International Diversification Using Cointegration and Modern Portfolio Theory

International Diversification Using Cointegration and Modern Portfolio Theory
Author: Jose Balarezo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 116
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

It is widely accepted that diversifying internationally is a sound strategy because correlations among securities in different countries are lower as compared to local securities. We argue however, that in some instances, diversifying internationally might not be as effective; therefore, investors need to be careful in choosing where to diversify internationally. For investors with longer time horizons, if countries share common long term movements, the benefits of international diversification will be diminished. We argue that international diversification will benefit investors only in the cases that the home country does not cointegrate with the foreign market. To verify this argument, this paper uses cointegration techniques to investigate long term movements between The U.S. and 15 foreign markets, and then uses country ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) to build portfolios constructed by combining the findings of the cointegration techniques with Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and compares the results against portfolios built solely on MPT. The results clearly support our hypothesis as in more than 90% of the cases tested, the portfolios constructed by combining the findings of our cointegration analysis with the optimization techniques of MPT outperform - in a risk adjusted basis - portfolios constructed only by using the optimization techniques used by MPT.

Impact of Natural Disasters on Cointegration and Diversification

Impact of Natural Disasters on Cointegration and Diversification
Author: Dr. Isha Rawal
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

This study identifies the impact of three natural disasters on cointegrating relationship among selected world stock market indices. The study further suggests the best international diversification strategy in case of the occurrence of an extreme event from the perspective of an Indian investor. A vast amount of research suggests that international portfolio diversification helps to spread the risk of any adversity occurring in a particular country as the correlations among stocks in various countries are lower as compared to local securities. But the disagreement nevertheless is that in a number of instances, diversifying internationally might not be effective. To fill this research gap, the study employs Johansen multivariate cointegration test to evaluate change in the financial linkages between selected stock market indices during the pre- and post-one year event period for three events to include China Earthquake of 2008, Japan earthquake and tsunami of 2011 and the US Hurricane Sandy of 2012. The study further compares performance of different portfolio diversification strategies, viz., Naive 1/N portfolio construction technique, Markowitz modern portfolio theory and cointegration-based portfolio construction method with the aid of Sharpe's ratio. The study finds that with the help of cointegration analysis, effective portfolio selection can be done to seek maximum diversification benefit.

Financial Globalization, Portfolio Diversification, and the Pattern of International Trade

Financial Globalization, Portfolio Diversification, and the Pattern of International Trade
Author: Miklós Koren
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2003-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451875614

The paper provides a general-equilibrium model where incomplete international financial markets lead to insufficient industrial specialization and low international trade. As international portfolio diversification is limited and productivity is uncertain, investors wish to maintain a diversified industrial structure rather than specializing according to their comparative advantage. Financial globalization then induces more specialization and more trade. The present framework yields explicit closed-form solutions for the volume and the structure of trade. Empirical results support the implications of the theory. Trade in financially open countries is (i) higher, (ii) more dependent on productivity differences, and (iii) less sensitive to industry risks.

Emerging Market Portfolios

Emerging Market Portfolios
Author: Michael G. Papaioannou
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
Total Pages: 392
Release: 1997
Genre: Bond market
ISBN:

Emerging Market Portfolios presents a framework for effective risk management in emerging capital markets. The many difficulties and opportunities encountered are presented in detail, including historical patterns of development in emerging equity markets; profit and safety through recommended portfolio allocation methods; issues of volatility and cointegration in investment decisions; availability of derivative instruments, and recent developments in derivative pricing; and unexpected barriers to using financial risk management tools. Emerging Market Portfolios explores the potential of adapting and applying the analytical tools of modern portfolio theory to emerging markets investment. Hedging strategies and vehicles are presented and analyzed, areas of higher risk-adjusted return potential are identified and state-of-the-art research on asset and derivative pricing is presented. Emerging Market Portfolios is a thorough, expert analysis of emerging market investment and risk control, with emphasis on applicable diversification and hedging strategies.

Handbook of Portfolio Construction

Handbook of Portfolio Construction
Author: John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 796
Release: 2009-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0387774394

Portfolio construction is fundamental to the investment management process. In the 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated the benefits of efficient diversification by formulating a mathematical program for generating the "efficient frontier" to summarize optimal trade-offs between expected return and risk. The Markowitz framework continues to be used as a basis for both practical portfolio construction and emerging research in financial economics. Such concepts as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), for example, provide the foundation for setting benchmarks, for predicting returns and risk, and for performance measurement. This volume showcases original essays by some of today’s most prominent academics and practitioners in the field on the contemporary application of Markowitz techniques. Covering a wide spectrum of topics, including portfolio selection, data mining tests, and multi-factor risk models, the book presents a comprehensive approach to portfolio construction tools, models, frameworks, and analyses, with both practical and theoretical implications.