Essays On Individual Labor Market Transitions And Aggregate Dynamics
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Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach
Author | : Mr.Ippei Shibata |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 71 |
Release | : 2019-12-20 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513519263 |
This paper proposes a hidden state Markov model (HMM) that incorporates workers’ unobserved labor market attachment into the analysis of labor market dynamics. Unlike previous literature, which typically assumes that a worker’s observed labor force status follows a first-order Markov process, the proposed HMM allows workers with the same labor force status to have different history-dependent transition probabilities. I show that the estimated HMM generates labor market transition probabilities that match those observed in the data, while the first-order Markov model (FOM) and its many-state extensions cannot. Even compared with the extended FOM, the HMM improves the fit of the empirical transition probabilities by a factor of 30. I apply the HMM to (1) calculate the long-run consequences of separation from stable employment, (2) study evolutions of employment stability across different demographic groups over the past several decades, (3) compare the dynamics of labor market flows during the Great Recession to those during the 1981 recession, and (4) highlight the importance of looking beyond distributions of current labor force status.
Empirical Methods for the Study of Labour Force Dynamics
Author | : Kenneth Wolpin |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 112 |
Release | : 2013-10-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1136459480 |
In the last twenty years there has been an explosion of economic research on labor force dynamics; the movement of individuals between labor force states. This book focuses on the methods by which behavioral theories of labor force dynamics have been empirically implemented. Most attention is paid to the partial equilibrium two-state transitional model of job search behavior. That model is the foundation for much of our thinking about the nature of unemployment at both the individual and aggregate levels. Although the basic formulation has remained the same, approaches to the empirical implementation of such models has changed dramatically.
Producer Dynamics
Author | : Timothy Dunne |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 623 |
Release | : 2009-05-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226172570 |
The Census Bureau has recently begun releasing official statistics that measure the movements of firms in and out of business and workers in and out of jobs. The economic analyses in Producer Dynamics exploit this newly available data on establishments, firms, and workers, to address issues in industrial organization, labor, growth, macroeconomics, and international trade. This innovative volume brings together a group of renowned economists to probe topics such as firm dynamics across countries; patterns of employment dynamics; firm dynamics in nonmanufacturing industries such as retail, health services, and agriculture; employer-employee turnover from matched worker/firm data sets; and turnover in international markets. Producer Dynamics will serve as an invaluable reference to economists and policy makers seeking to understand the links between firms and workers, and the sources of economic dynamics, in the age of globalization.
IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2
Author | : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 204 |
Release | : 1998-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451974167 |
This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.
Studies of Labor Market Intermediation
Author | : David H. Autor |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 456 |
Release | : 2009-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780226032887 |
From the traditional craft hiring hall to the Web site Monster.com, a multitude of institutions exist to facilitate the matching of workers with firms. The diversity of such Labor Market Intermediaries (LMIs) encompasses criminal records providers, public employment offices, labor unions, temporary help agencies, and centralized medical residency matches. Studies of Labor Market Intermediation analyzes how these third-party actors intercede where workers and firms meet, thereby aiding, impeding, and, in some cases, exploiting the matching process. By building a conceptual foundation for analyzing the roles that these understudied economic actors serve in the labor market, this volume develops both a qualitative and quantitative sense of their significance to market operation and worker welfare. Cross-national in scope, Studies of Labor Market Intermediation is distinctive in coalescing research on a set of market institutions that are typically treated as isolated entities, thus setting a research agenda for analyzing the changing shape of employment in an era of rapid globalization and technological change.
Empirical Methods for the Study of Labor Force Dynamics
Author | : Kenneth I. Wolpin |
Publisher | : Psychology Press |
Total Pages | : 112 |
Release | : 2001 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780415269407 |
In the last twenty years there has been an explosion of economic research on labour force dynamics. This book focuses on the methods by which behavioural theories of labour force dynamics have been empirically implemented.