Author:
Publisher: IICA
Total Pages: 498
Release:
Genre:
ISBN:

Impact Evaluation in Practice;La Evaluación de Impacto en la Práctica

Impact Evaluation in Practice;La Evaluación de Impacto en la Práctica
Author: Paul J. Gertler
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 257
Release: 2011-06-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821386816

This book offers an accessible introduction to the topic of impact evaluation and its practice in development. While the book is geared principally towards development practitioners and policymakers designing prospective impact evaluations, we trust that it will be a valuable resource for students and others interested in using impact evaluation. Prospective impact evaluations should be used selectively to assess whether or not a program has achieved its intended results, or to test alternatives for achieving those results. We consider that more and better impact evaluation will help strengthen the evidence base for development policies and programs around the world. If governments and development practitioners can make policy decisions based on evidence - including evidence generated through impact evaluation - our hope is that development resources will be spent more effectively, and ultimately have a greater impact on reducing poverty and improving people's lives. The three chapters in this handbook provide a non-technical introduction to impact evaluations, including “Why Evaluate” in Chapter 1, “How to Evaluate” in Chapter 2 and “How to Implement Impact Evaluations” in Chapter 3. These elements are the basic ‘tools' needed in order to successfully carry out an impact evaluation. From a methodological standpoint our approach to impact evaluation is largely pragmatic: we think that the most appropriate methods should be identified to fit the operational context, and not the other way around. This is best achieved at the outset of the program, through the design of prospective impact evaluation that can be built into the project's implementation. We argue that gaining consensus between key stakeholders and identifying an evaluation design that fits the political and operational context is as important as the method itself. We also believe strongly that impact evaluations should be upfront about their limitations and caveats. Finally, we strongly encourage policymakers and program managers to consider impact evaluations in a logical framework that clearly sets out the causal pathways by which the program works to produce outputs and influence final outcomes, and to combine impact evaluations with monitoring and selected complementary evaluation approach to gain a full picture of performance. This book builds on a core set of teaching materials developed for the “Turning Promises to Evidence” workshops organized by the office of the Chief Economist for Human Development (HDNCE) in partnership with regional units and the Development Economics Research Group (DECRG) at the World Bank.

Author:
Publisher: Food & Agriculture Org.
Total Pages: 220
Release:
Genre:
ISBN: 9251390592

Business Forecasting

Business Forecasting
Author: John E. Hanke
Publisher: Pearson Educación
Total Pages: 544
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789702607595

This top-selling book presents, in a straightforward, application-driven manner, the basic statistical techniques necessary for preparing individual business forecasts and long-range plans. The emphasis is on the application of techniques by management for decision-making. This essential book provides understandable coverage of several important topics, often omitted from other books, including econometrics; autocorrelation analysis and the use of Box-Jenkins techniques; judgmental forecasting techniques; and the means of selecting the correct forecasting technique and analyzing data. The book also reviews statistical concepts prior to introducing material that requires an understanding of those concepts. The sixth edition of Business Forecasting has been revised to include instructions on using Excel spreadsheets and the statistical package MINITAB in forecasting. An essential reference for every professional in a business of any size, from large corporations to small family-run firms.

Cuando no basta el crecimiento

Cuando no basta el crecimiento
Author: Francisco Galrao Carneiro
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 210
Release: 2017-09-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1464811903

La República Dominicana se destaca por ser una economía en rápido crecimiento que no le ha sido posible generar una reducción proporcional en la pobreza. Tres razones han sido planteadas anteriormente para explicar esta paradoja: (i) un mercado laboral que no traduce el aumento de la productividad en aumentos salariales; (ii) una economía interna con débiles encadenamientos intersectoriales; (iii) y un sector público que ni gasta lo suficiente, ni particularmente bien, para reducir la pobreza. Además, el país permanece mayormente expuesto a desastres naturales y choques exógenos que, si no se mitigan adecuadamente, pueden afectar la sostenibilidad del crecimiento a largo y mediano plazos. Esta obra conjuga varios análisis empíricos que exploran tres hipótesis complementarias que podrían ayudar a entender porqué la República Dominicana, aún hoy, sigue experimentando altas tasas de crecimiento económico con reducción limitada de la pobreza. La primera hipótesis trata de probar si el patrón de rápido crecimiento económico con la pobreza persistente que se observa en la RD lo impulsa en parte una metodología de la pobreza que no toma en cuenta la variación de precios que claramente afecta los patrones de consumo de los hogares de ingresos bajo y aquéllos de mejor posición económica. Si se sostiene esa hipótesis, la RD puede enfrentar una situación en la cual se subestiman los ingresos del hogar con respecto a los hogares en el extremo inferior de la distribución. La segunda hipótesis intenta validar si el patrón de especialización en la RD podría ser tal que no favorece la mano de obra no calificada. Si se sostiene esa hipótesis, entonces el rendimiento del capital probablemente es mucho mayor que el rendimiento de la mano de obra lo que podría ser un indicio de que la RD ha tenido una ventaja comparativa en productos que son de uso intensivo de capital. La tercera hipótesis investiga si la pobreza y la desigualdad salarial en la RD se ven afectadas no solo por la inmigración, sino también por la emigración. El aporte del volumen, por tanto, descansa precisamente en ofrecer una exploración más cuidadosa de los asuntos específicos que giran en torno a explicaciones comunes para las deficiencias de la RD en reducir la pobreza de manera más rápida.