Liquidity At Risk Joint Stress Testing Of Solvency And Liquidity
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| Author | : Rama Cont |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 39 |
| Release | : 2020-06-05 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513546139 |
The traditional approach to the stress testing of financial institutions focuses on capital adequacy and solvency. Liquidity stress tests have been applied in parallel to and independently from solvency stress tests, based on scenarios which may not be consistent with those used in solvency stress tests. We propose a structural framework for the joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity: our approach exploits the mechanisms underlying the solvency-liquidity nexus to derive relations between solvency shocks and liquidity shocks. These relations are then used to model liquidity and solvency risk in a coherent framework, involving external shocks to solvency and endogenous liquidity shocks arising from these solvency shocks. We define the concept of ‘Liquidity at Risk’, which quantifies the liquidity resources required for a financial institution facing a stress scenario. Finally, we show that the interaction of liquidity and solvency may lead to the amplification of equity losses due to funding costs which arise from liquidity needs. The approach described in this study provides in particular a clear methodology for quantifying the impact of economic shocks resulting from the ongoing COVID-19 crisis on the solvency and liquidity of financial institutions and may serve as a useful tool for calibrating policy responses.
| Author | : Mr.Claus Puhr |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 63 |
| Release | : 2012-01-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 147550246X |
A framework to run system-wide, balance sheet data-based liquidity stress tests is presented. The liquidity framework includes three elements: (a) a module to simulate the impact of bank run scenarios; (b) a module to assess risks arising from maturity transformation and rollover risks, implemented either in a simplified manner or as a fully-fledged cash flow-based approach; and (c) a framework to link liquidity and solvency risks. The framework also allows the simulation of how banks cope with upcoming regulatory changes (Basel III), and accommodates differences in data availability. A case study shows the impact of a "Lehman" type event for stylized banks.
| Author | : Mr.Fei Han |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 41 |
| Release | : 2019-11-15 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513521888 |
The paper presents a framework to integrate liquidity and solvency stress tests. An empirical study based on European bond trading data finds that asset sales haircuts depend on the total amount of assets sold and general liquidity conditions in the market. To account for variations in market liquidity, the study uses Markov regime-switching models and links haircuts with market volatility and the amount of securities sold by banks. The framework is accompanied by a Matlab program and an Excel-based tool, which allow the calculations to be replicated for any type of traded security and to be used for liquidity and solvency stress testing.
| Author | : Mr.Martin Cihak |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 30 |
| Release | : 2010-07-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455201391 |
The global financial crisis revealed weaknesses in the stress testing exercises performed on financial institutions and systems around the world. These failures were most evident in the area of liquidity risk, where now-obvious vulnerabilities were left largely undetected, with stress tests having largely focused on solvency risk. This paper uses publicly available data from a now-defunct bank in Iceland, where liquidity shocks were immense, to demonstrate how a combination of stress tests of the various risks would have provided a clearer picture of existing vulnerablities. We show that, ultimately, stress test models do not necessarily need to be complex or overly sophisticated. Basic stress tests, using appropriate assumptions and shocks, could reveal key areas of risk to inform contingency planning. The liquidity stress test templates used in this paper are included.
| Author | : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 56 |
| Release | : 2017-05-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 147559724X |
Bank liquidity stress testing, which has become de rigueur following the costly lessons of the global financial crisis, remains underdeveloped compared to solvency stress testing. The ability to adequately identify, model and assess the impact of liquidity shocks, which are infrequent but can have a severe impact on affected banks and financial systems, is complicated not only by data limitations but also by interactions among multiple factors. This paper provides a conceptual overview of liquidity stress testing approaches for banks and discusses their implementation by IMF staff in the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) for countries with systemically important financial sectors over the last six years.
| Author | : Shyam Venkat |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 309 |
| Release | : 2016-03-28 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1118881923 |
The most up-to-date, comprehensive guide on liquidity risk management—from the professionals Written by a team of industry leaders from the Price Waterhouse Coopers Financial Services Regulatory Practice, Liquidity Risk Management is the first book of its kind to pull back the curtain on a global approach to liquidity risk management in the post-financial crisis. Now, as a number of regulatory initiatives emerge, this timely and informative book explores the real-world implications of risk management practices in today's market. Taking a clear and focused approach to the operational and financial obligations of liquidity risk management, the book builds upon a foundational knowledge of banking and capital markets and explores in-depth the key aspects of the subject, including governance, regulatory developments, analytical frameworks, reporting, strategic implications, and more. The book also addresses management practices that are particularly insightful to liquidity risk management practitioners and managers in numerous areas of banking organizations. Each chapter is authored by a Price Waterhouse Coopers partner or director who has significant, hands-on expertise Content addresses key areas of the subject, such as liquidity stress testing and information reporting Several chapters are devoted to Basel III and its implications for bank liquidity risk management and business strategy Includes a dedicated, current, and all-inclusive look at liquidity risk management Complemented with hands-on insight from the field's leading authorities on the subject, Liquidity Risk Management is essential reading for practitioners and managers within banking organizations looking for the most current information on liquidity risk management.
| Author | : Andreas Jobst |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 70 |
| Release | : 2012-08-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475505590 |
Little progress has been made so far in addressing—in a comprehensive way—the externalities caused by impact of the interconnectedness within institutions and markets on funding and market liquidity risk within financial systems. The Systemic Risk-adjusted Liquidity (SRL) model combines option pricing with market information and balance sheet data to generate a probabilistic measure of the frequency and severity of multiple entities experiencing a joint liquidity event. It links a firm’s maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities impacting the stability of its funding with those characteristics of other firms, subject to individual changes in risk profiles and common changes in market conditions. This approach can then be used (i) to quantify an individual institution’s time-varying contribution to system-wide liquidity shortfalls and (ii) to price liquidity risk within a macroprudential framework that, if used to motivate a capital charge or insurance premia, provides incentives for liquidity managers to internalize the systemic risk of their decisions. The model can also accommodate a stress testing approach for institution-specific and/or general funding shocks that generate estimates of systemic liquidity risk (and associated charges) under adverse scenarios.
| Author | : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 84 |
| Release | : 2014-07-22 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 149832455X |
Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.
| Author | : Mr.Tobias Adrian |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 73 |
| Release | : 2020-02-05 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513520741 |
This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.
| Author | : Leonard Matz |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 413 |
| Release | : 2006-11-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0470821825 |
Major events such as the Asian crisis in 1997, the Russian default on short-term debt in 1998, the downfall of the hedge fund long-term capital management in 1998 and the disruption in payment systems following the World Trade Center attack in 2001, all resulted in increased management’s attention to liquidity risk. Banks have realized that adequate systems and processes for identifying, measuring, monitoring and controlling liquidity risks help them to maintain a strong liquidity position, which in turn will increase the confidence of investors and rating agencies as well as improve funding costs and availability. Liquidity Risk Measurement and Management: A Practitioner’s Guide to Global Best Practices provides the best practices in tools and techniques for bank liquidity risk measurement and management. Experienced bankers and highly regarded liquidity risk experts share their insights and practical experiences in this book.
