Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Missing Observations

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Missing Observations
Author: Mikhail Moklyachuk
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2019
Genre: Missing observations (Statistics)
ISBN: 9781536158908

We propose results of the investigation of the problem of mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of stationary stochastic processes. Estimates are based on observations of the processes with additive stationary noise process. The aim of the book is to develop methods for finding the optimal estimates of the functionals in the case where some observations are missing. Formulas for computing values of the mean-square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case of spectral certainty, where the spectral densities of the processes are exactly known. The minimax robust method of estimation is applied in the case of spectral uncertainty, where the spectral densities of the processes are not known exactly while some classes of admissible spectral densities are given. The formulas that determine the least favourable spectral densities and the minimax spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of functionals are proposed for some special classes of admissible densities.

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences
Author: Maksym Luz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 308
Release: 2019-12-12
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1786305038

Estimation of Stochastic Processes is intended for researchers in the field of econometrics, financial mathematics, statistics or signal processing. This book gives a deep understanding of spectral theory and estimation techniques for stochastic processes with stationary increments. It focuses on the estimation of functionals of unobserved values for stochastic processes with stationary increments, including ARIMA processes, seasonal time series and a class of cointegrated sequences. Furthermore, this book presents solutions to extrapolation (forecast), interpolation (missed values estimation) and filtering (smoothing) problems based on observations with and without noise, in discrete and continuous time domains. Extending the classical approach applied when the spectral densities of the processes are known, the minimax method of estimation is developed for a case where the spectral information is incomplete and the relations that determine the least favorable spectral densities for the optimal estimations are found.

Missing Data and Small-Area Estimation

Missing Data and Small-Area Estimation
Author: Nicholas T. Longford
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 384
Release: 2005-08-05
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9781852337605

This book evolved from lectures, courses and workshops on missing data and small-area estimation that I presented during my tenure as the ?rst C- pion Fellow (2000–2002). For the Fellowship I proposed these two topics as areas in which the academic statistics could contribute to the development of government statistics, in exchange for access to the operational details and background that would inform the direction and sharpen the focus of a- demic research. After a few years of involvement, I have come to realise that the separation of ‘academic’ and ‘industrial’ statistics is not well suited to either party, and their integration is the key to progress in both branches. Most of the work on this monograph was done while I was a visiting l- turer at Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand. The hospitality and stimulating academic environment of their Institute of Information S- ence and Technology is gratefully acknowledged. I could not name all those who commented on my lecture notes and on the presentations themselves; apart from them, I want to thank the organisers and silent attendees of all the events, and, with a modicum of reluctance, the ‘grey ?gures’ who kept inquiring whether I was any nearer the completion of whatever stage I had been foolish enough to attach a date.

Non-Stationary Stochastic Processes Estimation

Non-Stationary Stochastic Processes Estimation
Author: Maksym Luz
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Total Pages: 310
Release: 2024-05-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3111325628

The problem of forecasting future values of economic and physical processes, the problem of restoring lost information, cleaning signals or other data observations from noise, is magnified in an information-laden word. Methods of stochastic processes estimation depend on two main factors. The first factor is construction of a model of the process being investigated. The second factor is the available information about the structure of the process under consideration. In this book, we propose results of the investigation of the problem of mean square optimal estimation (extrapolation, interpolation, and filtering) of linear functionals depending on unobserved values of stochastic sequences and processes with periodically stationary and long memory multiplicative seasonal increments. Formulas for calculating the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals are derived in the case of spectral certainty, where spectral structure of the considered sequences and processes are exactly known. In the case where spectral densities of the sequences and processes are not known exactly while some sets of admissible spectral densities are given, we apply the minimax-robust method of estimation.

Modelling and Application of Stochastic Processes

Modelling and Application of Stochastic Processes
Author: Uday B. Desai
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 296
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1461322677

The subject of modelling and application of stochastic processes is too vast to be exhausted in a single volume. In this book, attention is focused on a small subset of this vast subject. The primary emphasis is on realization and approximation of stochastic systems. Recently there has been considerable interest in the stochastic realization problem, and hence, an attempt has been made here to collect in one place some of the more recent approaches and algorithms for solving the stochastic realiza tion problem. Various different approaches for realizing linear minimum-phase systems, linear nonminimum-phase systems, and bilinear systems are presented. These approaches range from time-domain methods to spectral-domain methods. An overview of the chapter contents briefly describes these approaches. Also, in most of these chapters special attention is given to the problem of developing numerically ef ficient algorithms for obtaining reduced-order (approximate) stochastic realizations. On the application side, chapters on use of Markov random fields for modelling and analyzing image signals, use of complementary models for the smoothing problem with missing data, and nonlinear estimation are included. Chapter 1 by Klein and Dickinson develops the nested orthogonal state space realization for ARMA processes. As suggested by the name, nested orthogonal realizations possess two key properties; (i) the state variables are orthogonal, and (ii) the system matrices for the (n + l)st order realization contain as their "upper" n-th order blocks the system matrices from the n-th order realization (nesting property).

Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data

Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data
Author: Anastasios Tsiatis
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 392
Release: 2007-01-15
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387373454

This book summarizes current knowledge regarding the theory of estimation for semiparametric models with missing data, in an organized and comprehensive manner. It starts with the study of semiparametric methods when there are no missing data. The description of the theory of estimation for semiparametric models is both rigorous and intuitive, relying on geometric ideas to reinforce the intuition and understanding of the theory. These methods are then applied to problems with missing, censored, and coarsened data with the goal of deriving estimators that are as robust and efficient as possible.

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences
Author: Maksym Luz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2019-09-25
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119663504

Estimation of Stochastic Processes is intended for researchers in the field of econometrics, financial mathematics, statistics or signal processing. This book gives a deep understanding of spectral theory and estimation techniques for stochastic processes with stationary increments. It focuses on the estimation of functionals of unobserved values for stochastic processes with stationary increments, including ARIMA processes, seasonal time series and a class of cointegrated sequences. Furthermore, this book presents solutions to extrapolation (forecast), interpolation (missed values estimation) and filtering (smoothing) problems based on observations with and without noise, in discrete and continuous time domains. Extending the classical approach applied when the spectral densities of the processes are known, the minimax method of estimation is developed for a case where the spectral information is incomplete and the relations that determine the least favorable spectral densities for the optimal estimations are found.

Stochastic Approximation and Recursive Estimation

Stochastic Approximation and Recursive Estimation
Author: M. B. Nevel'son
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
Total Pages: 252
Release: 1976-10-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780821809068

This book is devoted to sequential methods of solving a class of problems to which belongs, for example, the problem of finding a maximum point of a function if each measured value of this function contains a random error. Some basic procedures of stochastic approximation are investigated from a single point of view, namely the theory of Markov processes and martingales. Examples are considered of applications of the theorems to some problems of estimation theory, educational theory and control theory, and also to some problems of information transmission in the presence of inverse feedback.

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences

Estimation of Stochastic Processes with Stationary Increments and Cointegrated Sequences
Author: Maksym Luz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 314
Release: 2019-09-20
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119663520

Estimation of Stochastic Processes is intended for researchers in the field of econometrics, financial mathematics, statistics or signal processing. This book gives a deep understanding of spectral theory and estimation techniques for stochastic processes with stationary increments. It focuses on the estimation of functionals of unobserved values for stochastic processes with stationary increments, including ARIMA processes, seasonal time series and a class of cointegrated sequences. Furthermore, this book presents solutions to extrapolation (forecast), interpolation (missed values estimation) and filtering (smoothing) problems based on observations with and without noise, in discrete and continuous time domains. Extending the classical approach applied when the spectral densities of the processes are known, the minimax method of estimation is developed for a case where the spectral information is incomplete and the relations that determine the least favorable spectral densities for the optimal estimations are found.