Interpretations of Probability

Interpretations of Probability
Author: Andrei Khrennikov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter
Total Pages: 241
Release: 2009-02-26
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3110213192

This is the first fundamental book devoted to non-Kolmogorov probability models. It provides a mathematical theory of negative probabilities, with numerous applications to quantum physics, information theory, complexity, biology and psychology. The book also presents an interesting model of cognitive information reality with flows of information probabilities, describing the process of thinking, social, and psychological phenomena.

Probability in the Sciences

Probability in the Sciences
Author: Evandro Agazzi
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 269
Release: 2011-11-03
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9789401078771

Probability has become one of the most characteristic con cepts of modern culture, and a 'probabilistic way of thinking' may be said to have penetrated almost every sector of our in tellectual life. However it would be difficult to determine an explicit list of 'positive' features, to be proposed as identifica tion marks of this way of thinking. One would rather say that it is characterized by certain 'negative' features, i. e. by certain at titudes which appear to be the negation of well established tra ditional assumptions, conceptual frameworks, world outlooks and the like. It is because of this opposition to tradition that the probabilistic approach is perceived as expressing a 'modern' in tellectual style. As an example one could mention the widespread diffidence in philosophy with respect to self -contained systems claiming to express apodictic truths, instead of which much weaker pretensions are preferred, that express 'probable' interpretations of reality, of history, of man (the hermeneutic trend). An ana logous example is represented by the interest devoted to the study of different patterns of 'argumentation', dealing wiht reasonings which rely not so much on the truth of the premisses and stringent formal logic links, but on a display of contextual conditions (depending on the audience, and on accepted stan dards, judgements, and values), which render the premisses and the conclusions more 'probable' (the new rhetoric).

Interpretations of Probability

Interpretations of Probability
Author: Andrei Khrennikov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2020-01-20
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3110917777

Like geometry, probability can not be reduced to just one model to describe all physical and biological phenomena. Each model has a restricted range of applications. Quantum physics demonstrated that the use of conventional probability models induces some paradoxes. Such paradoxes can be resolved by using non-Kolmogorov probability models, developed on the basis of purely classical interpretations of probability: frequency and ensemble. Frequency models describe violations of the law of large numbers. Ensemble models are models with infinitely small probabilities. This is the first fundamental book devoted to non-Kolmogorov probability models. It provides the first mathematical theory of negative probabilities - with numerous applications to quantum physics, information theory, complexity, biology and psychology. Natural models with negative (frequency and ensemble) probabilities are developed in the framework of so called p-adic analysis. The book also contains an extremely interesting model of cognitive information reality with flows of information probabilities, describing the process of thinking, social and psychological phenomena. This book will be of value and interest to specialists in probability theory, statistics, functional analysis, quantum physics and (partly) specialists in cognitive sciences and psychology.

Truth, Possibility and Probability

Truth, Possibility and Probability
Author: R. Chuaqui
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 505
Release: 1991-06-20
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0080872778

Anyone involved in the philosophy of science is naturally drawn into the study of the foundations of probability. Different interpretations of probability, based on competing philosophical ideas, lead to different statistical techniques, and frequently to mutually contradictory consequences. This unique book presents a new interpretation of probability, rooted in the traditional interpretation that was current in the 17th and 18th centuries. Mathematical models are constructed based on this interpretation, and statistical inference and decision theory are applied, including some examples in artificial intelligence, solving the main foundational problems. Nonstandard analysis is extensively developed for the construction of the models and in some of the proofs. Many nonstandard theorems are proved, some of them new, in particular, a representation theorem that asserts that any stochastic process can be approximated by a process defined over a space with equiprobable outcomes.

Interpreting Probability

Interpreting Probability
Author: David Howie
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 276
Release: 2002-08-08
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1139434373

The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This 2002 book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.

Interpretations of Probability

Interpretations of Probability
Author: Andreĭ I︠U︡rʹevich Khrennikov
Publisher: de Gruyter
Total Pages: 248
Release: 2009
Genre: Probabilities
ISBN:

Discusses non-Kolomogorov probability models. This book presents a mathematical theory of negative probabilities, with numerous applications to quantum physics, information theory, complexity, biology and psychology. It offers a model of cognitive information reality with flows of information probabilities.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Philosophical Theories of Probability
Author: Donald Gillies
Publisher: Psychology Press
Total Pages: 239
Release: 2000
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0415182751

The use of probability and statistics has increased dramatically in all fields of research. This book presents an account of the resultant philosophical theories of probability and explains how they relate to one another.

Janus-Faced Probability

Janus-Faced Probability
Author: Paolo Rocchi
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 150
Release: 2014-04-25
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319048619

The problem of probability interpretation was long overlooked before exploding in the 20th century, when the frequentist and subjectivist schools formalized two conflicting conceptions of probability. Beyond the radical followers of the two schools, a circle of pluralist thinkers tends to reconcile the opposing concepts. The author uses two theorems in order to prove that the various interpretations of probability do come into opposition and can be used in different contexts. The goal here is to clarify the multi fold nature of probability by means of a purely mathematical approach and to show how philosophical arguments can only serve to deepen actual intellectual contrasts. The book can be considered as one of the most important contributions in the analysis of probability interpretation in the last 10-15 years.

The Meaning of the Concept of Probability in Application to Finite Sequences (Routledge Revivals)

The Meaning of the Concept of Probability in Application to Finite Sequences (Routledge Revivals)
Author: Hilary Putnam
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 150
Release: 2011
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0415687942

First published in 1990, this is a reissue of Professor Hilary Putnam's dissertation thesis, written in 1951, which concerns itself with The Meaning of the Concept of Probability in Application to Finite Sequences and the problems of the deductive justification for induction. Written under the direction of Putnam's mentor, Hans Reichenbach, the book considers Reichenbach's idealization of very long finite sequences as infinite sequences and the bearing this has upon Reichenbach's pragmatic vindication of induction.

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling
Author: Mauricio Suárez
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages:
Release: 2021-01-21
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 1108983847

This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.