sudan, and assesses the effectiveness of monetary transmission mechanism since the secession of South Sudan. The econometric analysis concludes that reserve money, the exchange rate, and private sector credit are the main determinants of inflation after the secession of South Sudan and that the transmission lags have been shortened significantly compared with previous studies. These findings reinforce the need for a comprehensive package of fiscal and monetary measures that strengthens the monetary policy framework and improves its effectiveness.

Anatomy of Black Market for Dollars in Sudan

Anatomy of Black Market for Dollars in Sudan
Author: Ibrahim Onour
Publisher:
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper investigates efficiency performance of the black market for foreign exchange in Sudan. The finding of the paper indicates the inefficiency hypothesis cannot be rejected. This result implies, authorities in the central bank need to be cautious about use of the black market depreciation rate as indicator to official exchange rate devaluation rate. The finding of the paper also shows there is no significant evidence of structural change in the behavior of the black market due to the loss of the country a significant portion of its oil revenue after the country split. This result can be interpreted as evidence of weak association of the black market with fundamentals of the economy.

Recognizing Reality—Unification of Official and Parallel Market Exchange Rates

Recognizing Reality—Unification of Official and Parallel Market Exchange Rates
Author: Mr.Simon T Gray
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2021-02-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513568639

Some central banks have maintained overvalued official exchange rates, while unable to ensure that supply of foreign exchange meets legitimate demand for current account transactions at that price. A parallel exchange rate market develops, in such circumstances; and when the spread between the official and parallel rates is both substantial and sustained, price levels in the economy typically reflect the parallel market exchange rate. “Recognizing reality” by allowing economic agents to use a market clearing rate benefits economic activity without necessarily leading to more inflation. But a unified, market-clearing exchange rate will not stabilize without a supportive fiscal and monetary context. A number of country case studies are included; my thanks to Jie Ren for pulling together all the data for the country case studies, and the production of the charts.