Essays on Financial Integration, Financial Market Dependence, and Monetary Policy Transmission

Essays on Financial Integration, Financial Market Dependence, and Monetary Policy Transmission
Author: Jongrim Ha
Publisher:
Total Pages: 414
Release: 2016
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ISBN:

This dissertation offers three essays addressing critical topics in financial market dependence and monetary policy transmission in an era of financial integration: 1) the domestic effects of monetary policy (MP) shocks on market interest rates in small open economies, 2) international transmission of U.S. MP shocks to other open financial markets, and 3) volatility spillovers among financial markets in emerging market (EM) economies. The first chapter investigates the nature of monetary policy transmission in selected small open economies and the U.S. by estimating structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models using the external instrument identification method. Differing from related studies on U.S. monetary policy, which mostly employ high-frequency futures rates to identify monetary policy shocks, the study proposes and tests alternative sets of external instruments for the focal open economies that do not yet have well-established futures markets in MP instruments. The second chapter focuses on the international transmission of U.S. monetary shocks into a variety of financial markets in open economies. I again exploit the external instrument approach to identify the impact of U.S. and domestic MP shocks in a SVAR system. Utilizing the identified shocks for the event study analysis and the local projection estimation, I further test non-linear features of such transmission. Empirical results from the first and second chapters provide a variety of meaningful insights. The results show that foreign exchange rates respond to monetary shocks flexibly, i.e., without generating puzzles raised by earlier studies and that the shocks strongly propagate into other types of open financial markets as well. The studies also confirm the significant transmission of domestic monetary shocks in open economies, but U.S. shocks appear to exhibit greater and more persistent influences over domestic asset prices than domestic shocks. Besides, the international propagation of U.S. shocks also demonstrate non-linear features. The third chapter investigates the occurrence of dependency between foreign exchange markets and stock markets in EM countries by testing volatility spillovers of asset returns. I modify the classical BEKK GARCH (1,1) model to study the dynamics and origins of volatility spillovers. The empirical results are threefold. First, volatility spillovers between financial markets are significant in most EM countries. Second, such spillovers are found to be contingent on the sample period and market conditions, a result that is generally consistent with findings in the literature on time-varying, asymmetric, and contagion-shift spillovers. Finally, the results suggest that, under normal conditions, the relevant spillovers are explained mostly by comovement from common information about fundamentals; during crises, however, while common information plays a role, market contagion also becomes an important source of spillovers.

Three Essays on Financial Market Integration and Political Convergence in North America

Three Essays on Financial Market Integration and Political Convergence in North America
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

Cette thèse porte sur l'intégration des marchés financiers en Amérique du Nord. Son objectif principal est d'étudier l'impact de la convergence politique et des différences dans les anomalies financières sur l'intégration des marchés financiers. De plus, cette thèse adopte une approche empirique permettant une inference plus appropriée à l'intérieur des limites des modèles d'évaluation d'actifs classiques. Le premier essai étudie l'impact des partis politiques et de la convergence politique sur l'intégration des marchés financiers nord-américains. Nous utilisons deux modèles d'évaluation d'actifs financiers internationaux dans lesquels nous contrôlons pour l'impact des partis politiques. Nos résultats montrent que les partis politiques américains ainsi que la combinaison (Républicain-Libéral) ont un impact sur l'intégration des marchés financiers. Étant donné que les modèles d'évaluation d'actifs contenant uniquement le facteur de marché sont parfois rejetés, nous introduisons des modèles d'évaluation d'actifs multifacteurs dans les deux essais suivants. Dans cette optique, le deuxième essai teste l'intégration des marchés financiers en Amérique du Nord en utilisant le modèle à quatre facteurs. Nous introduisons une méthodologie de "split sample" pour tenir compte de l'erreur sur les variables présente dans les estimations en coupes transversales. Nos résultats suggèrent que les marchés nord-américains ne sont pas pleinement intégrés et que les titres interlistés sont d'aussi bons véhicules de diversification que les titres domestiques. Finalement, les modèles à facteurs internationaux semblent avoir une performance semblable aux modèles domestiques.

Three Essays on International Asset Pricing

Three Essays on International Asset Pricing
Author: Chu-Sheng Tai
Publisher:
Total Pages: 242
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

Abstract: Two dimensions that complicate finance in an international setting are market segmentation and foreign exchange risk. With the increasing globalization of financial markets, these two effects require that many issues such as investment analysis, risk management, asset pricing and capital budgeting confronting financial professionals have to rethink in an international context. My dissertation consists of three essays that intend to address the following questions: "Can time-varying risk premia explain the deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)?", "Is foreign exchange risk priced in international financial markets?", and "Are emerging financial markets integrated with world markets?"

Essays on Financial Frictions and Financial Integration

Essays on Financial Frictions and Financial Integration
Author: Ahrang Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

Abstract: This dissertation addresses two questions regarding international financial market integration and financial frictions. Does stock market volatility in a country raise that in other countries? To answer this question, I conduct two types of empirical exercises. I fit a simple bivariate vector augoregressions (VAR), which show a persistent positive response of domestic volatility to a shock in external volatility. In addition, I run two stage least squares on domestic volatility to resolve the problem of an endogenous explanatory variable. Disaster shocks are used as the instrument for external volatility. I find that international spillovers do occur in stock markets. In particular, one standard deviation increase in external volatility raises domestic volatility by at least 0.3 standard deviations. Moreover, I show that disaster shocks are a valid and robust instrument for volatility. To the best of my awareness, this is the first work addressing the issue of endogeneity in international stock markets with instrument variables. The second question asks if fixed costs to using financial intermediation are quantitatively important in explaining income differences across-countries. I introduce fixed costs into an entrepreneurship model with financial frictions where agents are heterogeneous in their financial assets, entrepreneurial ability and labor productivity. I find that the fraction of agents using financial intermediation substantially decreases as fixed costs increase. Fixed costs as low as 11 per cent of typical year's income lower the intermediated population from almost one to one fifth. Fixed costs also reduce accumulation of capital by 20 per cent as they restrict the intermediated population. Lastly, barriers to financial intermediation play an important role in increasing wealth inequality within an economy and across economies. The aforementioned fixed costs raise the wealth Gini index from 0.78 to 0.92 and reduce aggregate income by 10 per cent. That is, the fixed costs alone can explain 10 per cent of income difference between, for example, Belgium and Guyana.

Essays on International Comovements of Financial Markets

Essays on International Comovements of Financial Markets
Author: Yusuke Tateno
Publisher:
Total Pages: 120
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

International portfolio diversification is beneficial only if asset returns are not significantly correlated across countries. Therefore, it is essential for investors who want to make an appropriate portfolio selection to understand the nature of asset return correlations. This thesis consists of three essays on international comovements of financial markets. The first essay analyzes the effects of heterogeneous beliefs and learning on international comovements of equity returns and portfolio rebalancing mechanism. This essay develops a continuous-time general equilibrium model in a two-asset and two-good economy with two representative agents, who differ in perceived rates of output growth and accuracy of beliefs. The equilibrium correlations of equity returns across counties and optimal portfolios are expressed in terms of the differences in beliefs. The main findings are: (1) the differences in perceived rates of output growth generate equity home or foreign bias, resulting in lower crosscountry equity return correlations; and (2) the volatilities of optimal portfolios and capital flows increase with the differences in perceived output growth and with the differences in accuracy of beliefs. The second essay studies the effects of trade costs in goods market on international comovements of equity markets and those on equity home bias. This essay develops a continuous-time general equilibrium model in a two-country, two-asset, and two-good setting where international trade of goods is costly. I solve for the optimal portfolios and the equilibrium correlations of cross-country equity returns and analyze how they change depending on the size of trade costs, the coeiffcient of risk aversion, and the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods. It is found that the cross-country equity return correlations decrease with the size of trade costs. This result is robust to different sizes of trade costs and asymmetry related to potential growth and consumer preferences. It is also found that the size of the trade costs and other parameter values determine whether trade costs would generate equity home bias or foreign bias. The third essay is devoted to an empirical analysis of the effects of financial integration on international comovements of financial markets. The essay provides a characterization of synchronization among 24 countries over the period 1980-2003. A country-pair panel instrumental variables framework is employed to explain time-varying bilateral correlations among national stock returns, by utilizing the dataset on trade costs in Fitzgerald (2008). It is found that finnancial integration driven by reduction of trade costs leads to a higher degree of synchromization across stock markets.

Essays on the Microeconomics of Financial Market Structure and Performance

Essays on the Microeconomics of Financial Market Structure and Performance
Author: Prasad Krishnamurthy
Publisher:
Total Pages: 214
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

How does financial market structure affect business growth and consumer welfare? Microeconomic theory presumes that market outcomes are a result of the equilibrium interaction of agents with differing objectives. This dissertation develops and tests microeconomic models of the credit and deposit markets . Parts 1 and 2 emphasize the importance of asymmetric information and strategic interaction, respectively, in determining financial market structure and performance. Part 1 provides new evidence on the relationship between financial market structure and firm growth. I develop an equilibrium model of firms who can access debt capital and capital from banks that monitor their borrowers. In this model, (1) shifts in the supply of bank credit have the largest effect on firms who have just enough capital to acquire finance, and (2) financial integration dampens the quantity effects of shocks to credit supply, but exacerbates the quantity effects of shocks to credit demand. I test these hypotheses by exploiting the history of bank-branching deregulation in the United States. I use the differential timing of state deregulation to trace the causal channel that runs from financial integration to firm growth. I find that for mid-sized establishments, financial integration lowered the association between local credit supply and business growth. My findings suggest that the excess volatility in business growth in unintegrated markets may entail significant allocative inefficiencies. Part 2 investigates the contribution of deposit market competition and consumer preferences to banking market structure and pricing. I develop a general model of spatial competition where consumers' higher willingness to pay for firms with more locations generates an externality in firms' location decisions. I characterize the equilibrium of this model and provide novel analytical results for prices, markups and limiting market shares. I then consider the application of this model to the market for bank deposits. The model generates predictions on (1) the density of branches, (2) the pattern of within-market and across-market concentration, (3) the relationship between concentration and market size, (4) the relationship between branching networks and deposit prices, and (5) the dispersion of deposit prices. I utilize the history of bank branch deregulation to test the predictions of this model by comparing free branching to unit branching--one bank/one branch--states. The empirical tests are broadly consistent with the hypothesis that strategic competition in branch networks plays a role in determining market structure.