Is The Intrinsic Value Of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related To Their Asset Price Impact
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Is the Intrinsic Value of a Macroeconomic News Announcement Related to Its Asset Price Impact?
| Author | : Thomas Gilbert |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 57 |
| Release | : 2017 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news announcements. We relate this heterogeneity to a novel measure of the intrinsic value of an announcement -- the announcement's ability to nowcast GDP growth, inflation, and the federal funds target rate -- and find that differences across the intrinsic values of several U.S. macroeconomic announcements explain a significant fraction of the variation in the impact each of these announcements has on U.S. Treasury yields. We also decompose the intrinsic value into the announcement's relation to fundamentals, a timeliness premium, and a revision premium, and find that the last two characteristics are the most important ones in explaining the heterogeneous response.
Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to Their Asset Price Impact?
| Author | : |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 54 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9789289916950 |
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news announcements: Some announcements have a strong impact on asset prices and others do not. In order to explain these differences, we estimate a novel measure of the intrinsic value of a macroeconomic announcement, which we define as the announcement's ability to nowcast GDP growth, inflation, and the Federal Funds Target Rate. Using the same nowcasting framework, we then decompose this intrinsic value into the announcement's characteristics: its relation to fundamentals, timing, and revision noise. We find that in the 1998{2013 period, a significant fraction of the variation in the announcements' price impact on the Treasury bond futures market can be explained by differences in intrinsic value. Furthermore, our novel measure of timing explains significantly more of this variation than the announcements' relation to fundamentals, reporting lag (which previous studies have used as a measure of timing), or revision noise.
Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations
| Author | : Juan Angel Garcia |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 59 |
| Release | : 2018-07-19 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484363019 |
Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protracted period of low (and below-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened their anchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news, this paper expands existing results in two key dimensions. First, by analyzing all available (advanced) inflation releases. Second, the reactions of expectations are investigated at daily, time-varying and intraday frequency regressions to add robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significant impact of inflation news over recent years that had not been observed before in the euro area.
Advanced Macroeconomics
| Author | : Patrick Minford |
| Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
| Total Pages | : 578 |
| Release | : 2019 |
| Genre | : Macroeconomics |
| ISBN | : 1788970985 |
This is a newly revised second edition of a key macroeconomic textbook. After explaining the historical development of the subject, they show how rational expectations are handled in macro models. The importance of structural micro-founded models is explained, with key examples of such structural models examined in detail and with extensions to the open economy; policy implications are highlighted throughout. Methods for testing these models against macro data behaviour are explained, detailing the latest evidence on these models' success.
Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers
| Author | : Sabri Boubaker |
| Publisher | : World Scientific |
| Total Pages | : 828 |
| Release | : 2019-06-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9813236663 |
The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.
The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I
| Author | : Luc Nijs |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 822 |
| Release | : 2020-06-30 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3030347435 |
This global handbook provides an up-to-date and comprehensive overview of shadow banking, or market-based finance as it has been recently coined. Engaging in financial intermediary services outside of normal regulatory parameters, the shadow banking sector was arguably a critical factor in causing the 2007-2009 financial crisis. This volume focuses specifically on shadow banking activities, risk, policy and regulatory issues. It evaluates the nexus between policy design and regulatory output around the world, paying attention to the concept of risk in all its dimensions—the legal, financial, market, economic and monetary perspectives. Particular attention is given to spillover risk, contagion risk and systemic risk and their positioning and relevance in shadow banking activities. Newly introduced and incoming policies are evaluated in detail, as well as how risk is managed, observed and assessed, and how new regulation can potentially create new sources of risk. Volume I concludes with analysis of what will and still needs to happen in the event of another crisis. Proposing innovative suggestions for improvement, including a novel Pigovian tax to tame financial and systemic risks, this handbook is a must-read for professionals and policy-makers within the banking sector, as well as those researching economics and finance.
Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action
| Author | : Deniz Ozenbas |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 111 |
| Release | : 2022 |
| Genre | : Business enterprises |
| ISBN | : 3030748170 |
This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.
Alternative Economic Indicators
| Author | : C. James Hueng |
| Publisher | : W.E. Upjohn Institute |
| Total Pages | : 133 |
| Release | : 2020-09-08 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0880996765 |
Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.
