Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework

Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework
Author: Mrs.Jana Bricco
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2019-10-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513517856

The analysis of interconnectedness and contagion is an important part of the financial stability and risk assessment of a country’s financial system. This paper offers detailed and practical guidance on how to conduct a comprehensive analysis of interconnectedness and contagion for a country’s financial system under various circumstances. We survey current approaches at the IMF for analyzing interconnectedness within the interbank, cross-sector and cross-border dimensions through an overview and examples of the data and methodologies used in the Financial Sector Assessment Program. Finally, this paper offers practical advice on how to interpret results and discusses potential financial stability policy recommendations that can be drawn from this type of in-depth analysis.

CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector

CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector
Author: Mehmet Ziya Gorpe
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2019-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498312071

This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks’ large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.

International Financial Contagion

International Financial Contagion
Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 461
Release: 2013-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475733143

No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

Social Dynamics

Social Dynamics
Author: Steven N. Durlauf
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262541763

This collection of essays presents a variety of approaches to understanding the dynamics of human interaction.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications
Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 66
Release: 2013-01-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475561008

This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Creating a Safer Financial System

Creating a Safer Financial System
Author: José Vinãls
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2013-05-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484340949

The U.S., the U.K., and more recently, the E.U., have proposed policy measures directly targeting complexity and business structures of banks. Unlike other, price-based reforms (e.g., Basel 3 and G-SIFI surcharges), these proposals have been developed unilaterally with material differences in scope, design and implementation schedules. This may exacerbate cross-border regulatory arbitrage and put a further burden on consolidated supervision and cross-border resolution. This paper provides an analysis of the potential implications of implementing different structural policy measures. It proposes a pragmatic and coordinated approach to development of these policies to reduce risk of regulatory arbitrage and minimize unintended consequences. In doing so, it also aims to identify a set of common policy measures that countries could adopt to re-scope bank business models and corporate structures.

Bail-In and Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity (TLAC)

Bail-In and Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity (TLAC)
Author: Yves Mauchle
Publisher: Kluwer Law International B.V.
Total Pages: 466
Release: 2016-06-01
Genre: Law
ISBN: 9041190252

As opposed to a bank bailout, a bail-in occurs when creditors are forced to bear some of the burden of bank failure. The principal aim of this restructuring tool is to eliminate some of the risk for taxpayers. Several jurisdictions, including Switzerland and the European Union (EU), have adopted legal provisions regarding the bail-in, but until this, book literature on its implementation has been scarce. Offering a detailed and comparative analysis of EU and Swiss law relating to bail-ins and their economic impact, this is the first book to provide in-depth coverage of this new method of dealing with the failure of systemically important banks. In its contextualisation and analysis of the bail-in resolution tool, the book identifies and discusses the legal and economic issues that arise, including such aspects as the following: – the legal and economic properties of bail-in capital; ? the regulatory standard on total loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) issued by the Financial Stability Board (FSB); ? the scope and sequence of liabilities subjected to bail-in; ? the legal position of stakeholders affected by a bail-in; ? strategies and procedures for the implementation of a bail-in; ? the limited circumstances under which government rescues should be available; and ? cross-jurisdictional issues and aspects of international cooperation. As well as case studies and analyses of legal issues with particular reference to Swiss law and the European Bank Resolution and Recovery Directive (2014/59/EU), the author applies economic concepts to the analysis of the law. International developments, in particular standards issued by leading regulatory bodies, are also covered. This book will be welcomed by legal practitioners working in banks and in banking regulation and by policymakers seeking information on the practical issues involved. As a detailed analysis of a new and highly significant development in banking law, it will also be of great interest to academics.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks
Author: Yann Bramoullé
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 857
Release: 2016-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0190216832

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks represents the frontier of research into how and why networks they form, how they influence behavior, how they help govern outcomes in an interactive world, and how they shape collective decision making, opinion formation, and diffusion dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the contributors to this volume devote attention to theory, field experiments, laboratory experiments, and econometrics. Theoretical work in network formation, games played on networks, repeated games, and the interaction between linking and behavior is synthesized. A number of chapters are devoted to studying social process mediated by networks. Topics here include opinion formation, diffusion of information and disease, and learning. There are also chapters devoted to financial contagion and systemic risk, motivated in part by the recent financial crises. Another section discusses communities, with applications including social trust, favor exchange, and social collateral; the importance of communities for migration patterns; and the role that networks and communities play in the labor market. A prominent role of networks, from an economic perspective, is that they mediate trade. Several chapters cover bilateral trade in networks, strategic intermediation, and the role of networks in international trade. Contributions discuss as well the role of networks for organizations. On the one hand, one chapter discusses the role of networks for the performance of organizations, while two other chapters discuss managing networks of consumers and pricing in the presence of network-based spillovers. Finally, the authors discuss the internet as a network with attention to the issue of net neutrality.

The Risks of Financial Institutions

The Risks of Financial Institutions
Author: Mark Carey
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 669
Release: 2007-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226092984

Until about twenty years ago, the consensus view on the cause of financial-system distress was fairly simple: a run on one bank could easily turn to a panic involving runs on all banks, destroying some and disrupting the financial system. Since then, however, a series of events—such as emerging-market debt crises, bond-market meltdowns, and the Long-Term Capital Management episode—has forced a rethinking of the risks facing financial institutions and the tools available to measure and manage these risks. The Risks of Financial Institutions examines the various risks affecting financial institutions and explores a variety of methods to help institutions and regulators more accurately measure and forecast risk. The contributors--from academic institutions, regulatory organizations, and banking--bring a wide range of perspectives and experience to the issue. The result is a volume that points a way forward to greater financial stability and better risk management of financial institutions.

Handbook of Labor Economics

Handbook of Labor Economics
Author: Orley Ashenfelter
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 800
Release: 1999-11-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780444501899

A guide to the continually evolving field of labour economics.