How Well Do Business Tendency Surveys Assist In Monitoring Business Cycles
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Author | : United Nations Publications |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2017-03-15 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9789211616040 |
The Handbook on Economic Tendency Surveys provides best practices and harmonized principles on how to conduct economic tendency survey from sample selection, questionnaire design, survey questions, survey execution, to data processing and dissemination. It also provides examples of uses of these surveys, for example, for composite tendency indicators. These surveys provide qualitative information that cannot be collected using other quantitative statistical methods. They also serve as an integral part of an early warning system because they provide information about the occurrence and timing of upturns and downturns of the economy.
Author | : OECD |
Publisher | : OECD Publishing |
Total Pages | : 130 |
Release | : 2003-03-20 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9264177442 |
This handbook is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, which ask company managers about the current situation of their business and about their plans and expectations for the future.
Author | : Ms.Valerie Cerra |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 50 |
Release | : 2020-05-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513536990 |
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author | : World Bank |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 254 |
Release | : 2019-11-21 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1464814414 |
Seventeen in a series of annual reports comparing business regulation in 190 economies, Doing Business 2020 measures aspects of regulation affecting 10 areas of everyday business activity.
Author | : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 744 |
Release | : 1994 |
Genre | : Business cycles |
ISBN | : |
The 21st CIRET Conference was held in Somerset West, near Cape Town, about six months before the new constitutional elections were scheduled for South Africa. Because of this historically important event, the conference participants were informed about the economic and political problems of the country by Servaas van der Berg and Hennie Kotze, from the University of Stellenbosch.
Author | : Victor Zarnowitz |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 613 |
Release | : 2007-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226978923 |
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
Author | : Sergey Smirnov |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 505 |
Release | : 2018-08-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 331990017X |
This volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecasting business cycles. Then it highlights the role of BRICS in the global economy and explores the interrelatedness of business cycles within BRICS. In turn, part two provides studies on the historical development of business cycles in the individual BRICS countries and describes the driving forces behind those cycles. Parts three and four present national business tendency surveys and composite cyclical indices for real-time monitoring and forecasting of various BRICS economies, while the final part discusses how the lessons learned in the BRICS countries can be used for the analysis of business cycles and their socio-political consequences in other emerging countries.
Author | : Sónia Félix |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 57 |
Release | : 2019-12-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513521519 |
This paper studies the macroeconomic effect and underlying firm-level transmission channels of a reduction in business entry costs. We provide novel evidence on the response of firms' entry, exit, and employment decisions. To do so, we use as a natural experiment a reform in Portugal that reduced entry time and costs. Using the staggered implementation of the policy across the Portuguese municipalities, we find that the reform increased local entry and employment by, respectively, 25% and 4.8% per year in its first four years of implementation. Moreover, around 60% of the increase in employment came from incumbent firms expanding their size, with most of the rise occurring among the most productive firms. Standard models of firm dynamics, which assume a constant elasticity of substitution, are inconsistent with the expansionary and heterogeneous response across incumbent firms. We show that in a model with heterogeneous firms and variable markups the most productive firms face a lower demand elasticity and expand their employment in response to increased entry.
Author | : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 314 |
Release | : 1997 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781859724361 |
The pressure to produce explanations and forecasts and the economic dichotomies which insist on appearing, lead to a desire to deal with the description, analysis and forecast of the phenomenon of business cycles using economic indicators. This text provides an introduction to business cycles and their theoretical and historical basis. It also includes work on early indicator research and provides examples of business cycle indicators.
Author | : United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 24 |
Release | : 1987 |
Genre | : Government publications |
ISBN | : |