Modelling Prices in Competitive Electricity Markets

Modelling Prices in Competitive Electricity Markets
Author: Derek W. Bunn
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2004-04-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Electricity markets are structurally different to other commodities, and the real-time dynamic balancing of the electricity network involves many external factors. Because of this, it is not a simple matter to transfer conventional models of financial time series analysis to wholesale electricity prices. The rationale for this compilation of chapters from international authors is, therefore, to provide econometric analysis of wholesale power markets around the world, to give greater understanding of their particular characteristics, and to assess the applicability of various methods of price modelling. Researchers and professionals in this sector will find the book an invaluable guide to the most important state-of-the-art modelling techniques which are converging to define the special approaches necessary for unravelling and forecasting the behaviour of electricity prices. It is a high-quality synthesis of the work of financial engineering, industrial economics and power systems analysis, as they relate to the behaviour of competitive electricity markets.

Pricing in Competitive Electricity Markets

Pricing in Competitive Electricity Markets
Author: Ahmad Faruqui
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 463
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1461545293

Electricity markets are being deregulated or face new regulatory frameworks. In such changing markets, new pricing strategies will need to consider such factors as cost, value of service and pricing by objective. Pricing in Competitive Electricity Markets introduces a new family of pricing concepts, methodologies, models, tools and databases focused on market-based pricing. This book reviews important theoretical pricing issues as well as practical pricing applications for changing electricity markets.

Constrained Capacity and Equilibrium Forward Premia in Electricity Markets

Constrained Capacity and Equilibrium Forward Premia in Electricity Markets
Author: Carl J. Ullrich
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper extends the equilibrium electricity pricing model in Bessembinder and Lemmon (2002). The new model accounts for constrained capacity, an important feature in electricity markets. Explicitly including a role for capacity allows the model to reproduce the price spikes observed in wholesale electricity markets using reasonable parameter values. The model implies that the equilibrium forward premium, defined to be the forward price minus the expected spot price, is decreasing in spot price variance when the expected spot price is low, but is increasing in the spot price variance when the expected spot price is high. I extend the empirical work in Longstaff and Wang (2004) and show that data from the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) market support these model predictions.

The Economics of Electricity Markets

The Economics of Electricity Markets
Author: Darryl R. Biggar
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 493
Release: 2014-07-10
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1118775724

Bridges the knowledge gap between engineering and economics in a complex and evolving deregulated electricity industry, enabling readers to understand, operate, plan and design a modern power system With an accessible and progressive style written in straight-forward language, this book covers everything an engineer or economist needs to know to understand, operate within, plan and design an effective liberalized electricity industry, thus serving as both a useful teaching text and a valuable reference. The book focuses on principles and theory which are independent of any one market design. It outlines where the theory is not implemented in practice, perhaps due to other over-riding concerns. The book covers the basic modelling of electricity markets, including the impact of uncertainty (an integral part of generation investment decisions and transmission cost-benefit analysis). It draws out the parallels to the Nordpool market (an important point of reference for Europe). Written from the perspective of the policy-maker, the first part provides the introductory background knowledge required. This includes an understanding of basic economics concepts such as supply and demand, monopoly, market power and marginal cost. The second part of the book asks how a set of generation, load, and transmission resources should be efficiently operated, and the third part focuses on the generation investment decision. Part 4 addresses the question of the management of risk and Part 5 discusses the question of market power. Any power system must be operated at all times in a manner which can accommodate the next potential contingency. This demands responses by generators and loads on a very short timeframe. Part 6 of the book addresses the question of dispatch in the very short run, introducing the distinction between preventive and corrective actions and why preventive actions are sometimes required. The seventh part deals with pricing issues that arise under a regionally-priced market, such as the Australian NEM. This section introduces the notion of regions and interconnectors and how to formulate constraints for the correct pricing outcomes (the issue of "constraint orientation"). Part 8 addresses the fundamental and difficult issue of efficient transmission investment, and finally Part 9 covers issues that arise in the retail market. Bridges the gap between engineering and economics in electricity, covering both the economics and engineering knowledge needed to accurately understand, plan and develop the electricity market Comprehensive coverage of all the key topics in the economics of electricity markets Covers the latest research and policy issues as well as description of the fundamental concepts and principles that can be applied across all markets globally Numerous worked examples and end-of-chapter problems Companion website holding solutions to problems set out in the book, also the relevant simulation (GAMS) codes

Valuation, Hedging and Speculation in Competitive Electricity Markets

Valuation, Hedging and Speculation in Competitive Electricity Markets
Author: Petter L. Skantze
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 220
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 146151701X

The challenges currently facing particIpants m competitive electricity markets are unique and staggering: unprecedented price volatility, a crippling lack of historical market data on which to test new modeling approaches, and a continuously changing regulatory structure. Meeting these challenges will require the knowledge and experience of both the engineering and finance communities. Yet the two communities continue to largely ignore each other. The finance community believes that engineering models are too detailed and complex to be practically applicable in the fast changing market environment. Engineers counter that the finance models are merely statistical regressions, lacking the necessary structure to capture the true dynamic properties of complex power systems. While both views have merit, neither group has by themselves been able to produce effective tools for meeting industry challenges. The goal of this book is to convey the fundamental differences between electricity and other traded commodities, and the impact these differences have on valuation, hedging and operational decisions made by market participants. The optimization problems associated with these decisions are formulated in the context of the market realities of today's power industry, including a lack of liquidity on forward and options markets, limited availability of historical data, and constantly changing regulatory structures.

A Study of Supply Function Equilibrium with Applications to Electricity Markets

A Study of Supply Function Equilibrium with Applications to Electricity Markets
Author: Mustafa Momen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

"The quest for economic efficiency has driven the restructuring of power systems from vertically integrated monopolies to unbundled systems where the generating resources are owned by multipleindependent companies (gencos). This transition has resulted in oligopolistic electricity markets where a few dominant gencos can exercise market power, that is, manipulate the market price to alevel higher than the perfectly competitive price. Hence, accurate assessment of such marketinfluence through modeling of strategic genco market behavior is of paramount interest to variousstakeholders such as genco owners, consumer welfare groups and power system regulators.As a contribution towards this goal, this thesis develops an equilibrium model where the market solution is a one-shot pure strategy Nash Equilibrium where the gencos' market offers are supply functions which are continuous and differentiable in price but whose shape is not otherwise pre-specified. While within the supply function equilibrium (SFE) paradigm, multiple equilibriumcandidates exist, this thesis shows that one is a focal equilibrium under which all gencos earn thehighest possible profits. If gencos, being rational, choose to game under this focal SFE equilibrium,case studies suggest that the resulting genco profits will generally be significantly higher than underCournot and other forms of SFE." --

Economics of Electricity

Economics of Electricity
Author: Anna Cretì
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 369
Release: 2019-05-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107185653

Explains the economics of electricity at each step of the supply chain: production, transportation and distribution, and retail.