Dynamic Models of the Real Estate Market in a Dependent Economy

Dynamic Models of the Real Estate Market in a Dependent Economy
Author: Nicolas Guigas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 147
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

This thesis investigates the behavior of a dependent economy within a dynamic two-sector, two-factor model. The economy produces a traded good and non-traded structures used as housing or as productive factors. In contrast to the existing literature, the structures are non-consumable. We analyze the impact of different shocks on the economy. We find that positive and whealth-enhancing shocks almost always lead to an increase in the capital stock and to a deterioration of the current account. This result holds irrespectively of relative sectoral intensities. It is not restricted to cases where the non-traded sector is more capital intensive, which is the standard result in the literature with consumable non-traded goods. Our model provides a framework to explain the behavior of real estate markets and current accounts in South East Asian countries hit by the crisis in 1997 as well as in economies benefiting from foreign transfers such as Ireland.

The Housing Boom and Bust

The Housing Boom and Bust
Author: Thomas Sowell
Publisher: Basic Books (AZ)
Total Pages: 194
Release: 2009-05-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0465018807

Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.

Modelling the Socio-Economic Implications of Sustainability Issues in the Housing Market

Modelling the Socio-Economic Implications of Sustainability Issues in the Housing Market
Author: Solomon Pelumi Akinbogun
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 247
Release: 2020-07-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 303048954X

This book discusses sustainable housing issues in urban areas throughout the Global South, revealing their complexity in terms of urban dynamics, housing markets and human interactions with the environment. Its main focus is on the location of graves within private residences, cemeteries in the immediate vicinity of private residences, and the implications of these factors for renters’ choices and rents. The book addresses the economics of land use for graves in connection with housing choices and the implications for the rented sector of the property market. By means of several model-based simulations, it demonstrates that the neoclassical economics remedy to the negative externality of graves in or near private residences remains generally unacceptable. Providing readers with a clear understanding of tenants’ priorities in their choice of housing, as well as a new approach to the negative externality of graves in the rented sector, the book will be of interest to policymakers, urban planners, investors in residential housing and land economists alike.

Dynamic Macroeconomic Models in Emerging Market Economies

Dynamic Macroeconomic Models in Emerging Market Economies
Author: Daniel Lukui Jia
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 286
Release: 2020-08-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 981154588X

This book summarizes the evolution of modern macroeconomics (New Consensus Macroeconomics, NCM) and proposes a new approach to theoretical and empirical analysis, which is based on a recently developed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Dynamic macroeconomic analysis in emerging market economies is challenging, and of growing importance in the global economy, where emerging markets are becoming more and more influential. Clearly, a deeper understanding of the inner workings of emerging economies, particularly with respect to their socioeconomic structure and the urbanization process, is needed. The book’s extends the NCM/DSGE model to better account for significant economic and social features in emerging market economies. In particular, household heterogeneities and social stratification are explicitly incorporated into the framework proposed here, substantially enhancing the comprehensiveness of the model economy, and allowing it to better account for underlying social structure in emerging economies. Furthermore, financial and housing markets have not been considered sufficiently in either the advanced or emerging economy literature, an oversight this book remedies. As such, it makes an original and valuable contribution to the field, and a direction for future research.

System Dynamics Modeling of Chinese Urban Housing Markets for Pedagogical and Policy Analysis Purposes

System Dynamics Modeling of Chinese Urban Housing Markets for Pedagogical and Policy Analysis Purposes
Author: Xin Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper reports on the current state of a project to develop a system dynamics (SD) model for urban housing markets in China, aimed at facilitating policy analysis and supporting practical educational tools that might reach large numbers of potential entrepreneurs in China. Although numerous academic papers have applied SD models to real estate markets over the past generation, the technique remains relatively unknown and little used both in the academic economics literature and, more to the point, among practitioners and educators in the real estate community. Yet SD has the potential to address key needs among these constituencies, and extend and complement upon traditional economic methods. SD models are focused on modeling market transitions toward long-run equilibria, facilitating the study of the details of causality and the dynamic path of the market and features that are prominent in the history of housing markets in emerging markets. Different from intensive data-driven economic models, SD models are structural-based operational models that can more easily accommodate the actual non-market features and unique institutional components of these emerging real estate markets, where long-range historical data are not readily available. SD can provide intuitive and transparent model structures that should be able to improve pedagogy for educating large numbers of potential real estate entrepreneurs particularly in emerging market countries. For demonstration, in the present paper we choose to focus on the China-specific features of 'speculative demand' and 'land financing scheme', and use the newly developed SD model to explore the effects of land supply, "command-and-control" versus "market-driven" policies for housing in China. It is important to note, however, that while we chose China for the purposes of our study, the same technique can be applied to any emerging real estate market. Moreover, our research here can e seen as a stepping stone; Before a generalized SD model for emerging markets can be developed, it is both reasonable and appropriate to construct a model that is constrained to a manageable subset of the overall market space.

Real Estate Market Research and Analysis

Real Estate Market Research and Analysis
Author: C. Nygaard
Publisher: Red Globe Press
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2003-04-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780333980866

Real estate market research and analysis often draws on theory and techniques borrowed from other disciplines; in particular economics, finance and geography. Few textbooks recognise this, which makes Real Estate Market Research and Analysis a unique and innovative read. This accessible text provides a general overview of research philosophy and research practise in the real estate economics discipline. A range of applied quantitative empirical methods, commonly used in both academic and applied real estate market research and analysis, are examined as well as selected research-based studies which demonstrate how these methods are applied. Recent trends and developments in the evolving real estate economics research agenda are also explored. This book is aimed at both undergraduate students and practitioners in the commercial property and real estate sector. It is essential reading for modules on general practice surveying. It sets out the means and methods by which a commercial property rent model should be constructed and estimated, and provides a helpful guide to good property market research practise. Key features include; a Foreword by Dr Craig Watkins at the University of Aberdeen, and a Glossary of property and economic research terms.

Econometric Analysis of the Real Estate Market and Investment

Econometric Analysis of the Real Estate Market and Investment
Author: Peijie Wang
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 185
Release: 2003-09-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 113454877X

This book provides an economic and econometric analysis of real estate investment and real estate market behaviour. Peijie Wang examines fluctuations in the real estate business to reveal the mechanisms governing the interactions between the industry and other sectors of the economy.

Housing Finance and Real-Estate Booms

Housing Finance and Real-Estate Booms
Author: Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2015-06-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513552074

The recent global crisis highlighted the risks stemming from real estate booms. This has generated a growing literature trying to better understand the sources and the risks associated with housing and credit booms. This paper complements and supplements the previous work by (i) exploiting more disaggregated data on credit allowing us to dissociate between firm-credit and household (and in some cases mortgage) credit, and (ii) by taking into account the characteristics of the mortgage market, including institutional as well as other factors that vary across countries. This detailed cross-country analysis offers new valuable insights.