Forecasting In The Presence Of Structural Breaks And Policy Regime Shifts
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Author | : David E. Rapach |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 691 |
Release | : 2008-02-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1849505403 |
Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.
Author | : Donald W. K. Andrews |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 589 |
Release | : 2005-07-04 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1139444603 |
This 2005 volume contains the papers presented in honor of the lifelong achievements of Thomas J. Rothenberg on the occasion of his retirement. The authors of the chapters include many of the leading econometricians of our day, and the chapters address topics of current research significance in econometric theory. The chapters cover four themes: identification and efficient estimation in econometrics, asymptotic approximations to the distributions of econometric estimators and tests, inference involving potentially nonstationary time series, such as processes that might have a unit autoregressive root, and nonparametric and semiparametric inference. Several of the chapters provide overviews and treatments of basic conceptual issues, while others advance our understanding of the properties of existing econometric procedures and/or propose others. Specific topics include identification in nonlinear models, inference with weak instruments, tests for nonstationary in time series and panel data, generalized empirical likelihood estimation, and the bootstrap.
Author | : Michael P. Clements |
Publisher | : OUP USA |
Total Pages | : 732 |
Release | : 2011-07-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0195398645 |
Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.
Author | : Jennifer Castle |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 464 |
Release | : 2009-04-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0199237190 |
Building upon, and celebrating the work of David Hendry, this volume consists of a number of specially commissioned pieces from some of the leading econometricians in the world. It reflects on the recent advances in econometrics and considers the future progress for the methodology of econometrics.
Author | : Steven Durlauf |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 417 |
Release | : 2016-04-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0230280838 |
Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Author | : Walter Krämer |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 134 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642484123 |
Econometric models are made up of assumptions which never exactly match reality. Among the most contested ones is the requirement that the coefficients of an econometric model remain stable over time. Recent years have therefore seen numerous attempts to test for it or to model possible structural change when it can no longer be ignored. This collection of papers from Empirical Economics mirrors part of this development. The point of departure of most studies in this volume is the standard linear regression model Yt = x;fJt + U (t = I, ... , 1), t where notation is obvious and where the index t emphasises the fact that structural change is mostly discussed and encountered in a time series context. It is much less of a problem for cross section data, although many tests apply there as well. The null hypothesis of most tests for structural change is that fJt = fJo for all t, i.e. that the same regression applies to all time periods in the sample and that the disturbances u are well behaved. The well known Chow test for instance assumes t that there is a single structural shift at a known point in time, i.e. that fJt = fJo (t
Author | : Graham Elliott |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 1386 |
Release | : 2013-10-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0444627413 |
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Author | : |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 7493 |
Release | : 2016-05-18 |
Genre | : Law |
ISBN | : 1349588024 |
The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.
Author | : Riccardo Rebonato |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 519 |
Release | : 2013 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1107048117 |
A rigorous presentation of a novel methodology for asset allocation in financial portfolios under conditions of market distress.
Author | : Harold Kincaid |
Publisher | : Oxford Handbooks Online |
Total Pages | : 689 |
Release | : 2009-03-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0195189256 |
This volume is the first comprehensive, cohesive, and accessible reference source to the philosophy of economics, presenting important new scholarship by top scholars.