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| Author | : N. Finch |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 311 |
| Release | : 2014-12-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1137450665 |
Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk provides case studies, commentary and analysis on the financial risk management and measurement in the context of frontier and developing counties from international experts covering three key areas of emerging market investments, the rating sovereign risk and managing sovereign risk.
| Author | : Mr.Udaibir S. Das |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 40 |
| Release | : 2010-01-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451961944 |
Top down spillovers of sovereign default risk can have serious consequences for the private sector in emerging markets. This paper analyzes the effects of these spillovers using firm-level data from 31 emerging market economies. We assess how sovereign risk affects corporate access to international capital markets, in the form of external credit (loans and bond issuances) and equity issuances. The study first analyzes the impact of sovereign debt crises during the 1980s and 1990s. It goes on to examine the 1993 to 2007 period, using additional measures of sovereign risk-sovereign bond spreads and sovereign ratings-as explanatory variables. Overall, we find that sovereign default risk is a crucial determinant of private sector access to capital, be it external debt or equity. We also find that crisis resolution patterns matter and that defaults towards private creditors have stronger adverse consequences than defaults to official creditors.
| Author | : Graciela Laura Kaminsky |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2001 |
| Genre | : Contagio financiero |
| ISBN | : |
Changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. And these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant.
| Author | : Roman Kräussl |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 220 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : Credit ratings |
| ISBN | : 9783831426102 |
| Author | : Michael Frenkel |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 263 |
| Release | : 2013-03-14 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3662099500 |
Sovereign risk and financial crises play a key role in current international economic developments, particularly in the case of economic downturns. As the Asian economic crisis in the late 1990s revealed once again, financial crises are the rule rather than the exception in capitalist economies. The event also revealed that international public debt agreements are contingent claims. In a world of increasing economic interdependencies, the issues of financial crises and country defaults are of critical importance. This volume goes to the heart of the academic discussion on sovereign risk and financial crises by centering on quantitative-empirical aspects, evaluating prominent approaches, and by proposing new methods. Part I of the volume identifies key factors and processes that are central in analyzing sovereign risk while Part II focuses on the determinants and effects of financial crises.
| Author | : Iva Petrova |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2010-12-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455252859 |
This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.
| Author | : Laura Jaramillo |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 19 |
| Release | : 2011-03-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455218987 |
Sovereign investment grade status is often associated with lower spreads in international markets. Using a panel framework for 35 emerging markets between 1997 and 2010, thispaper finds that investment grade status reduces spreads by 36 percent, above and beyond what is implied by macroeconomic fundamentals. This compares to a 5-10 percent reduction in spreads following upgrades within the investment grade asset class, and no impact formovements within the speculative grade asset class, ceteris paribus. While global financial conditions play a central role in determining spreads, market sentiment improves with lower external public debt to GDP levels and higher domestic growth rates.
| Author | : Mr.Amine Mati |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 25 |
| Release | : 2008-11-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451871171 |
Using a panel of 30 emerging market economies from 1997 to 2007, this paper investigates the determinants of country risk premiums as measured by sovereign bond spreads. Unlike previous studies, the results indicate that both fiscal and political factors matter for credit risk in emerging markets. Lower levels of political risk are associated with tighter spreads, while efforts at fiscal consolidation narrow credit spreads, especially in countries that experienced prior defaults. The composition of fiscal policy matters: spending on public investment contributes to lower spreads as long as the fiscal position remains sustainable and the fiscal deficit does not worsen.
| Author | : Michael Pettis |
| Publisher | : Euromoney Publications |
| Total Pages | : 162 |
| Release | : 1997 |
| Genre | : Bond market |
| ISBN | : 9781855645462 |
| Author | : Delong Li |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 51 |
| Release | : 2021-06-04 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513573411 |
We analyze the long-run impact of emerging-market sovereign bond yields on corporate bond yields, finding that the average pass-through is around one. The pass-through is larger in countries with greater sovereign risks and where sovereign bonds are more liquid. It is also greater for corporate bonds with lower ratings, shorter maturities, and for those issued by financial companies and government-related firms. Our results support theoretical arguments that corporate and sovereign yields are linked together through credit risks and liquidity premiums. Consequently, high sovereign risks may slowdown growth by persistently increasing private sector borrowing costs.
