Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002

Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002
Author: Florence Arestoff
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 55
Release: 2006
Genre: Acceso a los mercados
ISBN:

The authors provide various estimates of the government net capital stocks for a panel of 26 developing countries over the period 1970-2001. Two kinds of internationally comparable series of public capital stocks are presented. The first estimates are based on the standard perpetual inventory method and various assumptions regarding initial stocks and depreciation rates. The second set of estimates takes into account the potential inefficiency of public investments in creating capital with a nonparametric approach. Three estimates of net capital stocks are provided, on the basis of three assumptions regarding the efficiency of public investment.

Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002

Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002
Author: Florence Arestoff
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

The authors provide various estimates of the government net capital stocks for a panel of 26 developing countries over the period 1970-2001. Two kinds of internationally comparable series of public capital stocks are presented. The first estimates are based on the standard perpetual inventory method and various assumptions regarding initial stocks and depreciation rates. The second set of estimates takes into account the potential inefficiency of public investments in creating capital with a nonparametric approach. Three estimates of net capital stocks are provided, on the basis of three assumptions regarding the efficiency of public investment.

Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002

Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 26 Developing Countries, 1970-2002
Author: Florence Arestoff
Publisher:
Total Pages: 55
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

The authors provide various estimates of the government net capital stocks for a panel of 26 developing countries over the period 1970-2001. Two kinds of internationally comparable series of public capital stocks are presented. The first estimates are based on the standard perpetual inventory method and various assumptions regarding initial stocks and depreciation rates. The second set of estimates takes into account the potential inefficiency of public investments in creating capital with a nonparametric approach. Three estimates of net capital stocks are provided, on the basis of three assumptions regarding the efficiency of public investment.

public expenditure and growth

public expenditure and growth
Author: Santiago Herrera
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2007
Genre: Access to Finance
ISBN:

Abstract: Given that public spending will have a positive impact on GDP if the benefits exceed the marginal cost of public funds, the present paper deals with measuring costs and benefits of public spending. The paper discusses one cost seldom considered in the literature and in policy debates, namely, the volatility derived from additional public spending. The paper identifies a relationship between public spending volatility and consumption volatility, which implies a direct welfare loss to society. This loss is substantial in developing countries, estimated at 8 percent of consumption. If welfare losses due to volatility are this sizeable, then measuring the benefits of public spending is critical. Gauging benefits based on macro aggregate data requires three caveats: a) considering of the impact of the funding (taxation) required for the additional public spending; b) differentiating between investment and capital formation; c) allowing for heterogeneous response of output to different types of capital and differences in network development. It is essential to go beyond country-specificity to project-level evaluation of the benefits and costs of public projects. From the micro viewpoint, the rate of return of a project must exceed the marginal cost of public funds, determined by tax levels and structure. Credible evaluations require microeconomic evidence and careful specification of counterfactuals. On this, the impact evaluation literature and methods play a critical role. From individual project evaluation, the analyst must contemplate the general equilibrium impacts. In general, the paper advocates for project evaluation as a central piece of any development platform. By increasing the efficiency of public spending, the government can permanently increase the rate of productivity growth and, hence, affect the growth rate of GDP.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009, Sub-Saharan Africa
Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 102
Release: 2009-10-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589068572

Sub-Saharan Africa has been hit hard by the global recession, but signs of resilience remain. While South Africa and some other middle-income countries were caught in the turbulence of international financial markets, and oil exporters saw government revenues plunge, some countries with wider commodity bases have so far escaped the worst of the crisis. Also, and reassuringly, with stronger initial fiscal and external positions than in past downturns, most countries in the region have been able to partially absorb external shocks by allowing fiscal deficits to rise and reducing interest rates. Exchange rates have generally been allowed to adjust. With many families affected by the crisis, however, progress toward the Millennium Development Goals has receded. Looking ahead, fiscal policy must balance support for the recovery with enhancing future growth prospects, debt sustainability, and poverty reduction. Published biannually in May and October.

Oil Windfalls in Ghana

Oil Windfalls in Ghana
Author: Jan Gottschalk
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2010-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455200751

We use a calibrated multi-sector DSGE model to analyze the likely impact of oil windfalls on the Ghanaian economy, under alternative fiscal and monetary policy responses. We distinguish between the short-run impact, associated with demand-related pressures, and the medium run impact on competitiveness and growth. The impact on inflation and the real exchange rate could be moderate, especially if the fiscal authorities smooth oil-related spending or increase public spending’s import content. However, a policy mix that results in both a fiscal expansion and the simultaneous accumulation of the foreign currency proceeds from oil as international reserves—to offset the real appreciation—would raise demand pressures and crowd-out the private sector. In the medium term, the negative impact on competitiveness—resulting from ”Dutch Disease” effects—could be small, provided public spending increases the stock of productive public capital. These findings highlight the role of different policy responses, and their interaction, for the macroeconomic impact of oil proceeds.

From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth

From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth
Author: Pranav Gupta
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2015-04-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 147552112X

Some resource-rich developing countries are in the process of harnessing immense mining resources towards inclusive growth and prosperity. Nevertheless, tapping into natural resources could be challenging given the large front-loaded investment, volatile capital flows and exposure to global commodity markets. Public investment is needed to remove the often-large infrastructure gap and unlock the economic potential. However, too rapid fiscal outlays could push the economy to its limit of absorptive capacity and increase macro-financial vulnerabilities. This paper utilizes a structural model-based approach to analyze macroeconomic impacts of different public investment strategies on key fiscal and non-fiscal variables such as debt, consumption, sovereign wealth fund, and real exchange rates. We apply the model to Mongolia and draw policy recommendations from the analysis. We find that fiscal policy adjustment, particularly moderating infrastructure investment and optimizing investment efficiency is needed to maintain macroeconomic and external stability, as well as to boost the long-term sustainable growth for Mongolia.

Race to the Next Income Frontier

Race to the Next Income Frontier
Author: Mr.Ali M. Mansoor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 430
Release: 2018-04-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484340590

Economic transformation and diversification require solutions that take account of the political economy of reform. This book explores the process of economic transformation, using Senegal as an example. Sound macroeconomic and fiscal policies are prerequisites for achieving this kind of transformation, but these policies need to include the appropriate industrial policies and good economic governance, which provide incentives to help small- and medium-sized enterprises emerge from the informal sector and for foreign direct investment to use the country as a platform for globally competitive production. In many low-income countries extensive rent seeking and patronage have generated stability at the expense of inclusive growth and held back development. Although policymakers know what is needed to address these problems and achieve economic transformation and diversification, how to do it remains a challenge. This book shows how the political economy of reform may be navigated to achieve transformation. For example, the use of special economic zones may solve the problem if good global governance is emphasized, along with linking the zones to the global economy.

Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid

Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid
Author: Ioana Moldovan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2019-06-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149832018X

This paper assesses the optimal setting of fiscal spending and foreign exchange rate intervention policies in response to volatile foreign aid, in a small open economy model that incorporates typical features of low-income countries. Within a class of policy rules, it jointly considers the optimal aid spending and international reserve accumulation policies. The results show that it is optimal to adjust government spending gradually in response to unpredictable fluctuations in aid, while partially accumulating foreign exchange reserves to offset Dutch disease effects. Also, allocating relatively more of the government spending to productive public investment, and less to government consumption, is welfare improving.

On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment: How Much is Too Much?

On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment: How Much is Too Much?
Author: Daniel Gurara
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2020-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513529986

While expanding public investment can help filling infrastructure bottlenecks, scaling up too much and too fast often leads to inefficient outcomes. This paper rationalizes this outcome looking at the association between cost inflation and public investment in a large sample of road construction projects in developing countries. Consistent with the presence of absorptive capacity constraints, our results show a non-linear U-shaped relationship between public investment and project costs. Unit costs increase once public investment is close to 10% of GDP. This threshold is lower (about 7% of GDP) in countries with low investment efficiency and, in general, the effect of investment scaling up on costs is especially strong during investment booms.