Essays on Disciplining Financial Frictions in Macroeconomic Models

Essays on Disciplining Financial Frictions in Macroeconomic Models
Author: Robert Jacob Kurtzman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 136
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

This dissertation examines the role that financial frictions play in the propagation of aggregate shocks, and the extent to which they are detrimental for firm value and welfare. The first chapter in this dissertation estimates a general equilibrium model of firm dynamics with endogenous leverage, bankruptcy, innovation, and entry decisions to quantify the private and public gains from resolving the debt overhang problem. The second chapter incorporates aggregate shocks to TFP, the level of idiosyncratic asset volatility, and the retained value of the firm upon bankruptcy in the model in chapter one, and analyzes the extent to which alleviating the debt overhang problem changes how aggregates and firm decisions respond to these different aggregate shocks. The third chapter develops a novel decomposition of changes in aggregate productivity that does not require the identification of firm-level TFP or production function coefficients, and implements this decomposition on U.S. public non-financial firms over the period of 1972-2012.

Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions

Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions
Author: Wei Wang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 206
Release: 2015
Genre: Electronic dissertations
ISBN:

This dissertation develops three independent yet related frameworks to identify economic mechanisms through which financial frictions affect the aggregate economy over the business cycle and along the path of economic development. There are three chapters in this dissertation. In each chapter, a theoretical model is constructed based on motivating empirical facts, followed by quantitative analyses disciplined and evaluated by data at both the macro- and micro-level. Chapter 1, Financial Frictions and Agricultural Productivity Differences, explores the role of financial frictions in accounting for agricultural employment share and labor productivity differences across provinces in China. A two-sector general equilibrium model with a subsistence consumption requirement and financial frictions is constructed. Limited credit decreases the use of intermediate inputs and increases the use of labor input. As a consequence, workers are trapped in the agricultural sector and agricultural labor productivity is low. Since agricultural employment consists of a large percentage of total employment, aggregate labor productivity is also low. Quantitatively, financial frictions alone explain more than 25% of the observed employment share and productivity differences. Financial frictions amplify the effect of TFP differences on agricultural productivity differences by 30%. Cross-country sectoral value-added per worker differences are large. Value-added per worker is much higher in non-agriculture than in agriculture in the typical country, and particularly so in poor countries. Even though these agricultural productivity gaps (APG) are large, poor countries devote most of their employment to agriculture. Based on a novel data set of value-added at the sectoral level that is comparable across provinces, I find the same patterns across provinces in China. In the second chapter, Credit Constraints, Human Capital and the Agricultural Productivity Gaps, I explore and quantify the role of financial frictions in accounting for these puzzling patterns. A two-sector heterogeneous-agent model with human capital investment, occupational choices and financial frictions is developed. Financial frictions depress human capital accumulation and distort occupational choices of rural households. Quantitatively, our model could account for a substantial portion of the observed cross-province differences in sectoral productivities and the APGs. The financial friction alone could account for 80% of the across-province differences in AGPs. It also explains 1/3 of the sectoral productivity differences and 1/5 of the differences in the agricultural employment share and the aggregate productivity across provinces. In Chapter 3, A Search-Theoretic Model of Capital Reallocation, I investigate how search frictions in the capital market affects capital reallocation across firms and the price of used capital over the business cycles. A tractable dynamic general equilibrium model is developed to account for procyclicality of capital reallocation. Firms are heterogeneous in their productivities and they trade used capital in a market which is subject to search frictions. After idiosyncratic productivity shocks are realized, firms are able to adjust their capital stock to a more favorable level before production. In the booms, the demand of used capital increases and the market tightness of used capital market is small. Hence, capital reallocation is larger and the price of used capital is higher. During the recessions, buyers demand less used capital and the market tightness is large. Consequently, capital reallocation is smaller and the price of used capital is lower. Quantitatively, the model could generate a correlation coefficient between capital reallocation and output that is consistent with the data.

Essays on the Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Frictions

Essays on the Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Frictions
Author: Yan Ji (Ph. D.)
Publisher:
Total Pages: 248
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

This thesis consists of three chapters on the macroeconomic implications of financial frictions. The first chapter investigates the implications of student loan debt on labor market outcomes. I begin by analytically demonstrating that individuals under debt tend to search less and end up with lower-paid jobs. I then develop and estimate a quantitative model with college entry, borrowing, and job search using NLSY97 data to evaluate the proposed mechanism under the fixed repayment plan and the income-based repayment plan (IBR). My simulation suggests that the distortion of debt on job search decisions is large under the fixed repayment plan. IBR alleviates this distortion and improves welfare. In general equilibrium, debt alleviation achieved through IBR effectively offers a tuition subsidy that increases college entry and encourages firms to post more jobs, further improving welfare. The second chapter, joint with Winston Dou, proposes a dynamic corporate model in which firms face imperfect capital markets and frictional product markets. We highlight the importance of the endogeneity of the marginal value of liquidity in determining the interactions between investment, financing and product price setting decisions. The model implies several testable predictions: (1) financially constrained firms are more inclined to increase their desired markups of products; (2) firms facing larger price stickiness tend to issue less external equity and conduct less big payouts; and (3) a large part of the cost from price stickiness is induced by financial frictions. Lastly, we provide stylized facts consistent with our model's predictions. The third chapter (joint with Era Dabla-Norris, Robert Townsend, and Filiz Unsal) develops a general equilibrium model with three dimensions of financial inclusion, depth, and intermediation efficiency. We find that the economic implications of financial inclusion policies vary with the source of frictions. In partial equilibrium, we show analytically that relaxing each of these constraints separately increases GDP. However, when constraints are relaxed jointly, the impacts on the intensive margin (increasing output per entrepreneur with access to credit) are amplified, while the impacts on the extensive margin (promoting credit access) are dampened. In general equilibrium, we discipline the model with firm-level data from six countries and quantitatively evaluate the policy impacts.

Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions

Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions
Author: Dominik Thaler
Publisher:
Total Pages: 104
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

The first chapter of this thesis, joint with Angela Abbate analyses the importance of the risk-taking channel for monetary policy. To answer this question, we develop and estimate a quantitative monetary DSGE model where banks choose excessively risky investments, due to an agency problem which distorts banks’ incentives. As the real interest rate declines, these distortions become more important and excessive risk taking increases, lowering the efficiency of investment. We show that this novel transmission channel generates a new and quantitatively significant monetary policy trade-off between inflation and real interest rate stabilization: it is optimal for the central bank to tolerate greater inflation volatility in exchange for lower risk taking. The second chapter develops a quantitative model of sovereign default with endogenous default costs to propose a novel answer to the question why governments repay their debt. In the model domestic banks are exposed to sovereign debt. Hence sovereign default causes large losses for the banks, which translate into a financial crisis. The government trades these costs off against the advantage of not repaying international investors. Besides replicating business cycle moments, the model is able to generate not only output costs of a realistic magnitude, but also endogenously predicts that default is followed by a period during which no new foreign lending takes place. The duration of this period matches empirical estimates. The third chapter outlines a method to reduce the computationally necessary state space for solving dynamic models with global methods. The idea is to replace several state variables by a summary state variable. This is made possible by anticipating future choices that depend on one of the replaced variables. I explain how this method can be applied to a simple portfolio choice problem.