Information content of analysts' composite forecast revisions
Author | : Eugene A. Imhoff, Jr. and Gerald J. Lobo |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 1983 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Eugene A. Imhoff, Jr. and Gerald J. Lobo |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 1983 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Pamela S. Stuerke |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 34 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
This paper develops a theory of the frequency of financial analysts' forecast revisions and then tests the empirical predictions of the model. Financial analysts act as information intermediaries for firms and investors and therefore their forecast revision frequency helps explain the equilibrium of the supply of and demand for earnings predictions and assessments of firm value. The theory is based on the analyst's costs of information gathering and the profits obtained from selling the information to investors. Our analysis is conducted in two stages. In the first stage, a single-period, Kyle (1985) model is used to determine the profits generated by privately informed investors who trade on the analyst's forecast revision. The analyst is assumed to be compensated as a function of these profits. In the second stage, the analyst's optimal revision frequency to collect and sell private information is determined. We find that the analyst's optimal revision frequency is increasing in the variance of liquidity trading volume, the volatility of the underlying earnings process, and the earnings-response coefficient and decreasing in the total number of informed traders who invest in the firm and the cost of revision. These theoretical results are developed into empirical hypotheses that the frequency of analysts' forecast revisions between earnings announcements is positively associated with variability of the earnings process, average prior trading volume, and earnings response coefficients, and negatively associated with skewness of prior trading volume, after controlling for firm size and prior average daily stock price changes. These hypotheses are tested cross-sectionally and we find significant support each of the hypothesized relations.
Author | : Luc Thévenoz |
Publisher | : Kluwer Law International B.V. |
Total Pages | : 422 |
Release | : 2007-01-01 |
Genre | : Law |
ISBN | : 9041125787 |
Conflicts of interest arise naturally in all walks of life, particularly in business life. As general and indeed inevitable phenomena, conflicts of interest should not be prohibited but properly managed. This book presents indepth analysis of such management in three areas of corporate governance where the conflict-of-interest problems are particularly acute: executive compensation, financial analysis, and asset management. ""Conflicts of Interest"" presents the results of a two-year-long research project bringing together academics and practitioners in both law and finance from Europe and the.
Author | : Kanyuan Huang |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 60 |
Release | : 2022 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
This paper examines the information contained in analyst forecast revisions following earnings announcements. I find that sorting firms on aggregated forecast revisions generates a much stronger post-earnings-announcement drift than sorting on measures of earnings surprises. The strong association between aggregated forecast revisions and post-earnings-announcement returns is driven by the subsample of firms with large-magnitude earnings surprises. This result is consistent with analysts' roles in interpreting corporate earnings. Further, the mispricing is the strongest when forecast revisions contradict earnings surprises, suggesting investors have difficulties in processing contradictory signals. Lastly, I document aggregated forecast revisions are more informative when the information environment around earnings announcements is more opaque, when firms have high accruals and when investors do not pay attention to the firm. They are less informative when analysts disagree with each other. Overall, these results point to the value of analyst forecast revisions following earnings announcements.
Author | : Ahmed Riahi-Belkaoui |
Publisher | : Bloomsbury Publishing USA |
Total Pages | : 289 |
Release | : 2001-12-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 031300482X |
The impact of multinationality on the operations of a firm is clear and strong. Riahi-Belkaoui shows how it affects the known relationships between earnings, efficiency, disclosure, and market valuation by its role as a dependent, moderating, intervening antecedant or consequent variable. Its impact can be felt, for example, in relationships and phenomena such as the timeliness and the informativeness of earnings, the underreaction of securities analysts, post-earnings announcement drifts, and the level and quality of disclosure. An understanding of multinationality in the earnings-disclosure-efficiency-market valuation relationship can also be used by accountants and researchers in their daily activities, and by corporate executives in multinational organizational decision making. The result is a useful, probing exploration for academics and practitioners alike.
Author | : Lawrence David Brown |
Publisher | : Manchester University Press |
Total Pages | : 442 |
Release | : 1985 |
Genre | : Accounting |
ISBN | : 9780719017117 |
Author | : Bimal Prodhan |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 188 |
Release | : 2014-11-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 131796294X |
An invaluable tool for the researcher in accounting history, this comprehensive database, structured in an accessible way, analyses over 1,200 articles from four mainstream accounting journals from the UK and USA. Each article (originally published between 1976 and 1985) was analysed in two ways: first, into empirical or conceptual categories and second, into one of twenty topic areas. The journals covered are Journal of Accounting Research, The Accounting Review, Accounting and Business Research and Journal of Business Finance and Accounting.
Author | : Wei Hsu (Ph.D.) |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 84 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : Business forecasting |
ISBN | : |
I examine how firm-specific private and public information affect analyst forecast revisions. I find that when managers easily beat (struggle to meet) the consensus forecasts in the previous quarter, financial analysts revise their earnings forecasts upward (downward). The revision magnitudes are higher when there is more private information. Similarly, I find that when managers provide upward (downward) earnings guidance, analysts revise their forecasts upward (downward) more when there is more private information. In contrast, the revision magnitudes are lower when there is more public information. Additionally, I find that the magnitudes of analysts' downward revisions increase with private information prior to the stock option grant dates. I attribute these results to the analysts' dependence on managers in gleaning relevant private information. The effect of private information is smaller for firms covered by star analysts, consistent with star analysts acting as sophisticated skeptics and being more confident in their forecasts than other analysts. Further, for well-governed firms, upward revisions for positive earnings surprises are smaller when there is more private information. This is consistent with stronger governance attenuating analysts' concerns about firms' earnings quality, which in turn increases their reliance on public earnings numbers and reduces their need to accommodate managers for private information. Finally, I find that private information is negatively associated with target price forecast accuracy, and positively associated with target price forecast optimism. These results suggest that greater information asymmetry adversely affects forecast accuracy and creates incentives for analysts to appease managers to access private information.
Author | : Lise Newman Graham |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 334 |
Release | : 1993 |
Genre | : Corporate profits |
ISBN | : |