Do the Benefits of Fixed Exchange Rates Outweigh Their Costs?

Do the Benefits of Fixed Exchange Rates Outweigh Their Costs?
Author: Shantayanan Devarajan
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 37
Release: 1991
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

Fixed exchange rates have been a bad bargain for the CFA member countries. Under reasonable tradeoffs between output and inflation, these countries would have been better off having the flexibility to adjust to external shocks.

The CFA Franc Zone

The CFA Franc Zone
Author: Mr.James M. Boughton
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 60
Release: 1991-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451931999

The CFA franc zone comprises a group of countries in central and west Africa whose currencies have been firmly linked to the French franc since 1948. It combines the features of a currency union with those of an exchange rate peg, and an analysis of its effectiveness must examine both dimensions. Viewed from the perspective of a currency union among the African countries, it would appear that the zone would not constitute an optimum currency area. But when France is viewed as an integral part of the system, the benefits—including discipline, credibility, and stability in international competitiveness—become clearer.

The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones

The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones
Author: Ali Zafar
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2005
Genre: Euro
ISBN:

"The author estimates the degree of misalignment of the CFA franc since the introduction of the euro in 1999. Using a relative purchasing power parity-based methodology, he develops a monthly panel time series dataset for both the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) zone and the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) zone to compute a trade-weighted real effective exchange rate indexed series from January 1999 to December 2004. The author's main finding is that the real effective exchange rate appreciated by close to 8 percent in UEMOA and 7 percent in CEMAC, influenced by volatility in the euro-dollar bilateral exchange rate and conservative monetary policies in the two zones, resulting in a partial loss of competitiveness in export markets. The lower appreciation in Central Africa can be explained by lower inflation in CEMAC than in UEMOA and by the greater trade with higher inflation East Asian countries, partially offset by the peg to the dollar. However, the inclusion of "unrecorded trade" results in an appreciation of only 6 percent in the UEMOA zone and 6 percent in the CEMAC zone due to higher inflation in the two countries with unmonitored cross-border flows, Ghana and Nigeria. Using time series econometrics, an Engle-Granger two stage procedure for cointegration, and an error correction framework, a single equation modeling of the real exchange rate from 1970 to 2005 as a function of terms of trade, economic openness, aid inflows, and a dummy representing the 1994 devaluation, the author finds little statistical evidence of a long-run equilibrium exchange rate that is a vector of economic fundamentals. The dummy explains most of the real exchange rate behavior in the two zones, while openness in UEMOA has contributed to an appreciation of the real effective exchange rate. "--World Bank web site.

The CFA Franc Zone

The CFA Franc Zone
Author: Ms.Anne Marie Gulde
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 411
Release: 2008-04-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589066758

About one-third of countries covered by the IMF's African Department are members of the CFA franc zone. With most other countries moving away from fixed exchange rates, the issue of an adequate policy framework to ensure the sustainability of the CFA franc zone is clearly of interest to policymakers and academics. However, little academic research exists in the public domain. This book aims to fill this void by bringing together work undertaken in the context of intensified regional surveillance and highlighting the current challenges and the main policy requirements if the arrangements are to be carried forward. The book is based on empirical research by a broad group of IMF economists, with contributions from several outside experts.

The CFA Franc Zone

The CFA Franc Zone
Author: Ali Zafar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN: 9783030710071

Veterans of Africa's development usually say that the countries in the CFA zone face the same challenges as the rest of the continent. It is just that they face them all at once, have little analysis of the causes, and cannot talk about their currency arrangement. That is about right. This book is a pioneer attempt at filling the knowledge gap that has, for far too long, prevented governments--and the army of donors, financiers, and academics who support them--from articulating an agenda that unleashes the economic potential of a region the world has left behind. From poverty to migration, from governance to extractives, and from business climate to climate change, it is all here. And to the delight of macroeconomists, Zafar looks at the CFA regime right in the eye: is it a vestige of colonial times or is it still the right exchange rate policy when institutions are weak and trade shocks are frequent? His answers are path-breaking and kick off a debate that is as fascinating as it is overdue. Marcelo Giugale, Professor at Georgetown University and former Director of the World Bank's Department of Financial Advisory and Banking Services When monetary unions were first established in Africa, there were reasons to believe that they might reduce transaction costs by integrating economies of member countries and promoting market efficiency, both of which should have led to better economic performance in the member countries. This book shows us how CFA Franc zones have failed to promote strong economic growth. It presents the glaring problems of institutional design in two CFA Franc Zones in Francophone Africa. It exposes how political interests, both in Africa and France, trumped the functioning of monetary and fiscal institutions. Serdar Yilmaz, Lead Public Sector Specialist, World Bank Exchange rate management is among the most important policy instruments for use by a country in its quest for rapid economic growth and external balance. Yet for over 75 years, the 14 countries of the CFA zone in Africa did not have this choice, having kept the same exchange rate and monetary arrangements with their colonial power, France. Very few studies have been pursued on this issue; it is as if the world has largely passed by these countries. Zafar fills this important knowledge gap by carefully dissecting the CFA zone, reviewing its history and analyzing the effects of the fixed exchange rate regime on these economies. He makes a substantive contribution to the current policy debate by evaluating the development outcome of this currency arrangement from different economic and political perspectives. This is a fascinating and must-read book for policy makers and anyone interested in Africa development. Hinh T. Dinh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South, Rabat, Morocco and Senior Research Fellow, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana, USA. This book provides an empirical analysis of economic and political structures impacting the CFA franc zone. Concise and practical chapters explore the history of the CFA franc zone, challenges to development, geopolitical issues, the importance of flexible exchanges rates, growth trends, and the impact of the Covid crisis. Policy reform is examined to detail economic approaches that could reduce poverty and increase the quality of life within the area. This book aims to present a macroeconomic and exchange rate framework to promote development and post-Covid recovery within the CFA franc zone. It will be of interest to students, researchers, and policymakers involved in African economics, the political economy, and development economics. Ali Zafar is a macroeconomist and private sector specialist with more than 20 years of experience researching policy and advising governments in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East. Over the course of his career he has served as a Senior Economist with the International Finance Corporation and World Bank, as well as a consultant to the United Nations, Gates Foundation, and USAID.

Frameworks for Monetary Stability

Frameworks for Monetary Stability
Author: Mr.Carlo Cottarelli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 772
Release: 1994-12-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557754196

This book, edited by Tomás J.T. Baliño and Carlo Cottarelli, addresses some of the strategic issues faced by policymakers in the choice of a monetary regime. Following an overview of some of these issues, the book considers the various theoretical or practical frameworks for the implementation of monetary policy. It then focuses on how monetary policy should be implemented.

Alternative Exchange Rate Strategies and Fiscal Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa

Alternative Exchange Rate Strategies and Fiscal Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa
Author: Mrs.Stefania Bazzoni
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 86
Release: 1993-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451961057

This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal performance in 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the 1980-91 period with movements in the exchange rates, the terms of trade, and other macroeconomic aggregates. It finds that the tax base in most of these countries is heavily dependent on imports and import substitutes. Consequently, an overvaluation of the exchange rate in countries which adopted a fixed exchange rate strategy undermines the tax base and results in a widening of the fiscal deficit when the purpose of the strategy is to restore the real exchange rate to its equilibrium through fiscal contraction. Those countries which pursued a variable exchange rate strategy failed in attaining price stability, but exchange rate adjustment was critical in contributing to other macroeconomic objectives, particularly fiscal balance, competitiveness, and growth.