Borrowing Constraints, Portfolio Choice, and Precautionary Motives

Borrowing Constraints, Portfolio Choice, and Precautionary Motives
Author: Christis Hassapis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2008
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ISBN:

This paper studies effects of income-based and collateral borrowing constraints on wealth accumulation andportfolios. We compare unconstrained and constrained behavior for different types of constraints and degrees of tightness.Income-based constraints can reduce or eliminate effects of earnings risk on wealth accumulation by constraining wealthadjustments to such risk. They can also reverse effects of risk aversion and of temperance on stockholding relative to thoseobtained in unconstrained models. Analogous results hold for collateral constraints, where risky assets play the dual role ofportfolio component and of collateral. Thus, samples containing borrowing-constrained households are likely to underplay or evenreverse the impact of risk aversion and of earnings risk expected on the basis of unconstrained models. This may help explain thefailure of empirical studies to uncover sizeable precautionary effects on wealth and on portfolios.

Portfolio Choice, Liquidity Constraints and Stock Market Mean Reversion

Portfolio Choice, Liquidity Constraints and Stock Market Mean Reversion
Author: Alexander Michaelides
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2008
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ISBN:

This paper solves numerically for the optimal consumption and portfolio choice of a long-horizon investor facing short-sales and borrowing constraints, undiversifiable labor income risk and a predictable time varying equity premium. The investor pursues aggressive market timing strategies; a speculative increase in savings arises when stock returns are expected to be high and conversely when future returns are expected to be low. Positive correlation between permanent earnings shocks and stock return innovations generates a substantial hedging demand for the riskless asset for risk averse investors. Hedging demands arising from the correlation of permanent earnings shocks and the factor innovation and from the correlation between the factor innovation and the stock market shock are evaluated and are found to be small in magnitude. Conversely, asset demand changes that arise from relaxing the liquidity constraints are substantial.

Temperant Portfolio Choice and Background Risk

Temperant Portfolio Choice and Background Risk
Author: Luc Arrondel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2007
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We explore empirically whether earnings uncertainty and borrowing constraints deter households from the stockmarket, consistent with the predictions of theoretical studies of portfolio choice in the presence of uninsurable earnings. Recent extensions highlight the importance of the correlation between earnings and financial risks. We use a self-assessed proxy for the correlation from the DELTA-TNS 2002 cross-sectional survey. While income risk does not deter from the stockmarket those households' reporting a negative correlation, it does for those who report a non-negative sign, consistent with economic theory predictions.

Consumption and Portfolio Choice Over the Life Cycle

Consumption and Portfolio Choice Over the Life Cycle
Author: o F. Cocco
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
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ISBN:

This article solves a realistically calibrated life cycle model of consumption and portfolio choice with non-tradable labor income and borrowing constraints. Since labor income substitutes for riskless asset holdings, the optimal share invested in equities is roughly decreasing over life. We compute a measure of the importance of human capital for investment behavior. We find that ignoring labor income generates large utility costs, while the cost of ignoring only its risk is an order of magnitude smaller, except when we allow for a disastrous labor income shock. Moreover, we study the implications of introducing endogenous borrowing constraints in this incomplete-markets setting.

Stock Market Mean Reversion and Portfolio Choice Over the Life Cycle

Stock Market Mean Reversion and Portfolio Choice Over the Life Cycle
Author: Alexander Michaelides
Publisher:
Total Pages: 101
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

We solve for optimal consumption and portfolio choice in a life-cycle model with short-sales and borrowing constraints, undiversifiable labor income risk and a predictable, time-varying, equity premium and show that the investor pursues aggressive market timing strategies. Importantly, in the presence of stock market predictability, the model suggests that the conventional financial advice of reducing stock market exposure as retirement approaches is correct on average, but ignoring changing market information can lead to substantial welfare losses. Therefore, enhanced target-date funds (ETDFs) that condition on expected equity premia increase welfare relative to target-date funds (TDFs). Out-of-sample analysis supports these conclusions.