Flood Frequency Analysis for Regulated Watersheds

Flood Frequency Analysis for Regulated Watersheds
Author: Natalie Jean Ergish
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN: 9781124318448

Flood frequency curves provide the annual probability of exceeding a specific flood flow. Unregulated peak flow frequencies are typically estimated based on a statistical analysis assuming floods are random homogenous events. Bulletin 17B procedures recommend a log-Pearson Type III distribution to fit a curve through observed flood data. However, such statistical analysis is inappropriate for regulated flood flows because they are affected by the flood operation of reservoirs as well as the volumes and peaks of flood hydrographs. A regulated flood frequency curve can be derived from a long unregulated period of flow record based on routing studies and developing a relationship between regulated peak outflow and unregulated inflow peak or volume, often called a peak flow transform. To resolve the interaction of peak flow rate and flood volume, a critical peak duration is often chosen, averaging flow over several days. The unregulated peak flow frequency curve, averaged over a critical duration, is then transformed to produce the regulated peak flow frequency curve. This paper examines the theoretical behavior of regulated peak transforms and provides a short case study within the Feather-Yuba river system. Two operating rules are used to simulate inflow, outflow, and storage within the reservoir and illustrate the development of a peak flow transform. These rules are: 1) optimal peak reduction with perfect foreknowledge of the flood hydrograph; and 2) minimized exceedences of downstream channel capacity. The flow transforms developed using these two operating rules seem likely to bound the range of actual peak flow transforms.

Engineering and Design

Engineering and Design
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 164
Release: 1993
Genre: Flood control
ISBN:

The objective of frequency analysis in a hydrologic context is to infer the probability that various size events will be exceeded or not exceeded from a given sample of recorded events. Two basic problems exist for most hydrologic applications. First the sample is usually small, by statistical standards, resulting in uncertainty as to the true probability. And secondly, a single theoretical frequency distribution does not always fit a particular data-type equally well in all applications. This manual provides guidance in fitting frequency distributions and construction of confidence limits. Techniques are presented which can possibly reduce the errors caused by small sample sizes. Also, some types of data are noted which usually do not fit any theoretical distributions.

Flood Frequency Analysis

Flood Frequency Analysis
Author: Khaled Hamed
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 384
Release: 2019-04-30
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9781420048636

After five decades, the field of Statistical Hydrology continues to evolve and remains a very active area of investigation. Researchers continue to examine various distributions, methods of estimation of parameters, and problems related to regionalization. However, much of this research appears in journals and reports and usually in a form not easi