Flips Fair
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Author | : E.C. Myers |
Publisher | : Jabberwocky Literary Agency, Inc. |
Total Pages | : 316 |
Release | : 2016-12-16 |
Genre | : Young Adult Fiction |
ISBN | : 1625672454 |
When you have magic on your side, anything is possible. At least that’s what Ephraim Scott thinks when he first discovers the unusual coin that grants his wishes. With it Ephraim overhauls his troubled home life and also his nonexistent love life. He even tries to help his friends with their problems. But every wish comes with a twist. Each flip of the coin gives Ephraim what he wants, but bad things happen too--ripples of dark consequences he doesn’t intend and can’t predict. The more Ephraim tries to fix the situation, the worse it gets. The people closest to him are changing in terrible ways and Ephraim must figure out how to harness the coin’s power before anyone gets hurt...or worse. Fair Coin is the winner of the 2012 Andre Norton Award and was a finalist for both the 2013 British Fantasy Award and the 2013 Compton Crook Award.
Author | : Ann E. Watkins |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 1705 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0470458518 |
Statistics, 2nd Edition teaches statistics with a modern, data-analytic approach that uses graphing calculators and statistical software. It allows more emphasis to be put on statistical concepts and data analysis rather than following recipes for calculations. This gives readers a more realistic understanding of both the theoretical and practical applications of statistics, giving them the ability to master the subject.
Author | : Joseph K. Blitzstein |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 599 |
Release | : 2014-07-24 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1466575573 |
Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.
Author | : Paul R. Rosenbaum |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 220 |
Release | : 2023-04-04 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 026237353X |
A nontechnical guide to the basic ideas of modern causal inference, with illustrations from health, the economy, and public policy. Which of two antiviral drugs does the most to save people infected with Ebola virus? Does a daily glass of wine prolong or shorten life? Does winning the lottery make you more or less likely to go bankrupt? How do you identify genes that cause disease? Do unions raise wages? Do some antibiotics have lethal side effects? Does the Earned Income Tax Credit help people enter the workforce? Causal Inference provides a brief and nontechnical introduction to randomized experiments, propensity scores, natural experiments, instrumental variables, sensitivity analysis, and quasi-experimental devices. Ideas are illustrated with examples from medicine, epidemiology, economics and business, the social sciences, and public policy.
Author | : Emily Bliss |
Publisher | : Bloomsbury Publishing USA |
Total Pages | : 131 |
Release | : 2021-09-28 |
Genre | : Juvenile Fiction |
ISBN | : 1547606827 |
A high-flying new chapter book series from the creator of Unicorn Princesses! When eight-year-old, pegasus-obsessed Clara Griffin is playing in the forest surrounding her family's home, she's thrilled to discover a magical silver feather and a flying armchair that transport her to the Wing Realm, the magical land of the Pegasus Princesses! Clara finds herself in Feather Palace, home to eight pegasus sisters who each have a unique magical power, throne, and tiara. The Pegasus Princesses are delighted to meet Clara--after all, they rarely meet human girls, let alone any creature without wings! Clara learns that Princess Mist is hosting a cloud maze party in the sky above the Cloud Forest. But just before the party, Lucinda, the princesses' pet cat, knocks over and spills the entire bottle of potion that makes the cloud maze. With Clara's help, will the Pegasus Princesses figure out how to throw a new cloud maze party in time? Featuring adorable black-and-white illustrations throughout, this magical series is full of sparkle, fun, and friendship.
Author | : Juliette Kayyem |
Publisher | : Simon and Schuster |
Total Pages | : 272 |
Release | : 2016-04-05 |
Genre | : Biography & Autobiography |
ISBN | : 1476733775 |
In “a lively debut…[with] plenty of enthusiastic ‘can-do’ advice” (Publishers Weekly), a Homeland Security advisor and a Pulitzer Prize–nominated columnist—and mother of three—delivers a timely message about American security: it begins at home. Soccer Moms are so last decade. Juliette Kayyem is a “Security Mom.” At once a national security expert who worked at the highest levels of government, and also a mom of three, she’s lived it all—from anthrax to lice to the BP oil spill—and now she tells it all with her unique voice of reason, experience, and humility. Weaving her personal story of marriage and motherhood into a fast-paced account of managing the nation’s most perilous disasters, Juliette recounts the milestones that mark the path of her unpredictable, daring, funny, and ultimately relatable life. Security Mom is modern tale about the highs and lows of having-it-all parenthood and a candid, sometimes shocking, behind-the-scenes look inside the high-stakes world of national security. In her signature refreshing style, Juliette reveals how she came to learn that homeland security is not simply about tragedy and terror; it is about us as parents and neighbors, and what we can do every day to keep each other strong and safe. From stocking up on coloring books to stashing duplicate copies of valuable papers out of state, Juliette’s wisdom does more than just prepare us to survive in an age of mayhem—it empowers us to thrive. “You got this,” Juliette tells her readers, providing accessible advice about how we all can better prepare ourselves for a world of risks.
Author | : Ronald Deep |
Publisher | : Academic Press |
Total Pages | : 708 |
Release | : 2005-10-25 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0123694639 |
Probability & Statistics with Integrated Software Routines is a calculus-based treatment of probability concurrent with and integrated with statistics through interactive, tailored software applications designed to enhance the phenomena of probability and statistics. The software programs make the book unique.The book comes with a CD containing the interactive software leading to the Statistical Genie. The student can issue commands repeatedly while making parameter changes to observe the effects. Computer programming is an excellent skill for problem solvers, involving design,
Author | : David F. Anderson |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2017-11-02 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9781108415859 |
This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory, with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. After introducing the basic vocabulary of randomness, including events, probabilities, and random variables, the text offers the reader a first glimpse of the major theorems of the subject: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. The important probability distributions are introduced organically as they arise from applications. The discrete and continuous sides of probability are treated together to emphasize their similarities. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specific problems, but also why the methods of solution work.
Author | : Claude J. Gaebelein |
Publisher | : Lippincott Williams & Wilkins |
Total Pages | : 388 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 9780781782807 |
This innovative textbook teaches the basics of drug information, literature evaluation, and biostatistics, and relates these topics to evidence-based pharmaceutical care. Readers will learn what to look for in studies, how to critique them, and how to apply them in clinical pharmacy practice. A major focus is critical appraisal of evidence derived from different types of studies—cases, cohorts, surveys, randomized controlled clinical trials, pharmacoeconomic studies, and systematic reviews. Concluding chapters discuss clinical decision-making using evidence from studies.
Author | : Howard Rachlin |
Publisher | : Harvard University Press |
Total Pages | : 233 |
Release | : 2009-07-01 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 0674042514 |
This book proposes a new science of self-control based on the principles of behavioral psychology and economics. Claiming that insight and self-knowledge are insufficient for controlling one's behavior, Howard Rachlin argues that the only way to achieve such control--and ultimately happiness--is through the development of harmonious patterns of behavior. Most personal problems with self-control arise because people have difficulty delaying immediate gratification for a better future reward. The alcoholic prefers to drink now. If she is feeling good, a drink will make her feel better. If she is feeling bad, a drink will make her feel better. The problem is that drinking will eventually make her feel worse. This sequence--the consistent choice of a highly valued particular act (such as having a drink or a smoke) that leads to a low-valued pattern of acts--is called "the primrose path." To avoid it, the author presents a strategy of "soft commitment," consisting of the development of valuable patterns of behavior that bridge over individual temptations. He also proposes, from economics, the concept of the substitutability of "positive addictions," such as social activity or exercise, for "negative addictions," such as drug abuse or overeating. Self-control may be seen as the interaction with one's own future self. Howard Rachlin shows that indeed the value of the whole--of one's whole life--is far greater than the sum of the values of its individual parts.