Fiscal Rules In A Volatile World
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| Author | : Carlos Garcia |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 44 |
| Release | : 2011-03-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455221007 |
It is widely agreed that a fiscal rule should boost discipline and credibility, reduce macroeconomic volatility, and be easily understood. To support such goals, a government may run structural surpluses and accumulate a precautionary cushion of assets on behalf of agents who do not enjoy access to capital markets. As an additional criterion, that level of assets should be bounded. We provide an example of a structural surplus rule that satisfies all such criteria. In our general equilibrium simulations, we show that such a rule benefits credit-constrained consumers but may hurt others.
| Author | : William S. Haraf |
| Publisher | : American Enterprise Institute |
| Total Pages | : 230 |
| Release | : 1990 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780844737133 |
This volume focuses on the crucial relationships between domestic and international economic developments and on their implications for monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies. The volume includes Richard N.Cooper on challenges to the international monetary system, Hali Edison and Michael Melvin on the choice of an exchange rate system, Gottfried Haberler on international and European monetary systems, Alan C.Stockman on exchange rates and the current account, Guido Tabellini on export of an inflation tax; and Thomas D.Willett and Clas Wihlborg on international capital flows and the dollar. It is a companion volume to Monetary Policy for a Changing Financial Environment.
| Author | : Guillermo E. Perry |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 354 |
| Release | : 2007-10-19 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0821370855 |
Fiscal policy in Latin America has been guided primarily by short-term liquidity targets whose observance was taken as the main exponent of fiscal prudence, with attention focused almost exclusively on the levels of public debt and the cash deficit. Very little attention was paid to the effects of fiscal policy on growth and on macroeconomic volatility over the cycle. Important issues such as the composition of public expenditures (and its effects on growth), the ability of fiscal policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations, and the currency composition of public debt were largely neglected. As a result, fiscal policy has often amplified cyclical volatility and dampened growth. 'Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth' explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book highlights the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the region's fiscal policies, explores their causes and macroeconomic consequences, and asesses their possible solutions.
| Author | : Craig Burnside |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 312 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780821358740 |
Topics discussed in this publication include: an introduction to theoretical and practical aspects of fiscal sustainability; theoretical prerequisites for fiscal sustainability analysis; debt indicators in the measurement of vulnerability; cyclical adjustment of budget surplus; pro-cyclical fiscal policy using Mexico's fiscal accounts as a case study; fiscal rules and the experience of Chile; currency crises and models for deal with financing costs.
| Author | : Mr.Jiro Honda |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 53 |
| Release | : 2017-09-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484318889 |
Over the past decade, Lesotho and Swaziland have faced significant volatility in their fiscal revenues, owing to highly unstable Southern African Customs Union (SACU) receipts. Based on model analysis, this paper explores the advantages of implementing fiscal rules to deal with such volatility. It finds that the use of a structural balance target could smooth the growth impact from revenue shocks while helping preserve sufficient international reserves during bad times. From a long-term perspective, it suggests possible welfare gains from introducing fiscal rules. Last, it concludes that, based on experiences in other countries, developing strong institutions and improving public financial management are necessary steps to ease the transitions to a rules-based fiscal policy framework.
| Author | : M. Ayhan Kose |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 403 |
| Release | : 2021-03-03 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1464815453 |
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
| Author | : Juan Carlos Hatchondo |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2012-01-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1463948875 |
This paper finds optimal fiscal rule parameter values and measures the effects of imposing fiscal rules using a default model calibrated to an economy that in the absence of a fiscal rule pays a significant sovereign default premium. The paper also studies the case in which the government conducts a voluntary debt restructuring to capture the capital gains from the increase in its debt market value implied by a rule announcement. In addition, the paper shows how debt ceilings may reduce the procyclicality of fiscal policy and thus consumption volatility.
| Author | : Stephen Snudden |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 45 |
| Release | : 2013-11-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475513380 |
Structural budget-balance rules with countercyclical elements appear well suited to stabilize the macroeconomic volatility of oil-exporting countries and have been used successfully by other commodity exporters. Using a global DSGE model, the efficient design of such rules is found to depend on the source of oil price fluctuations and the oil exporters’ structural characteristics. The output-inflation tradeoff is of particular concern for oil exporters relative to non-oil exporters due to the pass through of oil prices into headline inflation. Fiscal rules are best when coordinated with inflation targeting monetary policy, but are still desirable for fixed exchange rate regimes.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 257 |
| Release | : 2015-04-20 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1498344658 |
This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.
| Author | : Miria A. Pigato |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 240 |
| Release | : 2018-12-31 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781464813580 |
This report provides actionable advice on how to design and implement fiscal policies for both development and climate action. Building on more than two decades of research in development and environmental economics, it argues that well-designed environmental tax reforms are especially valuable in developing countries, where they can reduce emissions, increase domestic revenues, and generate positive welfare effects such as cleaner water, safer roads, and improvements in human health. Moreover, these reforms need not harm competitiveness. New empirical evidence from Indonesia and Mexico suggests that under certain conditions, raising fuel prices can actually increase firm productivity. Finally, the report discusses the role of fiscal policy in strengthening resilience to climate change. It provides evidence that preventive public investments and measures to build fiscal buffers can help safeguard stability and growth in the face of rising climate risks. In this way, environmental tax reforms and climate risk-management strategies can lay the much-needed fiscal foundation for development and climate action.
