Machine Learning Algorithms Applied To Financial Forecasting
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| Author | : El Bachir Boukherouaa |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2021-10-22 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1589063953 |
This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.
| Author | : Jason Kingdon |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 233 |
| Release | : 2012-12-06 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 144710949X |
A fundamental objective of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the creation of in telligent computer programs. In more modest terms AI is simply con cerned with expanding the repertoire of computer applications into new domains and to new levels of efficiency. The motivation for this effort comes from many sources. At a practical level there is always a demand for achieving things in more efficient ways. Equally, there is the technical challenge of building programs that allow a machine to do something a machine has never done before. Both of these desires are contained within AI and both provide the inspirational force behind its development. In terms of satisfying both of these desires there can be no better example than machine learning. Machines that can learn have an in-built effi ciency. The same software can be applied in many applications and in many circumstances. The machine can adapt its behaviour so as to meet the demands of new, or changing, environments without the need for costly re-programming. In addition, a machine that can learn can be ap plied in new domains with the genuine potential for innovation. In this sense a machine that can learn can be applied in areas where little is known about possible causal relationships, and even in circumstances where causal relationships are judged not to exist. This last aspect is of major significance when considering machine learning as applied to fi nancial forecasting.
| Author | : Matthew F. Dixon |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 565 |
| Release | : 2020-07-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3030410684 |
This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.
| Author | : Sergio Consoli |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 357 |
| Release | : 2021 |
| Genre | : Application software |
| ISBN | : 3030668916 |
This open access book covers the use of data science, including advanced machine learning, big data analytics, Semantic Web technologies, natural language processing, social media analysis, time series analysis, among others, for applications in economics and finance. In addition, it shows some successful applications of advanced data science solutions used to extract new knowledge from data in order to improve economic forecasting models. The book starts with an introduction on the use of data science technologies in economics and finance and is followed by thirteen chapters showing success stories of the application of specific data science methodologies, touching on particular topics related to novel big data sources and technologies for economic analysis (e.g. social media and news); big data models leveraging on supervised/unsupervised (deep) machine learning; natural language processing to build economic and financial indicators; and forecasting and nowcasting of economic variables through time series analysis. This book is relevant to all stakeholders involved in digital and data-intensive research in economics and finance, helping them to understand the main opportunities and challenges, become familiar with the latest methodological findings, and learn how to use and evaluate the performances of novel tools and frameworks. It primarily targets data scientists and business analysts exploiting data science technologies, and it will also be a useful resource to research students in disciplines and courses related to these topics. Overall, readers will learn modern and effective data science solutions to create tangible innovations for economic and financial applications.
| Author | : Wayne Ferson |
| Publisher | : MIT Press |
| Total Pages | : 497 |
| Release | : 2019-03-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0262039370 |
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
| Author | : Marcos Lopez de Prado |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 395 |
| Release | : 2018-01-23 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1119482119 |
Learn to understand and implement the latest machine learning innovations to improve your investment performance Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today, ML algorithms accomplish tasks that – until recently – only expert humans could perform. And finance is ripe for disruptive innovations that will transform how the following generations understand money and invest. In the book, readers will learn how to: Structure big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms Conduct research with ML algorithms on big data Use supercomputing methods and back test their discoveries while avoiding false positives Advances in Financial Machine Learning addresses real life problems faced by practitioners every day, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their individual setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.
| Author | : Emmanuel Jurczenko |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 460 |
| Release | : 2020-10-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1786305445 |
This new edited volume consists of a collection of original articles written by leading financial economists and industry experts in the area of machine learning for asset management. The chapters introduce the reader to some of the latest research developments in the area of equity, multi-asset and factor investing. Each chapter deals with new methods for return and risk forecasting, stock selection, portfolio construction, performance attribution and transaction costs modeling. This volume will be of great help to portfolio managers, asset owners and consultants, as well as academics and students who want to improve their knowledge of machine learning in asset management.
| Author | : Jannes Klaas |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 456 |
| Release | : 2019-05-30 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 9781789136364 |
Plan and build useful machine learning systems for financial services, with full working Python code Key Features Build machine learning systems that will be useful across the financial services industry Discover how machine learning can solve finance industry challenges Gain the machine learning insights and skills fintech companies value most Book Description Machine learning skills are essential for anybody working in financial data analysis. Machine Learning for Finance shows you how to build machine learning models for use in financial services organizations. It shows you how to work with all the key machine learning models, from simple regression to advanced neural networks. You will see how to use machine learning to automate manual tasks, identify and address systemic bias, and find new insights and patterns hidden in available data. Machine Learning for Finance encourages and equips you to find new ways to use data to serve an organization's business goals. Broad in scope yet deeply practical in approach, Machine Learning for Finance will help you to apply machine learning in all parts of a financial organization's infrastructure. If you work or plan to work in fintech, and want to gain one of the most valuable skills in the sector today, this book is for you. What you will learn Practical machine learning for the finance sector Build machine learning systems that support the goals of financial organizations Think creatively about problems and how machine learning can solve them Identify and reduce sources of bias from machine learning models Apply machine learning to structured data, natural language, photographs, and written text related to finance Use machine learning to detect fraud, forecast financial trends, analyze customer sentiments, and more Implement heuristic baselines, time series, generative models, and reinforcement learning in Python, scikit-learn, Keras, and TensorFlow Who this book is for Machine Learning for Finance is for financial professionals who want to develop and apply machine learning skills, and for students entering the field. You should be comfortable with Python and the basic data science stack, such as NumPy, pandas, and Matplotlib, to get the most out of this book.
| Author | : Mohammad Zoynul Abedin |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 275 |
| Release | : 2021-06-20 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1000394123 |
This book introduces machine learning in finance and illustrates how we can use computational tools in numerical finance in real-world context. These computational techniques are particularly useful in financial risk management, corporate bankruptcy prediction, stock price prediction, and portfolio management. The book also offers practical and managerial implications of financial and managerial decision support systems and how these systems capture vast amount of financial data. Business risk and uncertainty are two of the toughest challenges in the financial industry. This book will be a useful guide to the use of machine learning in forecasting, modeling, trading, risk management, economics, credit risk, and portfolio management.
| Author | : Theo Lynn |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 194 |
| Release | : 2018-12-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3030023303 |
This open access Pivot demonstrates how a variety of technologies act as innovation catalysts within the banking and financial services sector. Traditional banks and financial services are under increasing competition from global IT companies such as Google, Apple, Amazon and PayPal whilst facing pressure from investors to reduce costs, increase agility and improve customer retention. Technologies such as blockchain, cloud computing, mobile technologies, big data analytics and social media therefore have perhaps more potential in this industry and area of business than any other. This book defines a fintech ecosystem for the 21st century, providing a state-of-the art review of current literature, suggesting avenues for new research and offering perspectives from business, technology and industry.
