Germany's Demographic Challenge. The Decreasing Birthrate and its causes

Germany's Demographic Challenge. The Decreasing Birthrate and its causes
Author: Andreas Tschongarow
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2017-10-17
Genre: Foreign Language Study
ISBN: 3668550840

Research Paper (postgraduate) from the year 2014 in the subject Didactics for the subject English - Discussion and Essays, grade: 1,0, , language: English, abstract: In the first half of the 20th century, Germany lost two World Wars, and with that a notable part of its population. Surely, afterwards, the world should feel lucky about the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II. However, the situation, especially after the second war, looked miserable for the country and the countless innocent people. Families fell apart, millions of soldiers and civilians were killed, and the state became divided into four occupation zones. Moreover, unemployment was spread over the whole country. Still, with decades of hard work and the acceptance of mistakes that certain people had made in the past, the nation revitalized its economy. With legal insurances for healthcare, pensions, and long-term care, the state established a social safety net for everyone. In the 1960s and 1970s, the social system seemed to be the perfect one. The economy boomed, and the birthrate was consistently growing. Different from now, the role allocation within families was very conservative; men went to work, and women took care of the children. No one suspected that this way of thinking would drastically change someday. About 40 years later, Connolly, a correspondent of "The Guardian" and Observer’s Berlin, points out that “the problem of ‘Schrumpfnation Deutschland’ (shrinking Germany) will only worsen”. Young adults prefer professional careers rather than having children. The social system’s base, a strong labor force, disappears slowly with a constantly decreasing birthrate. Additionally, due to the medical and technological improvement, the average life expectancy is growing rapidly. Therefore, in approximately 30 years, the increasing number of people who require pension, healthcare, and long-term care will challenge the employed population with enormous costs. Germany’s government started to tackle the problem by rewarding people who have children with the “child allowance.” It is doubtful if this approach will solve this problem. Instead, the government, the people, and employers should work together to solve this issue. The goal is to improve the people’s desire to have more children. In that way, the labor force will grow and the cost distribution will become easier to deal with. Therefore, if Germany’s government and population start to tackle the constant lowering birthrate, the distribution of costs will be better, the insurances for healthcare, pension, and long-term care will remain, and the social system will survive.

Demographic Change in Germany

Demographic Change in Germany
Author: Ingrid Hamm
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 223
Release: 2007-09-27
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 354068137X

This book provides an up-to-date summary of the consequences of demographic aging for labor markets, financial markets, economic growth, social security schemes and public finances in Germany, essentially reflecting the present state of knowledge in any of these areas. All contributions are written by leading experts in their fields and are based on results that emerge at the forefront of current research.

Challenges of the Demographic Change in Germany

Challenges of the Demographic Change in Germany
Author: Björn Pannemann
Publisher:
Total Pages: 88
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN: 9783640896042

Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Other, grade: 2,3, The FOM University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg (IOM - Institut fur Oekonomie & Management), course: Economics - Volkswirtschaftslehre, language: English, comment: Diese Hausarbeit wurde im ersten Semester im Rahmen des Masterstudiengangs "Master of Business Administration (MBA)" geschrieben., abstract: The demographic change in Germany is a current and always present subject. The media, politicians and experts permanently discuss the topic. There are many different opinions and views, but all have a statistical commonality; humans are invariably growing older and at the same time Germany is struck by an alarming decline in the birth rate. This dilemma leads to a fast aging population with big problems for the whole German society and especially for the efficiency of the German Pension Insurance. Since many years, the legal pension fund is stuck in a crisis. Declining birth rates and an increasing expectancy of life yield to less and less premium payers and a steadily increasing group of pension recipients, which, due to the PAYG system, confronts the Pension Fund with a financial problem. Hence, the benefit level will further decline in the long term and the legal pension will not be sufficient as the exclusive old-age insurance. This assignment considers the key aspects of the demographic development, esp. the future perspective of the pension system. Furthermore, this assignment will discuss possible solutions in order to find out a possible strategy to solve this problem. The aspects are only related to Germany, even though Germany doesn't stand alone with the phenomenon of demographic aging. Similar developments can be found in almost every European and western industrial nation.

The Decline of Fertility in Germany, 1871-1939

The Decline of Fertility in Germany, 1871-1939
Author: John E. Knodel
Publisher: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 332
Release: 1974
Genre: Fertility
ISBN:

This is the second in a series of monographs on the historic decline of European fertility to be issued by the Office of Population Research at Princeton University. It is a detailed statistical description and analysis of the transition from high to low birth rates which took place in Germany between Unification and the beginning of World War II. It assembles an exceptionally comprehensive amount of evidence that will be of great importance to social historians as well as sociologists and demographers. John E. Knodel relies on modern yet simple methods of measuring the main demographic trends in Germany and uses straightforward methods to test the plausibility of the many hypotheses that have been advanced to explain the great falls in fertility that occurred throughout the western world in the late nineteenth century. Originally published in 1974. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

The Decline of Fertility in Germany, 1871-1939

The Decline of Fertility in Germany, 1871-1939
Author: Arthur J. Knodel
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2015-03-08
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1400869846

This is the second in a series of monographs on the historic decline of European fertility to be issued by the Office of Population Research at Princeton University. It is a detailed statistical description and analysis of the transition from high to low birth rates which took place in Germany between Unification and the beginning of World War II. It assembles an exceptionally comprehensive amount of evidence that will be of great importance to social historians as well as sociologists and demographers. John E. Knodel relies on modern yet simple methods of measuring the main demographic trends in Germany and uses straightforward methods to test the plausibility of the many hypotheses that have been advanced to explain the great falls in fertility that occurred throughout the western world in the late nineteenth century. Originally published in 1974. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Economics in Global Scenarios. Macroeconomic Effects on the Ageing Population in Germany

Economics in Global Scenarios. Macroeconomic Effects on the Ageing Population in Germany
Author: Jakob Scheidel
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 21
Release: 2021-08-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3346460800

Studienarbeit aus dem Jahr 2020 im Fachbereich VWL - Makroökonomie, allgemein, , Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: This paper focuses on the macroeconomic implications of ageing populations and the challenges they pose, using Germany as an example. In order to arrive at qualitative results and proposals, the paper starts with a brief analysis of the German population structure with a basic understanding of the reasons and background. The third chapter deals with the effects of the ageing population on the labor market, the social security system, and the innovative capacity of the German economy. It then looks at birth and migration, two ways of softening and slowing down the consequences. The paper ends with a final conclusion.

Government Policy and Total Fertility Rates

Government Policy and Total Fertility Rates
Author: Elyse R. Osterday
Publisher:
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

Germany, like many developed countries, is in what some refer to as Stage 5 of the Demographic Transition Model. In fact, this country is one of the first with an active shrinking population, despite its large numbers of immigrants each year. In 2007, Germany passed a series of parental friendly laws through the Parental Allowance and Parental Leave Act. These laws were clearly enacted to encourage its citizens to have more children and increase fertility rates. Are economic incentives enough to promote fertility in a country? This research explores these issues through the lens of population trends in Germany by analyzing state level statistics, cultural and social factors, policy making, and immigration. Further, four research objectives guide the study: 1) What are potential variables impacting crude birth rates in Germany; 2) Which German cultural and social values affect family planning; 3) How has the implementation of government family planning policies affected both historical and contemporary population trends; and 4) How have immigrants shaped Germany's modern population? This study reveals that social and cultural trends have an indirect impact on Germany's continued low fertility rates, and that these trends are not considered to a full extent in Germany's political family policies.

Aging and the Macroeconomy

Aging and the Macroeconomy
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 230
Release: 2013-01-10
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0309261961

The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.

Childlessness in Europe: Contexts, Causes, and Consequences

Childlessness in Europe: Contexts, Causes, and Consequences
Author: Michaela Kreyenfeld
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 367
Release: 2017-01-11
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 3319446673

This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This open access book provides an overview of childlessness throughout Europe. It offers a collection of papers written by leading demographers and sociologists that examine contexts, causes, and consequences of childlessness in countries throughout the region.The book features data from all over Europe. It specifically highlights patterns of childlessness in Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Finland, Sweden, Austria and Switzerland. An additional chapter on childlessness in the United States puts the European experience in perspective. The book offers readers such insights as the determinants of lifelong childlessness, whether governments can and should counteract increasing childlessness, how the phenomenon differs across social strata and the role economic uncertainties play. In addition, the book also examines life course dynamics and biographical patterns, assisted reproduction as well as the consequences of childlessness. Childlessness has been increasing rapidly in most European countries in recent decades. This book offers readers expert analysis into this issue from leading experts in the field of family behavior. From causes to consequences, it explores the many facets of childlessness throughout Europe to present a comprehensive portrait of this important demographic and sociological trend.

Germany's New Security Demographics

Germany's New Security Demographics
Author: Wenke Apt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 231
Release: 2013-12-04
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9400769644

Military recruitment will become more difficult in times of demographic aging. The question arises whether demographic change will constrain the capacity of aging states like Germany to conduct foreign policy and pursue their national security interests. Since contemporary military operations still display a strong human element, particular scrutiny is given to the empirical analysis of the determinants of military propensity and military service among youth. An additional human capital projection until 2030 illustrates how the decline in the youth population will interact with trends in educational attainment and adolescent health to further complicate military recruitment in the future. A concluding review of recruiting practices in other NATO countries provides insight in best-practice policy options to reduce the military’s sensitivity to demographic change. Following this approach, the book gives prominence to a topic that has thus far been under-represented in the greater discussion of demographic change today, namely the demographic impact on international affairs and strategic calculations.