Intra-Industry Information Transfers and the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

Intra-Industry Information Transfers and the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
Author: Tunde Kovacs
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2015
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ISBN:

This study examines the role of intra-industry information transfers in the analyst forecast-based post-earnings announcement drift. I find that subsequent same-industry-peer earnings announcements influence a firm's post-earnings announcement drift if these subsequent announcements confirm the firm's initial earnings surprise and the firm's industry exhibits ex-ante positive (common effect) intra-industry information transfers. The results suggest that underreaction to industry-specific information contributes to analyst forecast-based post-earnings announcement drift.

Intra-Industry Information Transfers

Intra-Industry Information Transfers
Author: Rebecca N. Hann
Publisher:
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

We examine whether there is intra-industry information transfer with respect to the second moment of returns around earnings announcements. Using implied volatility from option prices to proxy for uncertainty about firm fundamentals, we find a significantly positive association between changes in the implied volatility of each industry's first announcer and its peers around the first announcer's earnings announcement, suggesting that earnings announcements help resolve uncertainty about the value of not only the announcing firm but also its peers. This result holds after controlling for information transfer with respect to the first moment of returns. We further find that the extent of second-moment information transfer is stronger for long-duration options, when the announcer has higher earnings quality, reports positive earnings news, or is a bellwether firm and during periods of greater macroeconomic uncertainty. Our findings suggest that peers' earnings announcements represent an important disclosure that conveys timely information about industry uncertainty.

Intra-Industry Information Transfer Effects of Leading Firms' Earnings Narratives

Intra-Industry Information Transfer Effects of Leading Firms' Earnings Narratives
Author: Lumina Albert
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

We investigate the narratives accompanying earnings announcements made by industry-leading companies (leaders) to determine whether there are information transfers for narratives in the same way there are for earnings announcements. For a group of industry-leading firms with quarterly losses, we find evidence that when their CEO attributes the company's poor performance to external causes (defensive attributions) or issues negative industry forecasts, the market's reaction to industry followers is strongly more negative and more persistent than when the CEO issues internal attributions or positive industry forecasts. Our findings of a persistent price decline occur despite the subsequent release of positive earnings surprises by industry followers. Our results suggest that the market overreacts to the information in industry leaders' narratives and followers' stock prices suffer significant price declines that are only partially corrected. We characterize investors' behavior as an overreaction potentially due to their attentional constraints.

Information Transfer and Conference Calls

Information Transfer and Conference Calls
Author: Francois Brochet
Publisher:
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2018
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ISBN:

A long-standing literature documents the existence of intra-industry capital market co-movements around earnings releases, yet the dynamics of these information transfers remain largely unexplored. We provide evidence on both the sources and the channels of information transfers by separating two distinct events within the reporting window, and by exploring potential mechanisms of information flows. First, we examine the intra-industry information transfer associated with quarterly earnings conference calls, using intra-day data to decouple their effects from those of the associated earnings announcements. We document that the co-movement of absolute and signed stock returns over the conference call windows of announcing firms and their industry peers are statistically and economically larger than the co-movement over the corresponding earnings announcement windows. Turning to mechanisms, we find that shared analyst coverage, coverage by analysts providing industry recommendations, shared institutional ownership, and joint financial press mentions are each individually and incrementally associated with higher rate of information transfer over both the earnings announcement and conference call windows. Additional analyses reveal that information transfer occurs both to peers that have already announced and those that are yet to announce, and that peer mentions and macroeconomic discussions are both significant contributors to the conference call information transfers.

Overreaction to Intra-Industry Information Transfers?

Overreaction to Intra-Industry Information Transfers?
Author: Jacob K. Thomas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2007
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ISBN:

Prior research has documented that earnings announcements provide information not only about the announcing firm but also about other firms in the same industry. We document a stock market anomaly associated with this phenomenon of intra-industry information transfers by showing that the stock price movements of late announcers in response to earnings reported by early announcers are negatively correlated with the subsequent price responses of late announcers to their own earnings reports. Apparently, the stock market overestimates the intra-industry implications of early announcers' earnings for late announcers' earnings, and that overestimation is corrected when late announcers disclose their earnings.

Post-Earnings Announcement Drift and Market Participants' Information Processing Biases

Post-Earnings Announcement Drift and Market Participants' Information Processing Biases
Author: Lihong Liang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

Prior research has been unable to explain the phenomenon known as post-earnings announcement drift, raising questions concerning the semi-strong form efficiency of the market typically assumed in capital market research. This study contributes to our understanding of this anomaly by examining drift in the context of theories that consider investors' non-Bayesian behaviors. The empirical evidence reveals that investors' overconfidence about their private information and the reliability of the earnings information are two important factors that explain drift. Finally, this study also provides insight into the puzzling relationship between dispersion and drift discussed in prior research.

Analysts' Activities after Earnings Announcement and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift

Analysts' Activities after Earnings Announcement and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift
Author: Simon Fung
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

This study examines the effect of analysts' activities after earnings announcements on the magnitude of the post-earnings-announcement drift. Using the level of private information precision in analysts' earnings forecasts after earnings announcement derived from Barron, Kim, Lim and Stevens (1998) as a measure of analysts' post-announcement activities, we find that the magnitude of the drift is significantly smaller for firms with higher level of analysts' activities after earnings announcements. Results also show that this negative association is more pronounced for firms with higher geographic diversification, firms not audited by industry leaders, and firms with higher institutional holdings, consistent with our hypothesis that the analysts' post-announcement activities are more effective in reducing the drift where the demand for analysts' activities is higher. This contributes to our understanding of the role of financial analysts in helping the market impound earnings news into stock prices.