Impact of Single Stock Futures on the Volatility of Underlying Indian Stocks

Impact of Single Stock Futures on the Volatility of Underlying Indian Stocks
Author: Thadavillil Jithendranathan
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This study aims to test the influence of the introduction of derivative contracts on the volatility of the underlying asset. This study uses the introduction of single stock futures (SSF) listed on the National Stock Exchange of India to test the influence on the volatility of the underlying stock returns. An interesting aspect of the Indian SSF market is that for many of the stocks the volume traded on the SSF market is higher than that of the underlying stock market. Results support the hypothesis that introduction of single stock futures reduce the volatility of the returns of the underlying stock.

Single Stock Futures Trading and Its Impact on Feedback Trading and Volatility

Single Stock Futures Trading and Its Impact on Feedback Trading and Volatility
Author: Imran Riaz Malik
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we examine the possibility of an impact of the resumption of trading in Single Stock Futures (SSFs) on the dynamics (positive feedback trading and price volatility) of the underlying stocks in Pakistan's market. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that trading in SSFs promotes or inhibits positive feedback trading in the spot market. Analyzing SSFs has several advantages over investigation of index futures. First, any impact of futures is more likely to be evident in the behavior of SSFs than index futures. Second, with SSFs it is possible to trade directly in the underlying stocks, and the endogeneity issue can be taken care of by using a relatively weighted portfolio of non-SSFs stocks. The findings of our study suggest that there is a statistically insignificant presence of positive feedback trading in both pre-SSFs period to post-SSFs period for both SSFs-listed stocks and a matching group of non-SSFs stocks. Furthermore, the unconditional volatility has significantly changed in both SSFs and non-SSFs, while asymmetry coefficient is statistically insignificant for SSFs but significant for non-SSFs. Overall our findings suggest that resumption of SSFs neither promotes nor inhibits feedback trading in the underlying spot market in Pakistan.

What Does Volume Reveal

What Does Volume Reveal
Author: Renato Martins
Publisher:
Total Pages: 11
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

A single stock future is a relatively new type of exchange-traded derivative that has become popular in some of the emerging financial markets. In order to uncover any information effect of trading volume, a cogent question to ask is whether a relationship exists between the volume of trade on the underlying stock and the number of its single stock futures contracts traded. In this paper, we have explored the bi-variate relationship between trading volume of some of the most liquid individual stocks, as well as the single stock futures traded on those stocks in the fast emerging Indian market. Our findings indicate that a significant relationship exists between the trading volumes of the straight stocks and the single stock futures on them.

Impact of Single Stock Futures on the Volatility of Underlying Russian Stocks

Impact of Single Stock Futures on the Volatility of Underlying Russian Stocks
Author: Thadavillil Jithendranathan
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper looks into the effect of Single Stock Futures (SSF) introduction on the trading volume and volatility of underlying stocks in two different Russian markets. The results indicate that there is very little evidence of trading volume shift from the spot market to the futures markets. Using a GARCH (1,1) model the underlying stock volatility for 5 different stocks are estimated and these results indicate that there is a reduction in volatility after the introduction of SSF in the majority of the stocks. Granger causality tests do not indicate that the futures trading causes significant changes in stock volatility.

Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFs) with Stringent Regulations and Their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks

Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFs) with Stringent Regulations and Their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks
Author: Imran Riaz Malik
Publisher:
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

During the stock market turmoil and later on in the year 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) suspended trading in futures products at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) due to their proven destabilizing role in Global Financial Crises (GFC). On July 27th 2009, the Single Stock Futures (SSFs) were re-launched with stringent regulations for their trading in stock market. In this study, an attempt is made to identify changes in the volatility dynamics of underlying stocks after resumption of SSFs in KSE with tighter regulations than before and whether stringent regulations are justified or not. Specifically, the study decomposes volatility into systematic and unsystematic risk components and investigates the inherent changes in the underlying stocks' volatility subsequent to the resumption of SSFs. The findings suggest that the decrease in the systematic and unsystematic risk cannot be attributed to the firms' contract listing, but contemporaneous market, industry or macroeconomic changes. The findings may imply that stringent regulations are unjustified, which may reduce the liquidity and efficiency of the market and do no good to the market.

Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFS) with Stringent Regulations and Their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks

Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFS) with Stringent Regulations and Their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks
Author: Imran Malik
Publisher:
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

During the stock market turmoil and later on in the year 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) suspended trading in futures products at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) due to their proven destabilizing role in Global Financial Crises (GFC). On July 27th, 2009, the Single Stock Futures (SSFs) were re-launched with stringent regulations for their trading in stock market. In this study, an attempt is made to identify changes in the volatility dynamics of underlying stocks after resumption of SSFs in KSE with tighter regulations than before and whether stringent regulations are justified or not. Specifically, the study decomposes volatility into systematic and unsystematic risk components and investigates the inherent changes in the underlying stocks' volatility subsequent to the resumption of SSFs. The findings suggest that the decrease in the systematic and unsystematic risk cannot be attributed to the firms' contract listing, but contemporaneous market, industry or macroeconomic changes. The findings may imply that stringent regulations are unjustified, which may reduce the liquidity and efficiency of the market and do no good to the market.

Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency

Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency
Author: Chandra Bhola
Publisher: Ary Publisher
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023-06-10
Genre:
ISBN: 9788798623045

This study investigates the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency, focusing on the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks in India. By conducting a comprehensive analysis, this research aims to examine the relationship between futures trading activity and its influence on market volatility and the effectiveness of hedging strategies. The study utilizes empirical methods to evaluate the effects of futures trading on stock market volatility. It analyzes the S&P CNX Nifty index, which represents the broader market, and specific individual stocks to understand how futures trading impacts price fluctuations and overall market stability. Furthermore, the research assesses the hedging efficiency of futures contracts as risk management tools. It examines whether investors can effectively hedge their positions and reduce portfolio risk through futures trading. By evaluating the effectiveness of hedging strategies in the context of the Indian stock market, this study provides valuable insights for market participants. Overall, this study delves into the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency in India. By examining the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks, it aims to shed light on the relationship between futures trading and market dynamics. The findings contribute to the understanding of risk management practices and assist investors in making informed decisions related to hedging strategies in the Indian stock market.

Informational Efficiency in Futures' Markets in India's National Stock Exchange

Informational Efficiency in Futures' Markets in India's National Stock Exchange
Author: Yu Cong
Publisher:
Total Pages: 12
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper provides estimates of overall informational efficiency in futures markets on India's National Stock Exchange. We do not examine the price reaction to any public announcement. Instead, we invoke the Hellwig (1980) model, and exploit the property that for futures contracts the terminal value can be treated as observable, to obtain estimates of the overall signal to signal plus noise ratio in markets for single-stock and index futures on India's National Stock Exchange. The variance-covariance parameters governing futures prices and terminal values can be inverted to obtain estimates of the primitive parameters of the Hellwig (1980) model. This lets us identify the MLEs of the precision of private information and the variance of liquidity motivated trades. The signal to signal plus noise ratio - our measure of overall informational efficiency - is a function of these primitive parameters.Our primary findings show that there is considerable variation across firms in these parameters despite only large active firms being available for futures trading. Overall informational efficiency is decreasing in univariate analyses with open interest and average daily trading volume in futures and the underlying equity. In a multivariate analysis it declines in open interest in the futures market and in the trading volume of the underlying equity but is increasing in the trading volume of in the futures market. The NIFTY index shows a higher signal to signal plus noise ratio than for any of the firms. This is consistent with the idea that less manipulability is associated with greater informational efficiency.

Impact of Derivatives on the Volatility and Liquidity of the Underlying

Impact of Derivatives on the Volatility and Liquidity of the Underlying
Author: Saurabh Kumar
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

It has been almost one year since exchange-based option trading on individual stocks began in the Indian market. Considering that this is a structural change, it would be interesting to note its impact on the spot market. An analysis suggests that in certain stocks both volatility and returns in the spot market have declined after options trading began. Volumes in the spot market declined in most cases, post listing. Regulators and market participants have been interested in observing the impact of the listing of options on the spot market, especially in terms of volatility. For instance, the 1987 crash is widely blamed on the excessive use of financial derivatives. Therefore, a fundamental concern is whether speculation in the option market gives rise to higher volatility in the underlying asset market. Another concern among empirical researchers has been the effect of introduction of options on volumes. The options market provides an alternative arena for speculators. For instance, assuming that speculators move from the spot to the options markets, there could be a drop in traded volumes in the former, assuming that other demand factors do not change. An empirical study of the Indian stock markets to examine the effects of derivatives on the liquidity and volatility of the underlying asset over the period of the last twelve months suggests that there is nothing to support the theory that the introduction of options has led to a rise in trading interest in the spot market.