The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America

The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America
Author: Rudiger Dornbusch
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 416
Release: 2007-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226158489

Again and again, Latin America has seen the populist scenario played to an unfortunate end. Upon gaining power, populist governments attempt to revive the economy through massive spending. After an initial recovery, inflation reemerges and the government responds with wage an price controls. Shortages, overvaluation, burgeoning deficits, and capital flight soon precipitate economic crisis, with a subsequent collapse of the populist regime. The lessons of this experience are especially valuable for countries in Eastern Europe, as they face major political and economic decisions. Economists and political scientists from the United States and Latin America detail in this volume how and why such programs go wrong and what leads policymakers to repeatedly adopt these policies despite a history of failure. Authors examine this pattern in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Nicaragua, and Peru—and show how Colombia managed to avoid it. Despite differences in how each country implemented its policies, the macroeconomic consequences were remarkably similar. Scholars of Latin America will find this work a valuable resource, offering a distinctive macroeconomic perspective on the continuing controversy over the dynamics of populism.

INFORMS Analytics Body of Knowledge

INFORMS Analytics Body of Knowledge
Author: James J. Cochran
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2018-10-23
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119483212

Standardizes the definition and framework of analytics #2 on Book Authority’s list of the Best New Analytics Books to Read in 2019 (January 2019) We all want to make a difference. We all want our work to enrich the world. As analytics professionals, we are fortunate - this is our time! We live in a world of pervasive data and ubiquitous, powerful computation. This convergence has inspired and accelerated the development of both analytic techniques and tools and this potential for analytics to have an impact has been a huge call to action for organizations, universities, and governments. This title from Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) represents the perspectives of some of the most respected experts on analytics. Readers with various backgrounds in analytics – from novices to experienced professionals – will benefit from reading about and implementing the concepts and methods covered here. Peer reviewed chapters provide readers with in-depth insights and a better understanding of the dynamic field of analytics The INFORMS Analytics Body of Knowledge documents the core concepts and skills with which an analytics professional should be familiar; establishes a dynamic resource that will be used by practitioners to increase their understanding of analytics; and, presents instructors with a framework for developing academic courses and programs in analytics.

How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth

How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth
Author: Mr.Eduardo Borensztein
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 1994-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451853270

We test the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in a cross-country regression framework, utilizing data on FDI flows from industrial countries to 69 developing countries over the last two decades. Our results suggest that FDI is an important vehicle for the transfer of technology, contributing relatively more to growth than domestic investment. However, the higher productivity of FDI holds only when the host country has a minimum threshold stock of human capital. In addition, FDI has the effect of increasing total investment in the economy more than one for one, which suggests the predominance of complementarity effects with domestic firms.

Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries

Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries
Author: Mr.Alberto Alesina
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1996-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451960433

This paper studies how the composition of fiscal adjustments influences their likelihood of “success”, defined as a long lasting deficit reduction, and their macroeconomic consequences. We find that fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on spending cuts on transfers and the government wage bill have a better chance of being successful and are expansionary. On the contrary fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on tax increases and cuts in public investment tend not to last and are contractionary. We discuss alterative explanations for these findings by studying both a full sample of OECD countries and by focusing on three case studies: Denmark, Ireland and Italy.

Pitfalls of Participatory Programs

Pitfalls of Participatory Programs
Author:
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2008
Genre: Education
ISBN:

Participation of beneficiaries in the monitoring of public services is increasingly seen as a key to improving their efficiency. In India, the current government flagship program on universal primary education organizes both locally elected leaders and parents of children enrolled in public schools into committees and gives these groups powers over resource allocation, and monitoring and management of school performance. However, in a baseline survey we found that people were not aware of the existence of these committees and their potential for improving education. This paper evaluates three different interventions to encourage beneficiaries' participation through these committees: providing information, training community members in a new testing tool, and training and organizing volunteers to hold remedial reading camps for illiterate children. We find that these interventions had no impact on community involvement in public schools, and no impact on teacher effort or learning outcomes in those schools. However, we do find that the intervention that trained volunteers to teach children to read had a large impact on activity outside public schools -- local youths volunteered to be trained to teach, and children who attended these camps substantially improved their reading skills. These results suggest that citizens face substantial constraints in participating to improve the public education system, even when they care about education and are willing to do something to improve it.

IMF Programs

IMF Programs
Author: Robert J. Barro
Publisher:
Total Pages: 66
Release: 2002
Genre: Economic assistance
ISBN:

IMF lending practices respond to economic conditions but are also sensitive to political-economy variables. Specifically, the sizes and frequencies of loans are influenced by a country's presence at the Fund, as measured by the country's share of quotas and professional staff. IMF lending is also sensitive to a country's political and economic proximity to some major shareholding countries of the IMF -- the United States, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. We measured political proximity by voting patterns in the United Nations and economic proximity by bilateral trading volumes. These results are of considerable interest for their own sake but also provide instrumental variables for estimating the effects of IMF lending on economic performance. Instrumental estimates indicate that the size of IMF lending is insignificantly related to economic growth in the contemporaneous five-year period but has a significantly negative effect in the subsequent five years.