Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

We develop asset pricing models' implications for portfolio efficiency when there is conditioning information in the form of a set of lagged instruments. A model of expected returns identifies a portfolio that should be minimum variance efficient with respect to the conditioning information. Our tests refine previous tests of portfolio efficiency, using the conditioning information optimally. We reject the efficiency of all static or time-varying combinations of the three Fama-French (1996) factors with respect to the conditioning information and also the conditional efficiency of time-varying combinations of the factors, given standard lagged instruments.

Efficient Use of Conditioning Information

Efficient Use of Conditioning Information
Author: Abhay Abhyankar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we propose a new Sharpe ratio based test of asset return predictability. Intuitively, a variable that predicts returns is of value to an investor if it allows the construction of 'managed' portfolios that expand the unconditional mean-variance efficient frontier, and thus the investor's opportunity set. The maximum Sharpe ratio achievable using the predictive information efficiently therefore provides a convenient measure of the extent to which predictability matters. We build on the conditional asset pricing theory of Hansen and Richard (1987) to explicitly characterize the difference in maximum squared Sharpe ratios with and without conditioning information. We show that this difference is directly related to the R^2 of a predictive regression. Our test statistic is closely related to the Wald test for the regression coefficient. Under the null hypothesis of no predictability, the difference in squared Sharpe ratios is zero. Rejection of the null hypothesis thus implies that the presence of return predictability significantly expands the mean-variance frontier.Using our test, we find that at short (monthly) horizon, using the consumption-wealth ratio as predictor variable, (Lettau and Ludvigson, 2001), we clearly reject the null hypothesis of no predictability. In contrast, dividend yield has at most marginal effect. However, at longer horizons the effect of dividend yield becomes more pronounced. An important implication of our results is that neither the fixed-weight three-factor Fama-French (1988) model, nor the Carhart (1996) model, can be viable conditional asset pricing models when consumption-wealth ratio is chosen as the conditioning variable. Our analysis is closely related to, and extends the work of Ferson and Siegel (2001), Bekaert and Liu (2001), and Kirby (1998).

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2006
Genre: Assets (Accounting)
ISBN:

We develop asset pricing models' implications for portfolio efficiency when there is conditioning information in the form of a set of lagged instruments. A model of expected returns identifies a portfolio that should be minimum variance efficient with respect to the conditioning information. Our tests refine previous tests of portfolio efficiency, using the conditioning information optimally. We reject the efficiency of all static or time-varying combinations of the three Fama-French (1996) factors with respect to the conditioning information and also the conditional efficiency of time-varying combinations of the factors, given standard lagged instruments.

Portfolio Efficiency and Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information

Portfolio Efficiency and Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information
Author: Abhay Abhyankar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we develop a unified framework for the study of mean-variance efficiency and discount factor bounds in the presence of conditioning information. We extend the Hilbert space framework of Hansen and Richard (1987) to obtain new characterizations of the efficient portfolio frontier and variance bounds on discount factors, as functions of the conditioning information. We introduce a covariance-orthogonal representation of the asset return space, which allows us to derive several new results, and provide a portfolio-based interpretation of existing results. Our analysis is inspired by, and extends the recent work of Ferson and Siegel (2001,2002), and Bekaert and Liu (2001). Our results have several important applications in empirical asset pricing, such as the construction of portfolio-based tests of asset pricing models, conditional measures of portfolio performance, and tests of return predictability.

Conservation and Efficient Use of Energy

Conservation and Efficient Use of Energy
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Operations. Conservation and Natural Resources Subcommittee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 460
Release: 1973
Genre: Power resources
ISBN:

Efficient Comfort Conditioning

Efficient Comfort Conditioning
Author: Walter G Berl
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2019-04-23
Genre: Architecture
ISBN: 0429706790

This timely study deals with the heating and cooling ofbuildings using innovative systems that can reduce fossilfuel and electric energy requirements by as much as 80 percent.Emphasis is placed on thermal storage, utility rate structures,peak load problems, and cogeneration of heat and powerin small-scale applications. The first several chapterstreat promises and problems of solar energy use for efficientcomfort conditioning. Other contributions deal with thesocial implications of future energy efficiency requirementswith a focus on the community.

Portfolio Efficiency and Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information

Portfolio Efficiency and Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information
Author: Devraj Basu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we study the properties of unconditionally efficient portfolios and discount factor bounds in the presence of conditioning information. The main contribution of this paper is to provide a detailed comparison between various stochastic discount factor bounds with conditioning information. We do this by exploiting the explicit link between the stochastic discount factor approach and portfolio efficiency in the presence of conditioning information. For common choices of base assets and conditioning instruments, we find that the quot;unconditionally efficientquot; bounds of Ferson and Siegel (2002) are statistically indistinguishable from the (theoretically) optimal bounds of Gallant, Hansen, and Tauchen (1990), while having smaller sampling variability. We demonstrate that the difference in sampling variability of the UE and GHT bounds is due to the different behavior of the portfolio weights underlying their construction. Our work is closely related to and extends Ferson and Siegel (2001), Ferson and Siegel (2002) and Bekaert and Liu (2001).

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information
Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

Mimicking portfolios have long been useful in asset pricing research. In most empirical applications, the portfolio weights are assumed to be fixed over time, while in theory they may be functions of the economic state. This paper derives and characterizes mimicking portfolios in the presence of predetermined state variables, or conditioning information. The results generalize and integrate multifactor minimum variance efficiency (Fama, 1996) with conditional and unconditional mean variance efficiency (Hansen and Richard (1987), Ferson and Siegel, 2001). Empirical examples illustrate the potential importance of time-varying mimicking portfolio weights and highlight challenges in their application.