Risk Profiling and Tolerance: Insights for the Private Wealth Manager

Risk Profiling and Tolerance: Insights for the Private Wealth Manager
Author: Joachim Klement
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Total Pages: 150
Release: 2018-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1944960473

If risk aversion and willingness to take on risk are driven by emotions and we as humans are bad at correctly identifying them, the finance profession has a serious challenge at hand—how to reliably identify the individual risk profile of a retail investor or high-net-worth individual. In this series of CFA Institute Research Foundation briefs, we have asked academics and practitioners to summarize the current state of knowledge about risk profiling in different key areas.

Do Analyst Recommendations Add Value?

Do Analyst Recommendations Add Value?
Author: Maximilian Kaessens
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper empirically investigates the value added by sell-side analyst recommendations on German equities composing the HDAX index from January 2006 through December 2013. Partitioning the equities into five portfolios based on either recommendation consensus level or consensus change, we examine differences in future returns by means of regression analysis. The portfolio of highest rated stocks consistently outperforms the portfolio of lowest rated stocks for both quintile portfolio formation and categorical formation based on absolute cut-offs. Testing several investment strategies, we find monthly abnormal returns of 1.14% and 1.84% for consensus level strategies with quintile portfolio formation and categorical portfolio formation, respectively. In comparison a quintile consensus change strategy yields monthly abnormal returns of 0.56% after controlling for market risk premium, size, book-to-market ratio, and price momentum. Positive abnormal returns are diminished but persist after controlling for transaction costs. Post transaction costs profits amount to 0.48% and 1.02% monthly, for consensus level strategies based on quintile and categorical portfolio formation, respectively.

Analyzing the Analysts

Analyzing the Analysts
Author: Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 55
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

We show that, consistent with economic incentives, analysts from sell-side firms generally recommend quot;glamourquot; (i.e., positive momentum, high growth, high volume, and relatively expensive) stocks. Naive adherence to these recommendations can be costly, because the level of the consensus recommendation adds value only among stocks with favorable quantitative characteristics (i.e., high value and positive momentum). Among stocks with unfavorable quantitative characteristics, higher consensus recommendations are associated with worse subsequent returns. In contrast, the quarterly change in the consensus recommendation is a robust return predictor that appears to contain information orthogonal to a large range of other predictive variables.

7 MISTAKES EVERY INVESTOR MAKES (AND HOW TO AVOID THEM)

7 MISTAKES EVERY INVESTOR MAKES (AND HOW TO AVOID THEM)
Author: Joachim Klement
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
Total Pages: 210
Release: 2020-02-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0857197711

Every investor makes mistakes. Private or professional, amateur or experienced, there is no exception. And many of these are common mistakes. Whether or not they want to admit it, many investors have committed the same errors. How can you avoid these mistakes? How can you distinguish yourself as an investor and improve your performance? Joachim Klement, research analyst and former Chief Investment Officer with 20 years’ experience in financial markets, has the answers. Seven Mistakes Every Investor Makes (And How To Avoid Them) calls upon years of experience and scientific research to deliver expert insight into the most common mistakes plaguing investors. From there, Klement outlines his personal tools and techniques, developed, refined and successfully implemented over many years in the finance industry, to help avoid and mitigate such mistakes. His ultimate aim: to help you help yourself. The mistakes covered include forecasting, short- and long-term orientation, repeating past errors, confirmation bias, not delegating to experts, and blind trust of traditional assumptions. Seven Mistakes Every Investor Makes (And How to Avoid Them) is a must-have guide for every investor. Packed with scientific research and personal wisdom, this book draws together the most common investing mistakes in order to practically reveal how to overcome and eliminate them. Don’t make another avoidable mistake by missing out on this book.

The Investment Checklist

The Investment Checklist
Author: Michael Shearn
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 391
Release: 2011-09-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118149459

A practical guide to making more informed investment decisions Investors often buy or sell stocks too quickly. When you base your purchase decisions on isolated facts and don't take the time to thoroughly understand the businesses you are buying, stock-price swings and third-party opinion can lead to costly investment mistakes. Your decision making at this point becomes dangerous because it is dominated by emotions. The Investment Checklist has been designed to help you develop an in-depth research process, from generating and researching investment ideas to assessing the quality of a business and its management team. The purpose of The Investment Checklist is to help you implement a principled investing strategy through a series of checklists. In it, a thorough and comprehensive research process is made simpler through the use of straightforward checklists that will allow you to identify quality investment opportunities. Each chapter contains detailed demonstrations of how and where to find the information necessary to answer fundamental questions about investment opportunities. Real-world examples of how investment managers and CEOs apply these universal principles are also included and help bring the concepts to life. These checklists will help you consider a fuller range of possibilities in your investment strategy, enhance your ability to value your investments by giving you a holistic view of the business and each of its moving parts, identify the risks you are taking, and much more. Offers valuable insights into one of the most important aspects of successful investing, in-depth research Written in an accessible style that allows aspiring investors to easily understand and apply the concepts covered Discusses how to think through your investment decisions more carefully With The Investment Checklist, you'll quickly be able to ascertain how well you understand your investments by the questions you are able to answer, or not answer, without making the costly mistakes that usually hinder other investors.

The Little Book of Valuation

The Little Book of Valuation
Author: Aswath Damodaran
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 269
Release: 2011-03-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118064143

An accessible, and intuitive, guide to stock valuation Valuation is at the heart of any investment decision, whether that decision is to buy, sell, or hold. In The Little Book of Valuation, expert Aswath Damodaran explains the techniques in language that any investors can understand, so you can make better investment decisions when reviewing stock research reports and engaging in independent efforts to value and pick stocks. Page by page, Damodaran distills the fundamentals of valuation, without glossing over or ignoring key concepts, and develops models that you can easily understand and use. Along the way, he covers various valuation approaches from intrinsic or discounted cash flow valuation and multiples or relative valuation to some elements of real option valuation. Includes case studies and examples that will help build your valuation skills Written by Aswath Damodaran, one of today's most respected valuation experts Includes an accompanying iPhone application (iVal) that makes the lessons of the book immediately useable Written with the individual investor in mind, this reliable guide will not only help you value a company quickly, but will also help you make sense of valuations done by others or found in comprehensive equity research reports.

The Changing Impact of Analyst Recommendation Revisions Over Time

The Changing Impact of Analyst Recommendation Revisions Over Time
Author: Nadine Weber
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Total Pages: 72
Release: 2011-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9783844306927

The Efficient Markets Hypothesis beholds that all public information is incorporated in the stock price. Yet economists question to what extent this holds, and these discussions are, among other factors, fuelled by the existence of analyst recommendations. If all information is already incorporated in the stock price, what value can analysts add? A comprehensive study on the German market finds that, indeed, a tangible effect is measured after analysts voice their recommendations; this effect is especially powerful when an analyst changes his recommendation to his previous one. Moreover, this book is the first to research how analyst recommendations have changed over time, whether analysts have better forecasting power during bull or bear markets, and, most importantly, how can an investor profit from this knowledge? An advanced calendar-time strategy has been developed wherein an investor can earn significant abnormal returns by following a momentum strategy in the short-term while simultaneously abiding to a contrarian strategy in the long-term.

Stock-market Psychology

Stock-market Psychology
Author: Karl Erik W‹rneryd
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 360
Release: 2001-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781782543039

'Stock-Market Psychology gives an excellent overview of the state-of-the-art literature on this subject in the fields of economics, psychology and finance. . . a comprehensive overview of the behavior of investors in the stock market. As such, this book is valuable for the classroom. . . Stock-Market Psychology provides researchers with numerous ideas for future research and readers with useful and fun tips without taking away our hopes of ever becoming rich from investing in stocks. What more is there to ask from a book?' - Joost M.E. Pennings, Journal of Economic Psychology 'George Goodman (Adam Smith) once wrote, "you can find out who you are by investing in the stock market, but it will be an expensive lesson". It is far smarter and cheaper to read Wärneryd's book instead. At a time when global stock markets are driven by emotions and passions, and are highly volatile, Chapter Six will tell you why, far better than a hundred analysts' reports.' - Shlomo Maital, TIM-Technion Institute of Management and the Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies in Science and Technology, Israel The rationale behind how people value and trade stocks is of unparalleled interest to governments, companies and other participants in stock markets. The book focuses on the way in which investors process information and form expectations about future gains. It argues that humans fall short of the perfect information processing required by theory, and that their expectations are based on more than just future company earnings.

The Little Book That Makes You Rich

The Little Book That Makes You Rich
Author: Louis Navellier
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2011-01-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118045114

Profit from a powerful, proven investment strategy The Little Book That Makes You Rich is the latest book in the popular "Little Book, Big Profits" series. Written by Louis Navellier -- one of the most well-respected and successful growth investors of our day -- this book offers a fundamental understanding of how to get rich using the best in growth investing strategies. Navellier has made a living by picking top, actively traded stocks and capturing unparalleled profits from them in the process. Now, with The Little Book That Makes You Rich, he shows you how to find stocks that are poised for rapid price increases, regardless of overall stock market direction. Navellier also offers the statistical and quantitative measures needed to measure risk and reward along the path to profitable growth stock investing. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Little Book That Makes You Rich gives individual investors specific tools for selecting stocks based on the factors that years of research have proven to lead to growth stock profits. These factors include analysts' moves, profit margins expansion, and rapid sales growth. In addition to offering you tips for not paying too much for growth, the author also addresses essential issues that every growth investor must be aware of, including which signs will tell you when it's time to get rid of a stock and how to monitor a portfolio in order to maintain its overall quality. Accessible and engaging, The Little Book That Makes You Rich outlines an effective approach to building true wealth in today's markets. Louis Navellier (Reno, NV) has one of the most exceptional long-term track records of any financial newsletter editor in America. As a financial analyst and editor of investment newsletters since 1980, Navellier's recommendations (published in Emerging Growth) have gained over 4,806 percent in the last 22 years, as confirmed by a leading independent newsletter rating service, The Hulbert Financial Digest. Emerging Growth is one of Navellier's four services, which also includes his Blue Chip Growth service for large-cap stock investors, his Quantum Growth service for active traders seeking shorter-term gains, and his Global Growth service for active traders focused on high growth global stocks.

The Usefulness of Analysts' Recommendations

The Usefulness of Analysts' Recommendations
Author: Vinesh Jha
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

There are several noteworthy findings here about the usefulness of analysts' buy recommendations in investment decisions. First, recommendations add more value when they are consistent with other signals than when they are inconsistent. Second, other signals, such as earnings revisions and price momentum, add more value when they are consistent with recommendations than when they are inconsistent. Third, recommendations add more value in down markets than in up markets. Finally, recommendations add more value for small-cap stocks than for large-cap stocks. The implications of these results are that recommendation data are more useful 1) when they are corroborated by other signals; 2) when more judgment is needed to distinguish between “good” and “bad” stocks; and 3) for stocks that are less informationally efficient.