Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies
Author: Ms.Nan Geng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2018-07-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484367626

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

Measuring and Explaining House Price Developments

Measuring and Explaining House Price Developments
Author: Paul de Vries
Publisher: IOS Press
Total Pages: 227
Release: 2010
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1607506653

This study discusses ways of measuring and explaining the development of house prices. The goal of the research underpinning this dissertation was to develop a methodological framework for studying these developments. This framework relates, first, to correcting for changes in the composition of dwellings and, second, to the fundamentals of the price development. Using the weighted repeat sales method and sale price appraisal ratio (SPAR) method, house price indexes were developed for the Netherlands. Both the Dutch land registry office and Statistics Netherlands publish the SPAR based house price index monthly. To explain and predict changes in prices, a house price model is presented. As suggested in literature on western housing markets, the Dutch house price developments can be explained by demand-oriented short-run term variables and a long-run term variable.

Housing Market Challenges in Europe and the United States

Housing Market Challenges in Europe and the United States
Author: P. Arestis
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 283
Release: 2009-11-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0230246982

Housing finance structures and Institutional and regulatory/fiscal aspects in housing have changed significantly in recent years. This book examines the development in housing markets in Europe and the US, and looks at ways to make housing more affordable and housing market developments more stable.

House Price Determinants in Selected Countries of the Former Soviet Union

House Price Determinants in Selected Countries of the Former Soviet Union
Author: Vahram Stepanyan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 17
Release: 2010-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455200638

This paper analyses the recent boom-bust cycle in the housing markets of selected Former Soviet Union (FSU) countries. The analysis is based on a newly constructed database on house prices in the FSU countries. Our estimations suggest that house price developments can largely be explained by the dynamics of fundamentals, such as GDP, remittances, and external financing. Overall, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamentals have not been pronounced, suggesting that house price bubbles have not been formed in the FSU countries.

Affordable Rental Housing: Making It Part of Europe’s Recovery

Affordable Rental Housing: Making It Part of Europe’s Recovery
Author: Khalid ElFayoumi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 97
Release: 2021-05-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 151357020X

Many European economies have faced pressure from rental housing affordability that has widened social and economic divergence. While significant country and regional differences exist, this departmental paper finds that in many advanced European economies a large and rising share of low-income renters, the young, and those living in cities is overburdened. In several locations, middle-income groups also increasingly face rental affordability issues.

Routledge Companion to Real Estate Development

Routledge Companion to Real Estate Development
Author: Graham Squires
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 536
Release: 2017-09-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317428447

Real estate development shapes the way people live and work, playing a crucial role in determining our built environment. Around the world, real estate development reflects both universal human needs and region-specific requirements, and with the rise of globalization there is an increasing need to better understand the full complexity of global real estate development. This Companion provides comprehensive coverage of the major contemporary themes and issues in the field of real estate development research. Topics covered include: social and spatial impact markets and economics organization and management finance and investment environment and sustainability design land use policy and governance. A team of international experts across the fields of real estate, planning, geography, economics and architecture reflect the increasingly interdisciplinary nature of real estate studies, providing the book with a depth and breadth of original research. Following on from the success of the textbook International Approaches to Real Estate Development, the Routledge Companion to Real Estate Development provides the up-to-date research needed for a full and sophisticated understanding of the subject. It will be an invaluable resource to students, researchers and professionals wishing to study real estate development on an international scale.

The Global Financial Crisis

The Global Financial Crisis
Author: Mark P. Taylor
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 341
Release: 2014-01-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317983351

The global financial crisis has sent shockwaves through the world’s economies, and its effects have been deep and wide-reaching. This book brings together a range of applied studies, covering a range of international and regional experience in the area of finance in the context of the global downturn. The volume includes an exploration of the impact of the crisis on capital markets, and how corporate stakeholders need to be more aware of the decision-making processes followed by corporate executives, as well as an analysis of the policy changes instituted by the Fed and their effects. Other issues covered include research into the approach of solvent banks to toxic assets, the determinants of US interest rate swap spreads during the crisis, a new approach for estimating Value-at-Risk, how distress and lack of active trading can result in systemic panic attacks, and the dynamic interactions between real house prices, consumption expenditure and output. Highlighting the global reach of the crisis, there is also coverage of recent changes in the cross-currency correlation structure, the costs attached to global banking financial integration, the interrelationships among global stock markets, inter-temporal interactions between stock return differential relative to the US and real exchange rate in the two most recent financial crises, and research into the recent slowdown in workers’ remittances. This book was published as a special issue of Applied Financial Economics.

Price Expectations and the U.S. Housing Boom

Price Expectations and the U.S. Housing Boom
Author: Pascal Towbin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2015-07-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513596233

Between 1996 and 2006 the U.S. has experienced an unprecedented boom in house prices. As it has proven to be difficult to explain the large price increase by observable fundamentals, many observers have emphasized the role of speculation, i.e. expectations about future price developments. The argument is, however, often indirect: speculation is treated as a deviation from a benchmark. The present paper aims to identify house price expectation shocks directly. To that purpose, we estimate a VAR model for the U.S. and use sign restrictions to identify house price expectation, housing supply, housing demand, and mortgage rate shocks. House price expectation shocks are the most important driver of the boom and account for about 30 percent of the real house price increase. We also construct a model-based measure of exogenous changes in price expectations and show that this measure leads a survey-based measure of changes in house price expectations. Our main identification scheme leaves open whether expectation shifts are realistic or unrealistic. In extensions, we provide evidence that price expectation shifts during the boom were primarily unrealistic and were only marginally affected by realistic expectations about future fundamentals.

Value in a Changing Built Environment

Value in a Changing Built Environment
Author: David Lorenz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 217
Release: 2017-11-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119332591

A new framework for understanding the underpinnings of real estate property value and the role it plays in the larger economy Value in a Changing Built Environment examines the professional foundations on which the valuation exercise and the valuation profession rest. Written by noted experts in the field, the book addresses the often limited understanding of the concept of property value by explaining the intrinsic linkages between economic, environmental, social, and cultural measures and components of property value. The book offers a framework that paves the way towards a more holistic approach to property value. Value in a Changing Built Environment unwraps many of the traditional assumptions that have underpinned market participants’ decision making over the last few decades. The authors explore the concept that a blindfold application of valuation theories and approaches adopted from finance is unlikely to be able to cope with the nature of property as an economic and public good. This vital resource: Explains the criteria for making estimates of value that can be applied worldwide Offers an integrated approach to property value and the valuation processes Captures the often illusive intangibles such as environmental performance into valuation Addresses a market failure to account for wider criteria on building performance Value in a Changing Built Environment examines how real estate valuation plays a pivotal role in decision making and how can a new body of knowledge improve the practice in both business and social domains.

Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions

Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions
Author: Willi Semmler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 327
Release: 2011-06-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642206808

The financial market melt-down of the years 2007-2009 has posed great challenges for studies on financial economics. This financial economics text focuses on the dynamic interaction of financial markets and economic activity. The financial market to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market; economic activity includes the actions and interactions of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market, and how asset prices and financial market volatility and crises impact economic activity. The book offers extensive coverage of new and advanced topics in financial economics such as the term structure of interest rates, credit derivatives and credit risk, domestic and international portfolio theory, multi-agent and evolutionary approaches, capital asset pricing beyond consumption-based models, and dynamic portfolio decisions. Moreover a completely new section of the book is dedicated to the recent financial market meltdown of the years 2007-2009. Emphasis is placed on empirical evidence relating to episodes of financial instability and financial crises in the U.S. and in Latin American, Asian and Euro-area countries. Overall, the book explains what researchers and practitioners in the financial sector need to know about the financial-real interaction, and what practitioners and policy makers need to know about the financial market.