Explanations Of Recent Economic Growth And Contraction In The Middle East
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Author | : World Bank |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 339 |
Release | : 2021-08-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1464816662 |
The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.
Author | : MissRanda Sab |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : 2014-06-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498310893 |
Using narrative-based country-case studies, war episodes in the Middle East were examined to assess their economic impact on conflict and neighboring economies. The paper found that conflicts led to a contraction in growth, higher inflation, large fiscal and current account deficits, loss of reserves, and a weakened financial system. Post-conflict recovery depended on the economic and institutional development of the country, economic structure, duration of the war, international engagement, and prevailing security conditions. The net economic impact on neighboring countries varied according to their initial economic conditions, number and income level of refugees they hosted, economic integration, and external assistance.
Author | : Mr.Carlo A Sdralevich |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 130 |
Release | : 2014-07-09 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498350437 |
In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries price subsidies are common, especially on food and fuels. However, these are neither well targeted nor cost effective as a social protection tool, often benefiting mainly the better off instead of the poor and vulnerable. This paper explores the challenges of replacing generalized price subsidies with more equitable social safety net instruments, including the short-term inflationary effects, and describes the features of successful subsidy reforms.
Author | : Mr.Bjoern Rother |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 43 |
Release | : 2016-09-16 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 1475535783 |
In recent decades, the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) has experienced more frequent and severe conflicts than in any other region of the world, exacting a devastating human toll. The region now faces unprecedented challenges, including the emergence of violent non-state actors, significant destruction, and a refugee crisis bigger than any since World War II. This paper raises awareness of the economic costs of conflicts on the countries directly involved and on their neighbors. It argues that appropriate macroeconomic policies can help mitigate the impact of conflicts in the short term, and that fostering higher and more inclusive growth can help address some of the root causes of conflicts over the long term. The paper also highlights the crucial role of external partners, including the IMF, in helping MENA countries tackle these challenges.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 592 |
Release | : 1987 |
Genre | : Developing countries |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Mr.Ari Aisen |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 30 |
Release | : 2011-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455211907 |
The purpose of this paper is to empirically determine the effects of political instability on economic growth. Using the system-GMM estimator for linear dynamic panel data models on a sample covering up to 169 countries, and 5-year periods from 1960 to 2004, we find that higher degrees of political instability are associated with lower growth rates of GDP per capita. Regarding the channels of transmission, we find that political instability adversely affects growth by lowering the rates of productivity growth and, to a smaller degree, physical and human capital accumulation. Finally, economic freedom and ethnic homogeneity are beneficial to growth, while democracy may have a small negative effect.
Author | : Mr.Daniel Leigh |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 41 |
Release | : 2011-07-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455294691 |
This paper investigates the short-term effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in OECD economies. We examine the historical record, including Budget Speeches and IMFdocuments, to identify changes in fiscal policy motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by responding to prospective economic conditions. Using this new dataset, our estimates suggest fiscal consolidation has contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP. By contrast, estimates based on conventional measures of the fiscal policy stance used in the literature support the expansionary fiscal contractions hypothesis but appear to be biased toward overstating expansionary effects.
Author | : Farrukh Iqbal |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 136 |
Release | : 2006 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 0821365282 |
This book reviews the experience of the MENA region with poverty and human development since the mid-1980s. It finds that poverty rates did not decline by much during this period while health and education indicators improved substantially. The stagnation of poverty rates is ascribed to the stagnation of the region's economies during this period while the improvement in human indicators is likely due to several factors including improvement in the delivery of public health and education services.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 300 |
Release | : 2003 |
Genre | : Computer network resources |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Robin Barlow |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 54 |
Release | : 1989 |
Genre | : Demography |
ISBN | : |