Essays in Retirement and Public Economics

Essays in Retirement and Public Economics
Author: Boris Chunhei Wong
Publisher:
Total Pages: 130
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

This dissertation studies empirical questions in public economics and labor economics, with a heavy emphasis on pension and retirement saving. The first chapter assesses the role of liquidity constraints on retirement saving. The second chapter evaluates the impact of pension reform on formal sector labor supply. Finally, the third chapter appraises the revenue and distributional effects of a potential tax reform that can diminish distortions and disincentives to saving.

Essays on the Economics of Public Sector Retirement Programs

Essays on the Economics of Public Sector Retirement Programs
Author: Gregory Quick Leiserson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 175
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

This thesis investigates the influence of retiree health and pension policies on the retirement decisions of public sector employees. Chapter one documents the central role of eligibility for subsidized retiree health insurance. Using administrative records obtained from the Pennsylvania State Employees Retirement System, the analysis finds that the well-documented spike in the separation rate at the normal retirement age almost completely disappears in the population of workers not yet eligible for subsidized retiree health insurance. A second set of results exploits quasi-experimental variation in plan design to show that increasing the service requirement for subsidized retiree health insurance stretches the distribution of separations: early separations occur earlier and late separations occur later. Chapter two presents a structural analysis of the retirement decision for the same employees. Existing models of the retirement decision treat eligibility as a fixed characteristic of the worker rather than one that evolves over the career. This chapter estimates a model of life-cycle labor supply and uses it to simulate labor supply behavior under different health and pension policies. Changes in the eligibility requirements for subsidized retiree health insurance induce dramatic changes in retirement timing that would be missed in models that do not account for an employer's eligibility criteria. Chapter three turns to the defined benefit pension plans common in the public sector. These plans create complicated incentives in favor of continued work at some ages and in favor of retirement at others. The strength of these incentives depends on many factors, such as the age of initial employment and the number of years on the job. Because employees differ along these dimensions, the value of the pension benefits earned over the course of a career varies substantially-even among employees with the same total earnings. This chapter investigates the incentive effects and distributional consequences of four stylized plan designs. It derives simple formulas for the accrual rate of pension wealth and the distribution of benefits under each of the plans and uses these formulas to gain insight into the incentives and risks they create.

Essays in Public Economics

Essays in Public Economics
Author: Insook Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 338
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

My dissertation, "Essays in Public Economics," is comprised of three chapters. The first one, titled "Altruism, Reciprocity, and Equity: A Unified Motive for Intergenerational Transfers" is to address the following question: Why do parents divide bequests equally while transferring inter vivos gifts unequally? Across times and places, why have there mainly been only two extreme choices of distribution of bequests: either to give them to just one child (unigeniture) or to divide them equally (equigeniture)? How can a motive for intergenerational transfers explain both "equal division puzzle" (the former) and polarized inheritance patterns (the latter)? This chapter presents a behavioral model that coherently rationalizes these empirical realities. Namely, as head of a family, a parent altruistically cares about children but also wants them to spend effort for family. However, effort is costly and individual level of each child is unverifiable to a third party adjudicator. Given this incomplete information, there rise only two stable equilibria: either equigeniture or unigeniture. When the productivity of effort rises, the evolution of inheritance pattern from unigeniture to equigeniture occurs. So equigeniture is eventually adopted due to a rise in the productivity throughout industrialization. Furthermore, if the parent wants to counterbalance inequality among children who exert equal effort, the greater amount of inter vivos gift is transferred to a child with lower relative income compared to his siblings, while bequests remain equally divided. This model is consistent with the aforementioned empirical realities but also lends itself to further empirical tests. First of all, with a data set of pre-industrial agrarian societies, we find that a rise in the productivity of effort causes equigeniture to be chosen over unigeniture, which is consistent with the model. Second of all, through an empirical analysis on a micro-level data on inter vivos transfers in contemporary families, we find supporting evidence as follows: (i) income inequality among children increases the probability that their parent gives any inter vivos gift; and (ii) the amount of the gift is negatively associated with relative income of each child compared to his siblings. The second chapter "Retirement and Exposure of Pension to Financial Market Fluctuations" studies how exposure of pension wealth to stock market fluctuations affects retirement behavior both theoretically and empirically. Characteristics of optimal plan for retirement are elaborated with reflecting that liquidizing pension wealth is more tied to retirement decisions than non-pension wealth as well as embodying time-sensitive restrictions on availability of pension benefits. Theoretical analysis finds that exposure of pension to financial market fluctuations does not always entail perfectly symmetric response of retirement. Exposure of pension to a positive shock actually brings responses of retirement only if the magnitude of the positive shock is large enough to compensate for foregone labor earnings and demand for resources necessary for post-retirement consumptions. In particular, whereas exposure of pension to a small negative shock leads to a decrease in retirement, exposure of pension to a positive shock with the same magnitude might not yield an increase in retirement. Next, empirical analysis is conducted with Health and Retirement Study, micro-level biennial panel data of senior workers in U.S., to examine actual retirement responses over the recent business cycle. Little evidence is found on a discernible increase in retirement rate owing to exposure of pension to the 2004 and 2006 positive shocks. However, the 2002 and 2008 negative shocks prove to lead to a decrease in retirement rate. In the view of theoretical findings, this is not self-contradictory but still can be consistent with a positive wealth effect on retirement; rather, it points to a case where these positive shocks are not sharp and large enough to bring substantive earlier retirement. The third chapter, titled "Optimal Income Taxation and Optimal Revenue Mobilization," analyzes characteristics of nonlinear optimal income taxation and optimal revenue mobilization when the tax enforcement of a government is not costless (and thus not presumed to be perfect). The government cannot observe and verify an individual's innate ability although that ability turns out to cause inequality amongst them. This prevents the government from avoiding efficiency loss in the taxation, since each taxpayer can take advantage of private information over their own ability by reducing working hours to pretend to be less able than he truly is. Optimal income tax schedule is designed to minimize the efficiency loss from deterring such behavior to maximize social welfare. Moreover, the desired expenditure of the government is set for enhancing minimum living standard of society. In executing the tax schedule to finance this, however, tax evasion occurs due to imperfect enforcement. Although the government can verify the true amount of taxpayer's earnings, unlike their ability, it is costly to increase the enforcement rate. The optimal rate equalizes a gain of net increase in the tax revenue with a loss of decreased utility of risk-averse taxpayers from an increment in the rate. Notably, this chapter shows that aggregate loss of tax revenue can theoretically justify non-zero tax rate on top earners.

Essays on Public Policy and Financial Economics from a Macroeconomics Perspective

Essays on Public Policy and Financial Economics from a Macroeconomics Perspective
Author: Dung Nguyen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

ABSTRACT: This dissertation consists of three essays. The first two essays (i.e., Chapter 2 and Chapter 3) examine the effects of raising the retirement age on the life cycle behaviors of individuals and its implication on the social security budget. The third essay (i.e., Chapter 4) is an empirical study, which tests the hypothesis of investors' overreactions when trading neglected stocks. The first essay examines the impact of raising the retirement age on the saving and working behaviors of older individuals, and the associated impact on the social security budget. Its results indicate that the reform would result in a 50% reduction in the social security budget deficit. In terms of behavioral responses, we find that: (1) individuals respond to the reform by saving more progressively during the period prior to retirement (i.e., from their early 40s to age 62), while supplying more working hours during the retirement period (i.e., ages 62 and older). The intensity of the saving and working hour responses critically depend on the assumption of the efficiency indexes of the elderly- the lower (higher) the efficiency index, the more intense the saving (working hours) response; (2) there is an upward shift in the working hour profile of individuals as a result of raising the retirement age. Once again, the distance of the shift increases with values of the elderly efficiency index; (3) we find a decrease in the participation rate of elderly individuals age 62-80 in versions where the estimated efficiency index of the elderly is relatively low. The second essay focuses on examining the life-cycle behavior responses of individuals with different skill levels to the raising of the retirement age reform. We find that individuals with different educational attainment respond differently to the reform. Specifically, individuals with lower-than-average education respond to the policy change with a significant upward shift in the working hour profile, a higher participation rate, and an aggressive retirement saving motive. On the other hand, individuals with higher-than-average education mainly deal with the policy change by a higher saving rate and/or a lower rate of decumulating their assets in the retirement period. More importantly, the participation rate in the retirement period among these individuals is actually lower than before the policy change. Secondly, our findings suggest that disadvantaged individuals (e.g., those with a low education level) are the ones who are heavily affected by the policy reform in terms of a bigger consumption reduction, a more intense labor supply response, and a higher contribution to the social security budget. Finally, we find a small increase in the average labor productivity associated with the policy change. However, by educational attainment, we find evidence which suggests a decrease in labor productivity among individuals with below-average educational attainment (i.e., those with a high school degree or lesser), and an increase in labor productivity among those with above-average educational attainment (i.e., those with a college degree or higher). The third essay is an empirical study, which tests the hypothesis of investors' overreaction when trading stocks with limited information, such as neglected stocks. Specifically, we design a fundamental scoring method (called NSCORE) and apply it to the neglected stock universe. We also apply this method to the most-watched stock universe (called WSCORE). Our results show that the annualized returns of a monthly-rebalancing investment strategy which buys the top 100 NSCORE and sells the bottom 100 NSCORE is 26.31% for the period from the beginning of 1985 to the end of 2009. By contrast, when applying the same screening method to the most-watched stocks universe during the same time period, the annualized returns of the same investment strategy dropped to about half. This evidence clearly demonstrates the effectiveness of using financial statement data to identify winners and losers among neglected stocks as a result of investors' overreaction. We also find that the returns difference between top and bottom neglected stocks tends to persist for a long time. Specifically, the return difference between the top 100 NSCORE and the bottom 100 NSCORE can last up to 36 months (3 years). On the other hand, the returns difference among most watched-stocks tends to generally disappear after 12 months (1 year). Our comprehensive sensitivity tests confirm that our findings are not subject to well-known anomalies such as the size, book-to-market, and illiquidity effects.

Three Essays in Public Economics

Three Essays in Public Economics
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

The first and second chapters of this dissertation consider household financial decision making. In the first chapter I examine the phenomenon of early claiming for Social Security retirement benefits. Previous work has shown that early claiming, in particular by the primary earner in married couples, is not consistent with household benefit maximization nor is it predicted by models of utility maximization. I show that observed claiming behavior is explained well by a model in which the primary earner chooses when to claim without taking into consideration the effect of the choice on the secondary earner's spousal and survivor benefits. I find that the decrease in the value of household benefits due to early claiming is borne almost entirely by the surviving spouse. In the second chapter, with John Karl Scholz and Ananth Seshadri, we use the insight of a lifecycle model to better understand the factors that affect household retirement savings targets. Two of the most important determinants of savings targets are households' location in the lifetime income distribution and number of children. We measure the deviation of a set of financial guidelines for retirement saving from the optimal asset accumulation implied by the lifecycle model and suggest an alternate savings heuristic that takes into account insights from the lifecycle model. The third chapter applies a novel estimation strategy to measure the benefit of hazardous waste site remediation. In contrast to previous estimates, this method calculates the benefit of site remediation allowing for diminishing marginal utility. Using data on home sales in Cincinnati, Ohio in 2000 I find the median willingness to pay for a one mile increase to the nearest hazardous waste site is $228 per year. This is lower than previous estimates which range from $284 to $1,065 per year.

Older and Wiser

Older and Wiser
Author: Lawrence Thompson
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 176
Release: 2019-05-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0429827695

First published in 1998, this volume was developed as part of the Stockholm Initiative and sets out to assess the situation of providing for retirement and pensions. In the wake of intense debate over pay-as-you-go pensions, Lawrence Thomson for the most part leaves social and cultural issues for subsequent analysis, instead examining the economic

Essays in Public and Labor Economics

Essays in Public and Labor Economics
Author: Clara M. Zverina
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This dissertation comprises three chapters. The first chapter estimates the crowd-out effect of Social Security on private retirement saving. In a quasi-experimental research design, I analyze the effect of the 1990 federal mandate of Social Security coverage for all state and local government employees who were not covered by an equivalent state pension. Using a sample of more than 12 million employer-employee observations on earnings and contributions to retirement plans, I find that Social Security coverage induces approximately 16% of those affected who had previously saved in private retirement plans to stop contributing. For those who continue contributing, Social Security coverage crowds out about 23% of pre-reform contributions.