Evidence-Based Technical Analysis

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis
Author: David Aronson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 572
Release: 2011-07-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118160584

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis examines how you can apply the scientific method, and recently developed statistical tests, to determine the true effectiveness of technical trading signals. Throughout the book, expert David Aronson provides you with comprehensive coverage of this new methodology, which is specifically designed for evaluating the performance of rules/signals that are discovered by data mining.

Technical Analysis of Gaps

Technical Analysis of Gaps
Author: Julie R. Dahlquist
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 252
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132900432

Gaps have attracted the attention of market technicians from the earliest days of charting. They're not merely conspicuous: they represent price jumps that could signal profitable trading opportunities. Until now, however, "folklore" about gap trading has been common, and tested, research-based knowledge virtually nonexistent. In Technical Analysis of Gaps, renowned technical analysis researchers Julie Dahlquist and Richard Bauer change all that. Drawing on 60 years of comprehensive data, they demonstrate how to sort "strategic" gaps from trivial ones, and successfully trade on gaps identified as significant. Building on work that recently earned them the Market Technicians Association's 2011 Charles H. Dow Award for creativity and innovation in technical analysis, Dahlquist and Bauer offer specific gap-related trading tips for stocks, futures, and options. They consider a wide variety of market conditions, including gap size, volume and previous price movement, illuminating their findings with easy-to-understand diagrams. Coverage includes: understanding what gaps are and how they arise; recognizing windows on candlestick charts; identifying gaps with superior profit potential; combining gaps with other technical techniques for a more complete and effective analysis; and putting it all together with real trading strategies. For stock, commodity, and currency traders in the U.S. and worldwide, and for active individual investors seeking new ways to maximize returns.

The Art and Science of Technical Analysis

The Art and Science of Technical Analysis
Author: Adam Grimes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 487
Release: 2012-05-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118238141

A breakthrough trading book that provides powerful insights on profitable technical patterns and strategies The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is a groundbreaking work that bridges the gaps between the academic view of markets, technical analysis, and profitable trading. The book explores why randomness prevails in markets most, but not all, of the time and how technical analysis can be used to capture statistically validated patterns in certain types of market conditions. The belief of the book is that buying and selling pressure causes patterns in prices, but that these technical patterns are only effective in the presence of true buying/selling imbalance. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is supported by extensive statistical analysis of the markets, which will debunk some tools and patterns such as Fibonacci analysis, and endorse other tools and trade setups. In addition, this reliable resource discusses trader psychology and trader learning curves based on the author's extensive experience as a trader and trainer of traders. Offers serious traders a way to think about market problems, understand their own performance, and help find a more productive path forward Includes extensive research to validate specific money-making patterns and strategies Written by an experienced market practitioner who has trained and worked with many top traders Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Art and Science of Technical Analysis will give you a realistic sense of how markets behave, when and how technical analysis works, and what it really takes to trade successfully.

Technical Analysis Applications

Technical Analysis Applications
Author: Cornelius Luca
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Total Pages: 350
Release: 2004-08-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780071426527

Trend analysis. Trend reversal patterns. Continuation patterns. Moving averages. Oscillatiors. The elliott wave.

Technical Analysis And Financial Asset Forecasting: From Simple Tools To Advanced Techniques

Technical Analysis And Financial Asset Forecasting: From Simple Tools To Advanced Techniques
Author: Raymond Hon-fu Chan
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Total Pages: 203
Release: 2014-08-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9814436267

Technical analysis is defined as the tracking and prediction of asset price movements using charts and graphs in combination with various mathematical and statistical methods. More precisely, it is the quantitative criteria used in predicting the relative strength of buying and selling forces within a market to determine what to buy, what to sell, and when to execute trades. This book introduces simple technical analysis tools like moving averages and Bollinger bands, and also advanced techniques such as wavelets and empirical mode decomposition. It first discusses some traditional tools in technical analysis, such as trend, trend Line, trend channel, Gann's Theory, moving averages, and Bollinger bands. It then introduces a recent indicator developed for stock market and two recent techniques used in the technical analysis field: wavelets and the empirical mode decomposition in financial time series. The book also discusses the theory to test the performance of the indicators and introduces the MATLAB Financial Toolbox, some of the functions/codes of which are used in our numerical experiments.

Trading with Candlesticks

Trading with Candlesticks
Author: Michael C. Thomsett
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 253
Release: 2010-08-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132121255

Traders who use charts to time their moves rely on strong and clear signals. Unfortunately, price levels and traditional technical indicators alone aren't always reliable. There is a solution: candlestick signs, moves, and patterns. When these visual signs of reversal or continuation are integrated with other signals, they provide the strongest possible entry and exit timing: both the signal and the means for confirming it. In this easy-to-use book, renowned trader Michael C. Thomsett demystifies candlesticks and shows active traders exactly how to use them. In Trading with Candlesticks, Thomsett explains how each leading candlestick works, how they appear, and how to interpret them to discover emerging price moves and trend reversals, as well as confirmations of existing trends. Trading with Candlesticks shows dozens of examples of candlestick signs, moves and patterns in action, explaining them not in isolation, but as part of broader, developing price trends on real stock charts. Thomsett also discusses failed signals, and offers guidelines for identifying the likely impending failure or success of each pattern. While no investing approach is 100% foolproof, Thomsett's system for recognizing candlestick signals and confirming them with other technical signs makes technical analysis more accurate than it's ever been before.

Statistical Data Analysis Based on the L1-Norm and Related Methods

Statistical Data Analysis Based on the L1-Norm and Related Methods
Author: Yadolah Dodge
Publisher: Birkhäuser
Total Pages: 447
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3034882017

This volume contains a selection of invited papers, presented to the fourth International Conference on Statistical Data Analysis Based on the L1-Norm and Related Methods, held in Neuchâtel, Switzerland, from August 4–9, 2002. The contributions represent clear evidence to the importance of the development of theory, methods and applications related to the statistical data analysis based on the L1-norm.

Evidence-Based Policy

Evidence-Based Policy
Author: Nancy Cartwright
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2012-09-20
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0199986703

Over the last twenty or so years, it has become standard to require policy makers to base their recommendations on evidence. That is now uncontroversial to the point of triviality--of course, policy should be based on the facts. But are the methods that policy makers rely on to gather and analyze evidence the right ones? In Evidence-Based Policy, Nancy Cartwright, an eminent scholar, and Jeremy Hardie, who has had a long and successful career in both business and the economy, explain that the dominant methods which are in use now--broadly speaking, methods that imitate standard practices in medicine like randomized control trials--do not work. They fail, Cartwright and Hardie contend, because they do not enhance our ability to predict if policies will be effective. The prevailing methods fall short not just because social science, which operates within the domain of real-world politics and deals with people, differs so much from the natural science milieu of the lab. Rather, there are principled reasons why the advice for crafting and implementing policy now on offer will lead to bad results. Current guides in use tend to rank scientific methods according to the degree of trustworthiness of the evidence they produce. That is valuable in certain respects, but such approaches offer little advice about how to think about putting such evidence to use. Evidence-Based Policy focuses on showing policymakers how to effectively use evidence, explaining what types of information are most necessary for making reliable policy, and offers lessons on how to organize that information.

Technical Analysis, Study Guide

Technical Analysis, Study Guide
Author: Jack D. Schwager
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 182
Release: 1997-10-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0471123544

The definitive guide to technical analysis . . . written from a trader's perspective With the keen insight and perspective that have made him a market legend, Jack D. Schwager explores, explains, and examines the application of technical analysis in futures trading. In the most in-depth, comprehensive book available, the bestselling investment writer demonstrates why he is one of today's foremost authorities. Here is the one volume no trader should be without. "Jack Schwager has accomplished the rarest of feats in this book. He has presented material in a way that both the professional and layman can profit from. It is a must read for traders on all levels." - Stanley Druckenmillern Managing Director, Soros Fund Management "Jack Schwager's Technical Analysis is exactly what one should expect from this expert on futures. The book is comprehensive, thoroughly insightful, and highly educational. I recommend it to the beginner as well as the expert." - Leo Melamed Chairman, Sakura Dellsher, Inc. "Jack Schwager possesses a remarkable ability to extract the important elements of complex, market-timing approaches, and distill that into something intelligible and useful. Not only is he able to present these ideas cleverly in an easily understood format, but he also demonstrates their application to the markets with clarity and precision." - Thomas R. DeMark Author, The New Science of Technical Analysis "Jack Schwager's book, A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets, was one of the best books I have read on futures trading. We give a copy of it to all our new analysts. Jack's latest work, Technical Analysis, looks like a gold mine of information, adding significantly to the existing investment literature." - Monroe Trout President, Trout Trading Management Co. Jack Schwager is one of the most important and visible figures in the futures industry today. His Market Wizards and The New Market Wizards are two of the bestselling finance titles of all time. Now, in the latest volume in the Schwager on Futures series, Technical Analysis, Schwager has created the most comprehensive guide ever for using technical analysis for futures trading. What makes Technical Analysis unique, besides its in-depth coverage, is that it is written from a trader's perspective. Schwager doesn't merely cover the subject, he explores what works and doesn't work in the real world of trading. Contains a comprehensive guide to chart analysis written with a particular focus on trading applications * Includes a separate 200+ page section illustrating the use of chart analysis in the real world * Details and illustrates several original trading systems * Includes a self-contained primer on cyclical analysis * Describes popular oscillators, the pitfalls in their common use, and guidelines to their successful application in trading * Explains the concept and use of "continuous futures" and compares 10-year continuous futures charts with conventional nearest futures charts for all major U.S. futures markets * Contains a section on trading strategy and philosophy, including over 100 trading tips Hundreds of charts, tables, and examples illustrate key points throughout, while the text is written in the informative, insightful, and nontechnical style that has made Jack Schwager one of the most highly regarded and bestselling investment authors ever. This invaluable book by one of the world's foremost authorities is destined to become the premier industry guide on technical analysis for many years to come.

Evidence-Based Policy

Evidence-Based Policy
Author: Ray Pawson
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 415
Release: 2006-04-07
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1446227839

In this important new book, Ray Pawson examines the recent spread of evidence-based policy making across the Western world. Few major public initiatives are mounted these days in the absence of a sustained attempt to evaluate them. Programmes are tried, tried and tried again and researched, researched and researched again. And yet it is often difficult to know which interventions, and which inquiries, will withstand the test of time. The evident solution, going by the name of evidence-based policy, is to take the longer view. Rather than relying on one-off studies, it is wiser to look to the ′weight of evidence′. Accordingly, it is now widely agreed the most useful data to support policy decisions will be culled from systematic reviews of all the existing research in particular policy domains. This is the consensual starting point for Ray Pawson′s latest foray into the world of evaluative research. But this is social science after all and harmony prevails only in the first chapter. Thereafter, Pawson presents a devastating critique of the dominant approach to systematic review - namely the ′meta-analytic′ approach as sponsored by the Cochrane and Campbell collaborations. In its place is commended an approach that he terms ′realist synthesis′. On this vision, the real purpose of systematic review is better to understand programme theory, so that policies can be properly targeted and developed to counter an ever-changing landscape of social problems. The book will be essential reading for all those who loved (or loathed) the arguments developed in Realistic Evaluation (Sage, 1997). It offers a complete blueprint for research synthesis, supported by detailed illustrations and worked examples from across the policy waterfront. It will be of especial interest to policy-makers, practitioners, researchers and students working in health, education, employment, social care, criminal justice, regeneration and welfare.