The Great Inflation

The Great Inflation
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 545
Release: 2013-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226066959

Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

Monetary Stability in Europe

Monetary Stability in Europe
Author: Stefan Collignon
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2003-09-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1134499280

In this book, the author presents fresh perspectives on the theories surrounding European Monetary Union. Urging the reader to examine conventional ideas from new viewpoints, he discusses the events which led to EMU, analyses the current situation, and projects possible futures. Essential reading for academics and professionals concerned with the background and implications of EMU, this book will also be of considerable interest to scholars in the fields of European studies, monetary economics, international economics and economic history.

Still Minding the Gap—Inflation Dynamics during Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps

Still Minding the Gap—Inflation Dynamics during Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps
Author: Mr.Andre Meier
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2010-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455202231

This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at very low positive inflation rates, arguably reflecting downward nominal rigidities and well-anchored inflation expectations. Temporary inflation increases during episodes were, in turn, systematically related to currency depreciation or higher oil prices. Overall, the historical patterns suggest little upside inflation risk in advanced economies facing the prospect of persistent large output gaps.

21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19

21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19
Author: Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Total Pages: 448
Release: 2022-05-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1324020474

21st Century Monetary Policy takes readers inside the Federal Reserve, explaining what it does and why. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve deployed an extraordinary range of policy tools that helped prevent the collapse of the financial system and the U.S. economy. Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues lent directly to U.S. businesses, purchased trillions of dollars of government securities, pumped dollars into the international financial system, and crafted a new framework for monetary policy that emphasized job creation. These strategies would have astonished Powell’s late-20th-century predecessors, from William McChesney Martin to Alan Greenspan, and the advent of these tools raises new questions about the future landscape of economic policy. In 21st Century Monetary Policy, Ben S. Bernanke—former chair of the Federal Reserve and one of the world’s leading economists—explains the Fed’s evolution and speculates on its future. Taking a fresh look at the bank’s policymaking over the past seventy years, including his own time as chair, Bernanke shows how changes in the economy have driven the Fed’s innovations. He also lays out new challenges confronting the Fed, including the return of inflation, cryptocurrencies, increased risks of financial instability, and threats to its independence. Beyond explaining the central bank’s new policymaking tools, Bernanke also captures the drama of moments when so much hung on the Fed’s decisions, as well as the personalities and philosophies of those who led the institution.

Inflation, Institutions and Information

Inflation, Institutions and Information
Author: Daniel Vaz
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 416
Release: 1996-04-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349135216

Macroeconomics has undergone profound changes since the Keynesian consensus broke down in the mid-60s. Axel Leijonhufvud belonged to that core group of distinguished macroeconomists who wrought the changes that brought back the classical questions to the subject: microfoundations, money, markets, institutions, information, transition dynamics and much else. He fashioned a whole series of conceptual innovations that have become part of the folklore of monetary macroeconomics. In this collection of essays distinguished colleagues and former students pay homage to this gentle intellectual giant. Issues that have featured at the centre of Axel Leijonhufvud's research for over 30 years are discussed by the contributors. History of thought, philosophy of science and transition dynamics in addition to the more central issues of money, inflation, monetary regimes, information, institutions, microfoundations, increasing returns and stabilizing speculation are some of the central topics discussed, empirically and theoretically, in these essays.

Central Banks at a Crossroads

Central Banks at a Crossroads
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 719
Release: 2016-06-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107149665

This book discusses the role of central banks and draws lessons from examining their evolution over the past two centuries.

Handbook of Macroeconomics

Handbook of Macroeconomics
Author: John B. Taylor
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 600
Release: 1999-12-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780444501585

Part 6: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy. 19. Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle (J.Y. Campbell). 20. Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system (R.J. Shiller). 21. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework (B. Bernanke, M. Gertler and S. Gilchrist). Part 7: Monetary and Fiscal Policy. 22. Political economics and macroeconomic policy (T. Persson, G. Tabellini). 23. Issues in the design of monetary policy rules (B.T. McCallum). 24. Inflation stabilization and BOP crises in developing countries (G.A. Calvo, C.A. Vegh). 25. Government debt (D.W. Elmendorf, N.G. Mankiw). 26. Optimal fiscal and monetary policy (V.V. Chari, P.J. Kehoe).

The Historical Performance of the Federal Reserve

The Historical Performance of the Federal Reserve
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Hoover Press
Total Pages: 657
Release: 2019-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0817922164

Distinguished economist Michael D. Bordo argues for the importance of monetary stability and monetary rules, offering theoretical, empirical, and historical perspectives to support his case. He shows how the pursuit of stable monetary policy guided by central banks following rule-like behavior produces low and stable inflation, stable real performance, and encourages financial stability. In contrast, he explains how the failure to adhere to rules that produce monetary stability will inevitably produce the dire consequences of real, nominal, and financial instability. Bordo also examines the performance of the Federal Reserve and he reviews the history of monetary policy during the Great Depression.

One Hundred Inflation Shocks: Seven Stylized Facts

One Hundred Inflation Shocks: Seven Stylized Facts
Author: Mr. Anil Ari
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2023-09-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This paper identifies over 100 inflation shock episodes in 56 countries since the 1970s, including over 60 episodes linked to the 1973–79 oil crises. We document that only in 60 percent of the episodes was inflation brought back down (or “resolved”) within 5 years, and that even in these “successful” cases resolving inflation took, on average, over 3 years. Success rates were lower and resolution times longer for episodes induced by terms-of-trade shocks during the 1973–79 oil crises. Most unresolved episodes involved “premature celebrations”, where inflation declined initially, only to plateau at an elevated level or re-accelerate. Сountries that resolved inflation had tighter monetary policy that was maintained more consistently over time, lower nominal wage growth, and less currency depreciation, compared to unresolved cases. Successful disinflations were associated with short-term output losses, but not with larger output, employment, or real wage losses over a 5-year horizon, potentially indicating the value of policy credibility and macroeconomic stability.