Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods

Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods
Author: Tshilidzi Marwala
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 271
Release: 2013-04-02
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1447150104

Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods examines the application of artificial intelligence methods to model economic data. Traditionally, economic modeling has been modeled in the linear domain where the principles of superposition are valid. The application of artificial intelligence for economic modeling allows for a flexible multi-order non-linear modeling. In addition, game theory has largely been applied in economic modeling. However, the inherent limitation of game theory when dealing with many player games encourages the use of multi-agent systems for modeling economic phenomena. The artificial intelligence techniques used to model economic data include: multi-layer perceptron neural networks radial basis functions support vector machines rough sets genetic algorithm particle swarm optimization simulated annealing multi-agent system incremental learning fuzzy networks Signal processing techniques are explored to analyze economic data, and these techniques are the time domain methods, time-frequency domain methods and fractals dimension approaches. Interesting economic problems such as causality versus correlation, simulating the stock market, modeling and controling inflation, option pricing, modeling economic growth as well as portfolio optimization are examined. The relationship between economic dependency and interstate conflict is explored, and knowledge on how economics is useful to foster peace – and vice versa – is investigated. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods deals with the issue of causality in the non-linear domain and applies the automatic relevance determination, the evidence framework, Bayesian approach and Granger causality to understand causality and correlation. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods makes an important contribution to the area of econometrics, and is a valuable source of reference for graduate students, researchers and financial practitioners.

Artificial Intelligence and Economic Analysis

Artificial Intelligence and Economic Analysis
Author: Scott J. Moss
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 216
Release: 1992-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781782541769

This important book presents new and original work at the frontiers of economics, namely the interface between artificial intelligence (AI) and neoclassical economics. Artificial Intelligence and Economic Analysis focuses on three quite distinct lines of AI orientated research in economics: applications intended to extend neoclassical theory, applications intended to undermine neoclassical theory and applications which ignore neoclassical theory in the quest for new modelling techniques and fields of analysis. The contributors - all of whom are well established in the field - do not simply report established results but seek to identify those areas where the science of artificial intelligence could enrich standard economic analysis. It includes material from mainstream economists who are willing to express their own views about the limits of mainstream economic modelling and AI based economic modelling. The book makes an important contribution to a new and exciting area of economics which holds much hope for the future.

The Economics of Artificial Intelligence

The Economics of Artificial Intelligence
Author: Ajay Agrawal
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 172
Release: 2024-03-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226833127

A timely investigation of the potential economic effects, both realized and unrealized, of artificial intelligence within the United States healthcare system. In sweeping conversations about the impact of artificial intelligence on many sectors of the economy, healthcare has received relatively little attention. Yet it seems unlikely that an industry that represents nearly one-fifth of the economy could escape the efficiency and cost-driven disruptions of AI. The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges brings together contributions from health economists, physicians, philosophers, and scholars in law, public health, and machine learning to identify the primary barriers to entry of AI in the healthcare sector. Across original papers and in wide-ranging responses, the contributors analyze barriers of four types: incentives, management, data availability, and regulation. They also suggest that AI has the potential to improve outcomes and lower costs. Understanding both the benefits of and barriers to AI adoption is essential for designing policies that will affect the evolution of the healthcare system.

Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) in Economic Modeling

Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) in Economic Modeling
Author: Federico Cecconi
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 198
Release: 2019-07-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030226050

This book presents the effects of integrating information and communication technologies (ICT) and economic processes in macroeconomic dynamics, finance, marketing, industrial policies, and in government economic strategy. The text explores modeling and applications in these fields and also describes, in a clear and accessible manner, the theories that guide the integration among information technology (IT), telecommunications, and the economy, while presenting examples of their applications. Current trends such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and big data technologies used in economics are also included. This volume is suitable for researchers, practitioners, and students working in economic theory and the computational social sciences.

How Artificial Intelligence (AI) Can Help in the Economic Modelling?

How Artificial Intelligence (AI) Can Help in the Economic Modelling?
Author: Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper is interested to evaluate how artificial intelligence (AI) can help in the economic modeling. The fast development of AI, big data, data sciences, neural networks, and graphical models is opening opportunities to Economists and Academics to a new era under the uses of these alternative technologies. However, AI can replace the traditional way how we analyze and solve economic problems. In our case, this research presents an alternative economic method under the presentation of an application (theoretical framework) that is using AI, big data, data sciences, neural networks, and Econographicology simultaneously. The new electronic application is called “The Autonomous Economic Decision Maker Simulator (AEDM-Simulator). Finally, we introduce the AEDM-Simulator theoretical framework and a few examples of how to use the AEDM-Simulator to solve any economic issue(s). The AEDM-Simulator is used as a main database based on the uses of all volumes (39) and issues (250) from the Journal of Economic Modelling (JEM) published by Elsevier in the last past thirt-nine years (1984-2023).

Behavioral Predictive Modeling in Economics

Behavioral Predictive Modeling in Economics
Author: Songsak Sriboonchitta
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 445
Release: 2020-08-05
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3030497283

This book presents both methodological papers on and examples of applying behavioral predictive models to specific economic problems, with a focus on how to take into account people's behavior when making economic predictions. This is an important issue, since traditional economic models assumed that people make wise economic decisions based on a detailed rational analysis of all the relevant aspects. However, in reality – as Nobel Prize-winning research has shown – people have a limited ability to process information and, as a result, their decisions are not always optimal. Discussing the need for prediction-oriented statistical techniques, since many statistical methods currently used in economics focus more on model fitting and do not always lead to good predictions, the book is a valuable resource for researchers and students interested in the latest results and challenges and for practitioners wanting to learn how to use state-of-the-art techniques.

Artificial Economics

Artificial Economics
Author: Ruben Mercado
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 198
Release: 2021-11-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1009041029

This introductory overview explores the methods, models and interdisciplinary links of artificial economics, a new way of doing economics in which the interactions of artificial economic agents are computationally simulated to study their individual and group behavior patterns. Conceptually and intuitively, and with simple examples, Mercado addresses the differences between the basic assumptions and methods of artificial economics and those of mainstream economics. He goes on to explore various disciplines from which the concepts and methods of artificial economics originate; for example cognitive science, neuroscience, artificial intelligence, evolutionary science and complexity science. Introductory discussions on several controversial issues are offered, such as the application of the concepts of evolution and complexity in economics and the relationship between artificial intelligence and the philosophies of mind. This is one of the first books to fully address artificial economics, emphasizing its interdisciplinary links and presenting in a balanced way its occasionally controversial aspects.

Artificial Economics

Artificial Economics
Author: Ces Reo Hern Ndez
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2011-09-28
Genre:
ISBN: 3642029574

Simulation is used in economics to solve large econometric models, for large-scale micro simulations, and to obtain numerical solutions for policy design in top-down established models. But these applications fail to take advantage of the methods offered by artificial economics (AE) through artificial intelligence and distributed computing. AE is a bottom-up and generative approach of agent-based modelling developed to get a deeper insight into the complexity of economics. AE can be viewed as a very elegant and general class of modelling techniques that generalize numerical economics, mathematical programming and micro simulation approaches. The papers presented in this book address methodological questions and applications of AE to macroeconomics, industrial organization, information and learning, market dynamics, finance and financial markets.

Artificial Intelligence and Economic Theory: Skynet in the Market

Artificial Intelligence and Economic Theory: Skynet in the Market
Author: Tshilidzi Marwala
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 206
Release: 2017-09-18
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3319661043

This book theoretically and practically updates major economic ideas such as demand and supply, rational choice and expectations, bounded rationality, behavioral economics, information asymmetry, pricing, efficient market hypothesis, game theory, mechanism design, portfolio theory, causality and financial engineering in the age of significant advances in man-machine systems. The advent of artificial intelligence has changed many disciplines such as engineering, social science and economics. Artificial intelligence is a computational technique which is inspired by natural intelligence concepts such as the swarming of birds, the working of the brain and the pathfinding of the ants. Artificial Intelligence and Economic Theory: Skynet in the Market analyses the impact of artificial intelligence on economic theories, a subject that has not been studied. It also introduces new economic theories and these are rational counterfactuals and rational opportunity costs. These ideas are applied to diverse areas such as modelling of the stock market, credit scoring, HIV and interstate conflict. Artificial intelligence ideas used in this book include neural networks, particle swarm optimization, simulated annealing, fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms. It, furthermore, explores ideas in causality including Granger as well as the Pearl causality models.