Essays in asset pricing

Essays in asset pricing
Author: Fatima Khushnud
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

This dissertation follows on an asset pricing theme. Overall, it explores asset pricing tests in the equity and the bond markets and attempts to identify the common risk factors that best explain cross sectional variation in stock and bond returns. The first three studies use US data, while the last study explores European bonds data. The sample period is from January 2002 to December 2012 and the Fama and French (1993) time series framework is used in each of the studies. The first two studies in this dissertation focus on equity markets, while the third and fourth study encompasses the US and European corporate bond markets respectively. There has been extensive research on asset pricing models. However, despite being a well-researched area, there is little consensus as to which model is most appropriate. Motivated by this gap in literature, this thesis builds on the work of Fama and French (1993) and applies their time series framework to both equity and bonds. Chapter 2 draws on the link between firm leverage and stock returns as supported by capital structure theory. It examines whether a leverage (LEV) factor exhibits explanatory power over the US stock return variations. The analysis indicates that the LEV factor significantly contributes towards the explanatory power of the fitted models and thus appears to have some explanatory power over U.S. stock returns. Chapter 3 addresses the question of whether ex-post returns should be used in testing ex-ante asset pricing models. This chapter explores the impact of using IBES mean target price as a proxy for expected price in tests of the CAPM, Fama and French (1993) three factor and the Cahart (1997) four factor models. The analysis suggests that the expectation based proxy of returns performs in a similar manner to realized returns in asset pricing tests and thus the use of realized returns should not adversely bias asset pricing tests. Chapter 4 and 5 add to the bond pricing literature by applying time-series studies to US and European bonds. Chapter 4 investigates common risk factors within the US corporate bond returns. The analysis shows that stock market factors do not add explanatory power to the bond return models used in this study. The bond market factor, DEF, dominates all other explanatory variables in regression analysis. Chapter 5 of this dissertation examines the common risk factors explaining variation within the European corporate bond returns. The results are consistent with Chapter 4 indicating that the European DEF factor also captures much of the variation in European bond returns. This dissertation enhances our understanding of the asset pricing models within a Fama and French (1993) time series framework for both equity and bond markets. Support is provided for the importance of leverage in asset pricing. The choice between realised returns and expected returns is also explored in this thesis, with the results suggesting that this choice has little impact on the results from time series asset pricing tests. The pricing of corporate bonds is also explored with evidence to confirm the Fama and French (193) result that equity and bond pricing models differ considerably in US market. Finally, it is found that the key pricing factors are common to both US and European corporate bonds.

Essays in Asset Pricing

Essays in Asset Pricing
Author: Michael Shane O'Doherty
Publisher:
Total Pages: 159
Release: 2011
Genre: Stock price forecasting
ISBN:

Using a variety of test portfolios, the optimal pool of models consistently outperforms the best individual model on both statistical and economic grounds.

Three Essays in Empirical Asset Pricing

Three Essays in Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Stephen Szaura
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

"This thesis comprises three essays in empirical asset pricing. My first essay entitled "Are stock and corporate bond markets integrated? A Big Data Approach" I document the existence a growing Factor Zoo of discovered characteristics and factors that predict the cross-section of corporate bond returns and generate a significant high minus low portfolio alpha. I determine a higher statistical benchmark, by accounting for those characteristics and factors that have been discovered in published and working papers and find that in cross-sectional regressions and portfolio sorts of over a hundred characteristics and factors, on average 2.4% predict the cross-section of corporate bond returns when adjusting for higher benchmarks. A multivariate horse-race of all characteristics and factors in cross-sectional regressions finds a higher number of corporate bond, rather than stock, characteristics and factors that predict the cross-section of corporate bond returns when adjusting for higher benchmarks. In addition to the lower number of corporate bond characteristics and factors that predict the cross-section of stock returns, my results show that the stock and corporate bond markets are more segmented than previously documented.My second essay is based on a joint working paper entitled "Do Option Implied Measures of Stock Mispricing Find Investment Opportunities or Market Frictions" where we find that existing option implied stock mis-pricing measures, the portfolios identified as being the most mispriced (highest quintile), typically have the highest shorting fee. When those stocks are omitted, the average abnormal returns of the long-short stock portfolios are insignificant or greatly reduced in economic magnitude. We propose a new measure, IPD, using a novel intra-day options trades data set, circumvents this and does not require shorting hard to borrow firms.My third essay is based on a joint working paper entitled "Accounting Transparency and the Implied Volatility Skew". We show theoretically and empirically that firms with higher accounting transparency have an implied volatility smirk that is more sensitive to leverage (vice versa). The more clear the accounting information the more skewed the implied volatility smirk. Our theoretical predictions rely on extending the Duffie and Lando [2001] credit risk model to stock option pricing whereby incomplete accounting information and the risk of bankruptcy together act as an economic source of jump risk for stocks. Empirical tests confirm the theoretical predictions of the model and the model can be solved in closed form solution up to Bivariate Standard Normal Cumulative Distribution Function"--

Essays in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice

Essays in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice
Author: Philipp Karl Illeditsch
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

In the Ơ̐1rst essay, I decompose inƠ̐2ation risk into (i) a part that is correlated with real returns on the market portfolio and factors that determine investor0́9s preferences and investment opportunities and (ii) a residual part. I show that only the Ơ̐1rst part earns a risk premium. All nominal Treasury bonds, including the nominal money-market account, are equally exposed to the residual part except inƠ̐2ation-protected Treasury bonds, which provide a means to hedge it. Every investor should put 100% of his wealth in the market portfolio and inƠ̐2ation-protected Treasury bonds and hold a zero-investment portfolio of nominal Treasury bonds and the nominal money market account. In the second essay, I solve the dynamic asset allocation problem of Ơ̐1nite lived, constant relative risk averse investors who face inƠ̐2ation risk and can invest in cash, nominal bonds, equity, and inƠ̐2ation-protected bonds when the investment opportunityset is determined by the expected inƠ̐2ation rate. I estimate the model with nominal bond, inƠ̐2ation, and stock market data and show that if expected inƠ̐2ation increases, then investors should substitute inƠ̐2ation-protected bonds for stocks and they should borrow cash to buy long-term nominal bonds. In the lastessay, I discuss how heterogeneity in preferences among investors withexternal non-addictive habit forming preferences aƠ̐0ects the equilibrium nominal term structure of interest rates in a pure continuous time exchange economy and complete securities markets. Aggregate real consumption growth and inƠ̐2ation are exogenously speciƠ̐1ed and contain stochastic components thataƠ̐0ect their means andvolatilities. There are two classes of investors who have external habit forming preferences and diƠ̐0erent localcurvatures oftheir utility functions. The eƠ̐0ects of time varying risk aversion and diƠ̐0erent inƠ̐2ation regimes on the nominal short rate and the nominal market price of risk are explored, and simple formulas for nominal bonds, real bonds, and inƠ̐2ation risk premia that can be numerically evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation techniques are provided.