Dynamic Models Of Voting Behavior And Spatial Models Of Party Competition
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Author | : James F. Adams |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 344 |
Release | : 2005-03-21 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9781139444002 |
This book integrates spatial and behavioral perspectives - in a word, those of the Rochester and Michigan schools - into a unified theory of voter choice and party strategy. The theory encompasses both policy and non-policy factors, effects of turnout, voter discounting of party promises, expectations of coalition governments, and party motivations based on policy as well as office. Optimal (Nash equilibrium) strategies are determined for alternative models for presidential elections in the US and France, and for parliamentary elections in Britain and Norway. These polities cover a wide range of electoral rules, number of major parties, and governmental structures. The analyses suggest that the more competitive parties generally take policy positions that come close to maximizing their electoral support, and that these vote-maximizing positions correlate strongly with the mean policy positions of their supporters.
Author | : Dan S. Felsenthal |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 353 |
Release | : 2012-01-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642204414 |
Both theoretical and empirical aspects of single- and multi-winner voting procedures are presented in this collection of papers. Starting from a discussion of the underlying principles of democratic representation, the volume includes a description of a great variety of voting procedures. It lists and illustrates their susceptibility to the main voting paradoxes, assesses (under various models of voters' preferences) the probability of paradoxical outcomes, and discusses the relevance of the theoretical results to the choice of voting system.
Author | : Jonathan Bendor |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 268 |
Release | : 2011-02-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 069113507X |
Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. This title provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors - politicians as well as voters - are only boundedly rational.
Author | : Samuel Merrill |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 234 |
Release | : 1999-09-13 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9780521665490 |
Professors Merrill and Grofman develop a unified model that incorporates voter motivations and assesses its empirical predictions--for both voter choice and candidate strategy--in the United States, Norway, and France. The analyses show that a combination of proximity, direction, discounting, and party ID are compatible with the mildly but not extremely divergent policies that are characteristic of many two-party and multiparty electorates. All of these motivations are necessary to understand the linkage between candidate issue positions and voter preferences.
Author | : Martin J. Zechman |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 140 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Michael Laver |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 294 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0691139040 |
Party competition for votes in free and fair elections involves complex interactions by multiple actors in political landscapes that are continuously evolving, yet classical theoretical approaches to the subject leave many important questions unanswered. Here Michael Laver and Ernest Sergenti offer the first comprehensive treatment of party competition using the computational techniques of agent-based modeling. This exciting new technology enables researchers to model competition between several different political parties for the support of voters with widely varying preferences on many different issues. Laver and Sergenti model party competition as a true dynamic process in which political parties rise and fall, a process where different politicians attack the same political problem in very different ways, and where today's political actors, lacking perfect information about the potential consequences of their choices, must constantly adapt their behavior to yesterday's political outcomes. Party Competition shows how agent-based modeling can be used to accurately reflect how political systems really work. It demonstrates that politicians who are satisfied with relatively modest vote shares often do better at winning votes than rivals who search ceaselessly for higher shares of the vote. It reveals that politicians who pay close attention to their personal preferences when setting party policy often have more success than opponents who focus solely on the preferences of voters, that some politicians have idiosyncratic "valence" advantages that enhance their electability--and much more.
Author | : Keith T. Poole |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 252 |
Release | : 2005-04-11 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9781139446754 |
This book presents a simple geometric model of voting as a tool to analyze parliamentary roll call data. Each legislator is represented by one point and each roll call is represented by two points that correspond to the policy consequences of voting Yea or Nay. On every roll call each legislator votes for the closer outcome point, at least probabilistically. These points form a spatial map that summarizes the roll calls. In this sense a spatial map is much like a road map because it visually depicts the political world of a legislature. The closeness of two legislators on the map shows how similar their voting records are, and the distribution of legislators shows what the dimensions are. These maps can be used to study a wide variety of topics including how political parties evolve over time, the existence of sophisticated voting and how an executive influences legislative outcomes.
Author | : Gene M. Grossman |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 400 |
Release | : 2001 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780262571678 |
An exploration of the role that special interest groups play in modern democratic politics.
Author | : Jan E. Leighley |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press (UK) |
Total Pages | : 796 |
Release | : 2012-02-16 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : 0199604517 |
The Oxford Handbooks of American Politics are the essential guide to the study of American political life in the 21st Century. With engaging contributions from the major figures in the field The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior provides the key point of reference for anyone working in American Politics today
Author | : Anna-Sophie Kurella |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 159 |
Release | : 2017-03-15 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 3319533789 |
This book examines how social cleavage lines shape issue voting and party competition. Based on a study of German elections between 1980 and 1994, it analyzes whether cleavage group members put more weight on policies that address their personal self-interest than voters who are not affected by the cleavage line. Furthermore, it analyzes the consequences of cleavage groups’ deviating patterns of voting behavior for the formal game of party competition. More concretely, the author asks whether equilibrium positions of parties within the policy space are pulled away from the mean due to the more extreme policy demands of cleavage groups in the electorate.