Disinflation And The Recession Now Versus Recession Later Hypothesis
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Author | : Mr.Alexander W. Hoffmaister |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 46 |
Release | : 1995-10-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451852215 |
Both analytical models and casual empiricism suggest that the timing of the recessionary costs associated with inflation stabilization in chronic inflation countries may depend on the nominal anchor which is used. Under money-based stabilization, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program, while under exchange rate-based stabilization the recession occurs later in the program. This paper provides a first attempt to formally test this hypothesis using a vector-autoregression model for Uruguay. The impulse response of output to different stabilization policies is broadly consistent with the “recession-now-versus-recession-later” hypothesis. The evidence also suggests, however, that the effectiveness of a monetary anchor in reducing inflation is hindered by the high degree of dollarization of the Uruguayan economy.
Author | : M. Ayhan Kose |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 475 |
Release | : 2021-03-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1464815283 |
This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well, in part by using the sizable fiscal and monetary policy ammunition accumulated during prior years of strong growth. However, their growth prospects have weakened since then, and many now have less policy space. This study provides the first comprehensive stocktaking of the past decade from the perspective of emerging market and developing economies. Many of these economies have now become more vulnerable to economic shocks. The study discusses lessons from the global recession and policy options for these economies to strengthen growth and prepare for the possibility of another global downturn.
Author | : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 208 |
Release | : 1996-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451947224 |
This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on the flexibility of the labor market and the evidence regarding the wage and employment effects of trade reform are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 20 |
Release | : 1996-06 |
Genre | : International finance |
ISBN | : |
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 124 |
Release | : 1999-09-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781557758606 |
A selective index of major research papers prepared by IMF staff in 1991-98.
Author | : John B. Taylor |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 600 |
Release | : 1999-12-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780444501585 |
Part 6: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy. 19. Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle (J.Y. Campbell). 20. Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system (R.J. Shiller). 21. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework (B. Bernanke, M. Gertler and S. Gilchrist). Part 7: Monetary and Fiscal Policy. 22. Political economics and macroeconomic policy (T. Persson, G. Tabellini). 23. Issues in the design of monetary policy rules (B.T. McCallum). 24. Inflation stabilization and BOP crises in developing countries (G.A. Calvo, C.A. Vegh). 25. Government debt (D.W. Elmendorf, N.G. Mankiw). 26. Optimal fiscal and monetary policy (V.V. Chari, P.J. Kehoe).
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 766 |
Release | : 1994 |
Genre | : Latin America |
ISBN | : |
Author | : William Ascher |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 343 |
Release | : 2009-10-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226029182 |
Humans are plagued by shortsighted thinking, preferring to put off work on complex, deep-seated, or difficult problems in favor of quick-fix solutions to immediate needs. When short-term thinking is applied to economic development, especially in fragile nations, the results—corruption, waste, and faulty planning—are often disastrous. In Bringing in the Future, William Ascher draws on the latest research from psychology, economics, institutional design, and legal theory to suggest strategies to overcome powerful obstacles to long-term planning in developing countries. Drawing on cases from Africa, Asia, and Latin America, Ascher applies strategies such as the creation and scheduling of tangible and intangible rewards, cognitive exercises to increase the understanding of longer-term consequences, self-restraint mechanisms to protect long-term commitments and enhance credibility, and restructuring policy-making processes to permit greater influence of long-term considerations. Featuring theoretically informed research findings and sound policy examples, this volume will assist policy makers, activists, and scholars seeking to understand how the vagaries of human behavior affect international development.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 50 |
Release | : 2003-09-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781589061897 |
This study examines the challenges and issues facing policymakers in highly dollarized economies. Focusing on Cambodia, which achieved almost complete dollarization during 1991-95, the authors review recent developments in the literature on dollarization and examine the costs and benefits of dollarization in Cambodia, including the ensuing macroeconomic policy implications. They carry out an econometric estimation of cash foreign currency circulation in Cambodia in order to gauge the degree of dollarization. In addition to this analysis, the authors present a short description of Cambodia’s economic, financial, and structural background.
Author | : Hector E. Schamis |
Publisher | : University of Michigan Press |
Total Pages | : 222 |
Release | : 2002 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780472088508 |
Compares the processes leading to market reform experiments and its political effects in Latin America and Europe