Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter
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Author | : Anna Ivanova |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : 2011-09-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 146390231X |
The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggregate negative spillovers to other countries are likely to be contained in 2011-2012 unless fiscal multipliers and/or imports elasticities are very large. Small and open European economies, however, will be substantially affected in any case. In contrast, the coordinated exit from fiscal stimulus will have limited direct effect on European peripheral countries since they are relatively closed, with the notable exception of Ireland.
Author | : Ethan Ilzetzki |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 68 |
Release | : 2011-03-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455218022 |
We contribute to the intense debate on the real effects of fiscal stimuli by showing that the impact of government expenditure shocks depends crucially on key country characteristics, such as the level of development, exchange rate regime, openness to trade, and public indebtedness. Based on a novel quarterly dataset of government expenditure in 44 countries, we find that (i) the output effect of an increase in government consumption is larger in industrial than in developing countries, (ii) the fisscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rate but zero in economies operating under flexible exchange rates; (iii) fiscal multipliers in open economies are lower than in closed economies and (iv) fiscal multipliers in high-debt countries are also zero.
Author | : William J. Congdon |
Publisher | : Brookings Institution Press |
Total Pages | : 260 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0815704984 |
Argues that public finance--the study of the government's role in economics--should incorporate principles from behavior economics and other branches of psychology.
Author | : Vitor Gaspar |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 548 |
Release | : 2017-04-07 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475547900 |
Two main themes of the book are that (1) politics can distort optimal fiscal policy through elections and through political fragmentation, and (2) rules and institutions can attenuate the negative effects of this dynamic. The book has three parts: part 1 (9 chapters) outlines the problems; part 2 (6 chapters) outlines how institutions and fiscal rules can offer solutions; and part 3 (4 chapters) discusses how multilevel governance frameworks can help.
Author | : Mr.Ashoka Mody |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 280 |
Release | : 2013-04-10 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1616354240 |
Germany has been a central player in discussions on the future architecture of Europe, and has been called on to play a larger role in supporting global and, especially, European recovery from the financial crisis that triggered the Great Recession. This book focuses on the possible economic role of Germany and shows that the quantitative effects of a German fiscal stimulus would be small on the heavily indebted euro area periphery countries that most need the boost. The book finds that Germany itself faces a growth challenge and that efforts to raise its own growth potential are important for Germany, and that more rapid growth of domestic demand will more powerfully stimulate European economic growth through its expanded demand for imports.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 31 |
Release | : 2014-07-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498342981 |
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 64 |
Release | : 2012-07-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475561555 |
This 2012 Article IV Consultation reports that the German economy’s performance has been remarkable despite facing considerable headwinds. Several conditions are now in place in Germany for a domestic demand-led recovery. Employment creation has been robust and unemployment at 5.3 percent is at a postreunification low. Executive Directors have commended Germany’s strong macroeconomic management, which has resulted in a favorable economic performance despite the uncertain external environment. Directors have underscored Germany’s pivotal role in reducing euro area and global imbalances.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 56 |
Release | : 2012-03-20 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475502397 |
This Selected Issues Paper on Belgium provides an overview of the extent of trade and financial openness of Belgium and the links to particular countries. With an export-to-GDP ratio of 79 percent, Belgium belongs to the most open economies in Europe and also globally. Its exports are highly concentrated with a share of three-fourths of total merchandise exports accounted for by the European Union, of which close to two-thirds go to Germany, France, and the Netherlands.
Author | : Fabian Bornhorst |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 27 |
Release | : 2012-10-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475511302 |
From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external demand, in turn, has elevated German GDP growth volatility by advanced countries’ standards, keeping domestic consumption growth at surprisingly low levels. As a consequence, despite the size of its economy and important labor market reforms, Germany’s ability to act as global locomotive has been limited. With increasing competition in its traditional areas of manufacturing, a more domestically-driven growth dynamic, especially in the production and delivery of services, will be good for Germany and for the global economy. Absent such an effort, German growth will remain constrained, and Germany will play only a modest role in spurring growth elsewhere.
Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 24 |
Release | : 2013-03-22 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484347900 |
This article is a synopsis on Costa Rica’s international spillovers, potential estimates, fiscal challenges, and banking systems. Spillovers are originated by cross-country trade and financial linkages, and also by the impact of global fiscal consolidation. The banking sector has about one-third foreign bank assets, and these foreign investments are controlled by the United States. So a shock in the United States or China will have adverse effects on Costa Rica. To have a medium- and long-term sustainability, Costa Rica needs to have some fiscal adjustments.