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| Author | : Robert H. Samet |
| Publisher | : 4-Scene Development Corpora |
| Total Pages | : 309 |
| Release | : 2009-03-24 |
| Genre | : Change |
| ISBN | : 1439214344 |
This highly readable study explains how complexity science provides an evolutionary model for the civil system, with a new world view that out-ranges United Nations reference scenarios to beyond 2150.
| Author | : Evan Hillebrand |
| Publisher | : MIT Press |
| Total Pages | : 245 |
| Release | : 2015-03-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0262028891 |
Top-drawer scenario builders map a unique array of 'big picture' global outcomes shaped by energy prices, economic growth, and global harmony. Better still, they give the reader tools to build her own scenarios. An essential reference for experts concerned with geopolitical and geoeconomic futures. -- Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics The way the authors have integrated the International Futures model into scenario analysis is very instructive and amounts to a useful methodological contribution to the literature on scenario analysis. As an energy economist, I also appreciate that the book adds to the usual energy market forecasting exercises that take economic growth as exogenous to the energy markets and ignore political factors. -- Peter Hartley, Mitchell Professor of Economics and Rice Scholar in Energy Studies at the Baker Institute, Rice University Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson have written an interesting and original book in which they analyze several different scenarios for economic growth, energy prices, and international conflict over the next forty years in an engaging and accessible style. I recommend this book to anyone who wishes to understand the range of possible futures. -- James Morrow, Professor of Political Science, University of Michigan
| Author | : Lucie Deschênes |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 1993 |
| Genre | : Technological forecasting |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Conley A. Byrnes |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 108 |
| Release | : 1976 |
| Genre | : Business forecasting |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Brita Schwarz |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 122 |
| Release | : 2019-03-04 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 042971680X |
This book presents three examples of futures research that illustrate the problems of applying knowledge during the course of a futures research project, the ways in which different methodologies interact, and various means of combining and adapting methodological tools and techniques.
| Author | : National Intelligence Council |
| Publisher | : Cosimo Reports |
| Total Pages | : 158 |
| Release | : 2021-03 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9781646794973 |
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
| Author | : Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg |
| Publisher | : SAGE Publications, Incorporated |
| Total Pages | : 384 |
| Release | : 1983-08 |
| Genre | : Philosophy |
| ISBN | : |
A review of the concepts and methods of futures research, and what they tell us about the possible futures of urgent social problems. The author is best known for his development of the Delphi forecasting procedure, of cross-impact analysis, and of many other predictive techniques now used by business and government. This collection of his key essays amounts to a history of the field, showing us key events in its conceptual and methodological development. The growth of decision oriented prediction out of operations research, its relation to systems analysis, the introduction of specific techniques such as Delphi and cross-impact analysis, technology assessment, and game theory are all discussed. A series of applications of futures research follows, providing fascinating and persuasive predictions on the future of computerization, space travel, biomedicine, urban change, population trends, military technology, education, international relations, and development. The author closes with a consideration of the future of futures research.
| Author | : James K. Lein |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 169 |
| Release | : 2016-12-08 |
| Genre | : Architecture |
| ISBN | : 1498716628 |
This book explores the challenges of presenting sustainability as a more actionable or practical concept and identifying approaches that might offer useful assistance in addressing the temporal and spatial representation of sustainability. The underlying premise of this book is that sustainability is a state realized in the future. In that future there is a geographic arrangement of society and economy that agrees with its environmental setting. This future perspective introduces a little examined subject area that can lend significant content to the sustainability challenge: Futures Research.
| Author | : World Future Society |
| Publisher | : Transaction Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 258 |
| Release | : 1987-01-01 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 9780930242305 |
The World Future Society is an independent, nonprofit, scientific and educational organization concerned with how people will live in the coming decades. Founded in 1966, the Society currently has over 25,000 members worldwide. Individuals and groups from all nations are eligible to join the Society and participate in its programs and activities. The Society publishes a number of periodicals and books, sponsors local chapters, and holds conferences and assemblies. The publications include THE FUTURIST, a bimonthly magazine reporting trends, forecasts, and ideas about the future; FUTURE SURVEY, a monthly digest of abstracts of futures-relevant literature; and FUTURES RESEARCH QUARTERLY, a professional journal providing information on more technical future-oriented topics. The Society also maintains a unique bookstore that enables members to purchase future-related books, cassette recordings of Society conference sessions, videocassettes, and more, all at special member prices. Chapters of the World Future Society are active in both the United States and abroad. Chapters offer speakers, educational courses, seminars, and other opportunities for members in local areas to meet and work together. World Future Society conferences and general assemblies provide opportunities to hear and meet many outstanding thinkers. The Society's next major conference will be held in Washington, B.C., in August 1989.
