Forecasting Economic Fundamentals And Expected Stock Returns Using Equity Market Order Flows
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| Author | : Aditya Kaul |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 29 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
This paper examines the information content of two different measures of aggregate equity-market order flow for future macroeconomic fundamentals and expected stock market returns. The first measure, the cross-sectional average of individual stock order flows, predicts future growth rates for industrial production and real GDP, but not for corporate earnings. The second measure, the difference between the average order flow for big stocks and the average order flow for small stocks, has strong forecast power for industrial production and real GDP, as well as corporate earnings, up to four quarters ahead. The significance of the two order flow-based measures is robust to controls for common equity pricing factors. This suggests a role for aggregate order flows in predicting stock returns. We show that a positive shock to the second factor, the order flow differential, forecasts higher returns for ten size sorted portfolios and greater market and size premiums in the subsequent quarter, even after accounting for a host of variables including the common return factors, experts' earnings growth forecasts, default and term spreads, new equity capital, and marketwide liquidity. These findings are consistent with a world where aggregate order flow brings together dispersed information from heterogeneously informed investors.
| Author | : Robert A. Schwartz |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 482 |
| Release | : 2004-10-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0471689882 |
An in-depth look at the nature of market making and exchanges From theory to practicalities, this is a comprehensive, up-to-date handbook and reference on how markets work and the nuances of trading. It includes a CD with an interactive trading simulation. Robert A. Schwartz, PhD (New York, NY), is Marvin M. Speiser Professor of Finance and University Distinguished Professor in the Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, CUNY. Reto Francioni, PhD (Zurich, Switzerland), is President and Chairman of the Board of SWX, the Swiss Stock Exchange, and former co-CEO of Consors Discount Broker AG, Nuremberg.
| Author | : Stephen Satchell |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 448 |
| Release | : 2020-12-02 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1119599326 |
A one-of-a-kind reference guide covering the behavioral and statistical explanations for market momentum and the implementation of momentum trading strategies Market Momentum: Theory and Practice is a thorough, how-to reference guide for a full range of financial professionals and students. It examines the behavioral and statistical causes of market momentum while also exploring the practical side of implementing related strategies. The phenomenon of momentum in finance occurs when past high returns are followed by subsequent high returns, and past low returns are followed by subsequent low returns. Market Momentum provides a detailed introduction to the financial topic, while examining existing literature. Recent academic and practitioner research is included, offering a more up-to-date perspective. What type of book is Market Momentum and how does it serve a range of readers’ interests and needs? A holistic market momentum guide for industry professionals, asset managers, risk managers, firm managers, plus hedge fund and commodity trading advisors Advanced text to help graduate students in finance, economics, and mathematics further develop their funds management skills Useful resource for financial practitioners who want to implement momentum trading strategies Reference book providing behavioral and statistical explanations for market momentum Due to claims that the phenomenon of momentum goes against the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, behavioral economists have studied the topic in-depth. However, many books published on the subject are written to provide advice on how to make money. In contrast, Market Momentum offers a comprehensive approach to the topic, which makes it a valuable resource for both investment professionals and higher-level finance students. The contributors address momentum theory and practice, while also offering trading strategies that practitioners can study.
| Author | : Gordon J. Alexander |
| Publisher | : Pearson |
| Total Pages | : 836 |
| Release | : 2001 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : |
This introduction provides a clear framework for understanding and analyzing securities, and covers the major institutional features and theories of investing. While the book presents a thorough discussion of investments, the authors keep the material practical, relevant, and easy to understand. The latest developments in investments are brought to life through the use of tables, graphs, and illustrations that incorporate current market information and academic research. An international content deals directly with international securities and securities markets throughout the book--along with currency management and interest rate parity. Up-to-date "Money Matters" articles reflect the latest real-world developments and are provided throughout each chapter to give readers a sense of how practitioners deal with various investment issues and use techniques. Other coverage includes an array of investment tools--presented through discussions on stocks, bonds, and other securities such as options and futures. A guide to reviewing, forecasting, and monitoring--for individuals preparing to make investments or take the CFA exam.
| Author | : Michael McMillan |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 648 |
| Release | : 2011-01-11 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1118001168 |
A comprehensive guide to investment analysis and portfolio management by an expert team from the CFA Institute In a world of specialization, no other profession likely requires such broad, yet in-depth knowledge than that of financial analyst. Financial analysts must not only possess a broad understanding of the financial markets-including structure, organization, efficiency, portfolio management, risk and return, and planning and construction-but they must also have a strong sense of how to evaluate industries and companies prior to engaging in an analysis of a specific stock. Investments: Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis provides the broad-based knowledge professionals and students of the markets need to manage money and maximize return. The book Details market structure and functions, market anomalies, secondary market basics, and regulation Describes investment assets and asset classes, types of positions and orders, as well as forecasting methodologies Discusses return and risk characteristics, portfolio diversification and management, the basics of both technical analysis and major technical indicators, and much more A companion Workbook, which includes learning outcomes, summary overviews, and problems and solutions sections is available and sold separately Investments provides readers unparalleled access to the best in professional quality information on investment analysis and portfolio management.
| Author | : John H. Cochrane |
| Publisher | : Now Publishers Inc |
| Total Pages | : 117 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1933019158 |
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
| Author | : Eva Hotnaidah Saragih |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 745 |
| Release | : 2023-02-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9464630760 |
This is an open access book. It has been our great honor to welcome all the participants to the 4th Asia-Pacific Management Research Conference was held in Surabaya, Indonesia, on May 18th–20th, 2022 as a hybrid conference (virtualy conference). I recalled formulating the concept and conducting this conference with the Research Center and Case Clearing House (RC-CCH) Team back in 2017. The conference encourages fresh and impactful studies that address the latest issues and topics, particularly in economics, management, business, and accounting. The forum particularly welcomes the discussion and sharing among research fellows in a semi-formal academic setting. As we reach the fourth conference, we are confident that we will maintain a contribution to the global literature. It is undeniable that the theme of the COVID-19 Pandemic is the main issue of this fourth conference, but rather than focusing on the misery, we look for models, technologies, and concepts that are beneficial for the economy and businesses to grow toward the new normal. This conference received 136 abstracts, of which 57 were accepted articles in Atlantis Proceeding.
| Author | : Rajendra Akerkar |
| Publisher | : Jones & Bartlett Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 375 |
| Release | : 2009-08-25 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 1449662706 |
A knowledge-based system (KBS) is a system that uses artificial intelligence techniques in problem-solving processes to support human decision-making, learning, and action. Ideal for advanced-undergraduate and graduate students, as well as business professionals, this text is designed to help users develop an appreciation of KBS and their architecture and understand a broad variety of knowledge-based techniques for decision support and planning. It assumes basic computer science skills and a math background that includes set theory, relations, elementary probability, and introductory concepts of artificial intelligence. Each of the 12 chapters is designed to be modular, providing instructors with the flexibility to model the book to their own course needs. Exercises are incorporated throughout the text to highlight certain aspects of the material presented and to simulate thought and discussion. A comprehensive text and resource, Knowledge-Based Systems provides access to the most current information in KBS and new artificial intelligences, as well as neural networks, fuzzy logic, genetic algorithms, and soft systems.
| Author | : Deniz Ozenbas |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 111 |
| Release | : 2022 |
| Genre | : Business enterprises |
| ISBN | : 3030748170 |
This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.
| Author | : Wayne Ferson |
| Publisher | : MIT Press |
| Total Pages | : 497 |
| Release | : 2019-03-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0262039370 |
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
