Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Total Pages: 734
Release: 1981
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0816610711

Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

Handbook of Monetary Economics 3A

Handbook of Monetary Economics 3A
Author:
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 754
Release: 2010-12-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080932703

What tools are available for setting and analyzing monetary policy? World-renowned contributors examine recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. - Explores the models and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policies - Raises new questions about the volume, price, and availability of credit in the 2007-2010 downturn - Questions fiscal-monetary connnections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself - Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years

Measuring the Stances of Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Measuring the Stances of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Author: Mr. Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 21
Release: 2023-05-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

We derive measures of the stances of monetary and fiscal policy within the framework of an empirically plausible extension of the basic New Keynesian model, and jointly estimate them for the United States using a closed form multivariate linear filter. Our theoretical analysis reveals that the neutral stance of monetary policy — as measured by the real natural rate of interest — depends on the stance of fiscal policy, which in turn depends on the composition and expected timing of structural changes in the fiscal instruments. Our empirical application finds that accounting for fiscal policy significantly alters the estimated stance of monetary policy, and that the so-called fiscal impulse is a poor proxy for the stance of fiscal policy.

The Rational Expectations Equilibrium Inventory Model

The Rational Expectations Equilibrium Inventory Model
Author: Tryphon Kollintzas
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2013-03-08
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1468463748

This volume consists of six essays that develop and/or apply "rational expectations equilibrium inventory models" to study the time series behavior of production, sales, prices, and inventories at the industry level. By "rational expectations equilibrium inventory model" I mean the extension of the inventory model of Holt, Modigliani, Muth, and Simon (1960) to account for: (i) discounting, (ii) infinite horizon planning, (iii) observed and unobserved by the "econometrician" stochastic shocks in the production, factor adjustment, storage, and backorders management processes of firms, as well as in the demand they face for their products; and (iv) rational expectations. As is well known according to the Holt et al. model firms hold inventories in order to: (a) smooth production, (b) smooth production changes, and (c) avoid stockouts. Following the work of Zabel (1972), Maccini (1976), Reagan (1982), and Reagan and Weitzman (1982), Blinder (1982) laid the foundations of the rational expectations equilibrium inventory model. To the three reasons for holding inventories in the model of Holt et al. was added (d) optimal pricing. Moreover, the popular "accelerator" or "partial adjustment" inventory behavior equation of Lovell (1961) received its microfoundations and thus overcame the "Lucas critique of econometric modelling.

Contributions to Modern Econometrics

Contributions to Modern Econometrics
Author: Ingo Klein
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 285
Release: 2013-06-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475736029

The field of econometrics has gone through remarkable changes during the last thirty-five years. Widening its earlier focus on testing macroeconomic theories, it has become a rather comprehensive discipline concemed with the development of statistical methods and their application to the whole spectrum of economic data. This development becomes apparent when looking at the biography of an econometrician whose illustrious research and teaching career started about thirty-five years ago and who will retire very soon after his 65th birthday. This is Gerd Hansen, professor of econometrics at the Christian Albrechts University at Kiel and to whom this volume with contributions from colleagues and students has been dedicated. He has shaped the econometric landscape in and beyond Germany throughout these thirty-five years. At the end of the 1960s he developed one of the first econometric models for the German econ omy which adhered c10sely to the traditions put forth by the Cowles commission.

Handbook of Monetary Economics vols 3A+3B Set

Handbook of Monetary Economics vols 3A+3B Set
Author: Benjamin M. Friedman
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 1729
Release: 2010-11-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0444534717

How have monetary policies matured during the last decade? The recent downturn in economies worldwide have put monetary policies in a new spotlight. In addition to their investigations of new tools, models, and assumptions, they look carefully at recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. They also reexamine standard presumptions about the rationality of asset markets and other fundamentals. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. - Presents extensive coverage of monetary policy theories with an eye toward questions raised by the recent financial crisis - Explores the policies and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policies - Questions fiscal-monetary connnections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself - Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years

Agriculture and Economic Growth

Agriculture and Economic Growth
Author: Yair Mundlak
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 512
Release: 2000
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780674002289

Agriculture as a sector; Factor growth and allocation; Technology; Static and dynamic behavior.

Asymmetry and Aggregation in the EU

Asymmetry and Aggregation in the EU
Author: D. Mayes
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 252
Release: 2011-01-27
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0230304648

This book presents a clear exposition of what constitutes asymmetry in economics. It provides an empirical application of these ideas in the case of the EU. In particular, it shows how important asymmetry is for the appropriate design of policy in the Euro Area.