Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2016-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319282018

This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

The Economics of Food Price Volatility

The Economics of Food Price Volatility
Author: Jean-Paul Chavas
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 394
Release: 2014-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 022612892X

"The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity Price Dynamics
Author: Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 239
Release: 2011-10-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139501976

Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility?

What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility?
Author: Mr.Shaun K. Roache
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2010-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145520112X

The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year—may be more challenging as uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across different commodities, suggesting an important role for common factors. It also identifies a number of determinants of low frequency volatility, two of which—the variation in U.S. inflation and the U.S. dollar exchange rate—explain a relatively large part of the rise in volatility since the mid-1990s.

Recent food prices movements

Recent food prices movements
Author: Bryce Cooke
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 44
Release:
Genre: Social Science
ISBN:

From 2006 to mid-2008 the international prices of agricultural commodities increased considerably, by a factor larger than two. This upward trend in agricultural prices captured the world's attention as a new food crisis was emerging. Several explanations for these movements in prices, ranging from demand-driven forces to supply shocks, have been provided by analysts, researchers, and development institutions. This paper is an attempt to empirically validate these explanations using time series econometrics and data at monthly frequency. We focus on the international price of corn, wheat, rice, and soybeans. First, we identify variables associated with the factors mentioned as causing the increase in these agricultural commodities prices. Second, we use time series analysis to try to quantitatively validate those explanations. The empirical work presented here includes first difference models and rolling Granger causality tests. Overall, our empirical analysis mainly provides evidence that financial activity in futures markets and proxies for speculation can help explain the observed change in food prices; any other explanation is not well supported by our time series analysis.

Excessive Speculation in the Wheat Market

Excessive Speculation in the Wheat Market
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations
Publisher:
Total Pages: 522
Release: 2009
Genre: Commodity futures
ISBN:

The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets

The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets
Author: Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 844
Release: 2015-08-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9814566926

"The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets serves as a definitive source for comprehensive and accessible information in futures markets. The emphasis is on the unique characteristics of futures markets that make them worthy of a special volume. In our judgment, futures markets are currently undergoing remarkable changes as trading is shifting from open outcry to electronic and as the traditional functions of hedging and speculation are extended to include futures as an alternative investment vehicle in traditional portfolios. The unique feature of this volume is the selection of five classic papers that lay the foundations of the futures markets and the invitation to the leading academics who do work in the area to write critical surveys in a dozen important topics."--$cProvided by publisher.

The Commitments of Traders Bible

The Commitments of Traders Bible
Author: Stephen Briese
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 325
Release: 2008-04-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470178426

Regardless of your trading methods, and no matter what markets you’re involved in, there is a Commitments of Traders (COT) report that you should be reviewing every week. Nobody understands this better than Stephen Briese, an industry-leading expert on COT data. And now, with The Commitments of Traders Bible, Briese reveals how to use the predictive power of COT data—and accurately interpret it—in order to analyze market movements and achieve investment success.