Fiscal Deficit And Public Debt In The Western Balkans
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Author | : Zsoka Koczan |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 20 |
Release | : 2015-07-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513566393 |
In this paper we analyze how Western Balkans public finances adapted to the boom-bust cycle. Large capital inflows into emerging European economies during the mid-2000s resulted in rapid economic growth and convergence to EU income levels. This also resulted in improved fiscal positions of most countries, on the back of strong revenue performance. Yet, since the onset of the global economic crisis, many countries have struggled to adjust to the new situation of lower external financing and lower growth.
Author | : Zsoka Koczan |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 20 |
Release | : 2015-07-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513537709 |
In this paper we analyze how Western Balkans public finances adapted to the boom-bust cycle. Large capital inflows into emerging European economies during the mid-2000s resulted in rapid economic growth and convergence to EU income levels. This also resulted in improved fiscal positions of most countries, on the back of strong revenue performance. Yet, since the onset of the global economic crisis, many countries have struggled to adjust to the new situation of lower external financing and lower growth.
Author | : Alfred Greiner |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 148 |
Release | : 2009-07-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642017452 |
Starting point of this book is the observation that an increase in public debt must be accompanied by a rise in the primary surplus of the government to guarantee sustainability of public debt. The book first elaborates on that principle from a theoretical point of view and then tests whether empirical evidence for that rule can be found. Additional tests are implemented to gain further evidence on sustainability of public debt. In order to allow for time varying coefficients penalized spline estimations are performed. The theoretical chapters present endogenous growth models and assume that the primary surplus rises as public debt increases so that sustainability of public debt is given. Implications of public deficits and debt are studied assuming full employment and for unemployment. The conclusion summarizes the findings and compares the results of the different models. Finally, policy implications are given showing how governments should deal with high public debt to GDP ratios.
Author | : OECD |
Publisher | : OECD Publishing |
Total Pages | : 168 |
Release | : 2020-07-07 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9264701184 |
Government at a Glance: Western Balkans presents information on public governance in the Western Balkan region – covering Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia, and compares it to OECD and OECD-EU countries.
Author | : Paul J. Gertler |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 444 |
Release | : 2016-09-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1464807809 |
The second edition of the Impact Evaluation in Practice handbook is a comprehensive and accessible introduction to impact evaluation for policy makers and development practitioners. First published in 2011, it has been used widely across the development and academic communities. The book incorporates real-world examples to present practical guidelines for designing and implementing impact evaluations. Readers will gain an understanding of impact evaluations and the best ways to use them to design evidence-based policies and programs. The updated version covers the newest techniques for evaluating programs and includes state-of-the-art implementation advice, as well as an expanded set of examples and case studies that draw on recent development challenges. It also includes new material on research ethics and partnerships to conduct impact evaluation. The handbook is divided into four sections: Part One discusses what to evaluate and why; Part Two presents the main impact evaluation methods; Part Three addresses how to manage impact evaluations; Part Four reviews impact evaluation sampling and data collection. Case studies illustrate different applications of impact evaluations. The book links to complementary instructional material available online, including an applied case as well as questions and answers. The updated second edition will be a valuable resource for the international development community, universities, and policy makers looking to build better evidence around what works in development.
Author | : Reda Cherif |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 2012-09-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475510551 |
We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously lowers debt. In our specification, the debt ratio is stationary, whereas a VAR excluding debt may imply an explosive debt path.
Author | : Mr.Barry J. Eichengreen |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 60 |
Release | : 2019-01-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484392892 |
We consider public debt from a long-term historical perspective, showing how the purposes for which governments borrow have evolved over time. Periods when debt-to-GDP ratios rose explosively as a result of wars, depressions and financial crises also have a long history. Many of these episodes resulted in debt-management problems resolved through debasements and restructurings. Less widely appreciated are successful debt consolidation episodes, instances in which governments inheriting heavy debts ran primary surpluses for long periods in order to reduce those burdens to sustainable levels. We analyze the economic and political circumstances that made these successful debt consolidation episodes possible.
Author | : United States. Congress. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 104 |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : Balkan Peninsula |
ISBN | : |
Author | : OECD |
Publisher | : OECD Publishing |
Total Pages | : 654 |
Release | : 2021-06-10 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9264861769 |
The Western Balkans region has come a long way over the last two decades in achieving economic and social progress. With a population of 17.6 million, the region today boasts a combined gross domestic product (GDP) of close to EUR 100 billion, an average GDP per capita of about EUR 5 400 and a comprehensive process of integration with the European Union.
Author | : International Monetary Fund. European Dept. |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 105 |
Release | : 2024-07-08 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Serbia continues to recover well from the energy crisis. The authorities remain committed to policies that will help maintain strong external and fiscal buffers and that will support disinflation. With the planned large increases in public investment, it will be important to further strengthen public investment management and transparency. Additional energy pricing and governance reforms will bolster SOE finances. The authorities will continue to treat the SBA as precautionary.