Macro Factor Mimicking Portfolios

Macro Factor Mimicking Portfolios
Author: Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

The estimation of risk factors and their replication through mimicking portfolios are of critical importance for academics and practitioners in finance. We propose a general optimization framework to construct macro factor mimicking portfolios that encompasses existing portfolio mimicking approaches, such as two-pass cross-sectional regression models (Fama and MacBeth, 1973) and maximal correlation approaches (Huberman et al., 1987, and Lamont, 2001). We incorporate empirical estimation improvements through machine learning methodologies. We provide an application to the construction of tradable portfolios mimicking three global macro factors, namely growth, inflation surprises, and financial stress indicators. We show how these macro mimicking factors can be used to improve the risk-return profile of a typical endowment multi-asset portfolio.

A Critical Investigation of the Explanatory Role of Factor Mimicking Portfolios in Multifactor Asset Pricing Models

A Critical Investigation of the Explanatory Role of Factor Mimicking Portfolios in Multifactor Asset Pricing Models
Author: Hossein Asgharian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

The common approach for constructing factor mimicking portfolios is to go long in assets with high loadings and to short-sell those with low loadings on some background factors. As a result portfolios containing stocks with low loading on the background factor receive negative betas against the corresponding mimicking portfolio. Thus, such portfolios appear as hedges against the background risk and may in tests of asset pricing models receive significant positive intercepts. The final result regarding acceptance or rejection of an asset pricing model may therefore to some extent be understood as a random outcome.

Don't Get Carried Away

Don't Get Carried Away
Author: Marco Aiolfi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

Investors are increasingly showing interest in risk premia strategies across asset classes. Carry is one of the most studied premia. To successfully execute a risk premia strategy, it is important to have a detailed understanding of how individual premia returns are affected by macroeconomic conditions. The literature reports that carry strategies are commonly exposed to business cycle, liquidity and volatility risks; however, evidence of direct links has never been clearly established. We build on this research by directly measuring the macroeconomic characteristics of carry factor portfolios, namely real economic growth and inflation exposures. By pairing methodologies commonly used to derive fundamental characteristics of equity portfolios, we are able to identify macro linkages that have not been previously made evident. Our holdings-based and factor-mimicking portfolio analyses provide insights into the behavior of carry strategies across various asset classes. This approach can help investors build better carry portfolios by anticipating the payoff in different economic scenarios.

Sparse Macro Factors

Sparse Macro Factors
Author: David Rapach
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

We use machine learning to estimate sparse principal components (PCs) for 120 monthly macro variables spanning 1960:02 to 2018:06 from the FRED-MD database. For comparison, we also extract the first ten conventional PCs from the macro variables. Each of the conventional PCs is a linear combination of all the underlying macro variables, making them difficult to interpret. In contrast, each of the sparse PCs is a sparse linear combination, whose active weights allow for intuitive economic interpretations of the sparse PCs. The first ten sparse PCs can be interpreted as yields, inflation, production, housing, employment, yield spreads, wages, optimism, money, and credit. Innovations to the conventional (sparse) PCs constitute a set of conventional (sparse) macro factors. Robust tests indicate that only one of the conventional macro factors earns a signficant risk premium. In contrast, three of sparse macro factors -- corresponding to yields, housing, and optimism -- earn signficant risk premia. Compared to leading risk factors from the literature, mimicking portfolios for the yields, housing, and optimism factors deliver sizable Sharpe ratios. A four-factor model comprised of the market factor and mimicking portfolio returns for the yields, housing, and optimism factors performs on par with or better than leading multi-factor models from the literature in accounting for numerous anomalies in cross-sectional stock returns.

Intermediate Financial Theory

Intermediate Financial Theory
Author: Jean-Pierre Danthine
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 580
Release: 2014-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0123868718

Targeting readers with backgrounds in economics, Intermediate Financial Theory, Third Edition includes new material on the asset pricing implications of behavioral finance perspectives, recent developments in portfolio choice, derivatives-risk neutral pricing research, and implications of the 2008 financial crisis. Each chapter concludes with questions, and for the first time a freely accessible website presents complementary and supplementary material for every chapter. Known for its rigor and intuition, Intermediate Financial Theory is perfect for those who need basic training in financial theory and those looking for a user-friendly introduction to advanced theory. - Completely updated edition of classic textbook that fills a gap between MBA- and PhD-level texts - Focuses on clear explanations of key concepts and requires limited mathematical prerequisites - Online solutions manual available - Updates include new structure emphasizing the distinction between the equilibrium and the arbitrage perspectives on valuation and pricing, and a new chapter on asset management for the long-term investor

Asset Pricing

Asset Pricing
Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 560
Release: 2009-04-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400829135

Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.

Factor Investing

Factor Investing
Author: Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 482
Release: 2017-10-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0081019645

This new edited volume consists of a collection of original articles written by leading industry experts in the area of factor investing.The chapters introduce readers to some of the latest research developments in the area of equity and alternative investment strategies.Each chapter deals with new methods for constructing and harvesting traditional and alternative risk premia, building strategic and tactical multifactor portfolios, and assessing related systematic investment performances. This volume will be of help to portfolio managers, asset owners and consultants, as well as academics and students who want to improve their knowledge and understanding of systematic risk factor investing. A practical scope An extensive coverage and up-to-date researcch contributions Covers the topic of factor investing strategies which are increasingly popular amongst practitioners

Handbook of Empirical Corporate Finance SET

Handbook of Empirical Corporate Finance SET
Author: Bjørn Espen Eckbo
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 1137
Release: 2008-12-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080559565

This two-volume set summarizes recent research on corporate decision-making. The first volume covers measurement and theoretical subjects as well as sources of capital, including banks, public offerings, and private investors. In the second volume, contributors focus on the ways corporations are structured and the practices through which they can be bought and sold. Thus, its major subjects include dividends, capital structure, financial distress, takeovers, restructurings, and managerial incentives. - Takes stock of the main empirical findings to date across an unprecedented spectrum of corporate finance issues - Discusses everything from econometric methodology, to raising capital and capital structure choice, and to managerial incentives and corporate investment behavior - Contributors are leading empirical researchers that remain active in their respective areas of expertise - Writing style makes the chapters accessible to industry practitioners

Managing Risk in Thrift Institutions

Managing Risk in Thrift Institutions
Author: Richard Roll
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 1987
Genre: Portfolio management
ISBN:

Even if thrift institutions were exposed only to interest rate risk, gap management using simple duration would be an imperfect method, particularly for callable assets and liabilities. Duration measures interest rate risk for parallel shifts in the yield curve, but actual yield curve shifts should not be, and usually are not, parallel. An alternative to duration is a multi-factor model such as the Arbitrage Pricing Model (APT). An empirical investigation of a sample of large thrifts disclosed that they are exposed to APT factors such as inflation, investor confidence, and the term structure. The level of thrift exposure to these risk factors is twice that of the average industrial company and thrifts also exhibit an unusually large amount of non-systematic risk.